Inthepines Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 24 minutes ago, Ji said: 47 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Snowing at Deep Creek now. Looks like the front is crossing through Cumberland. It snows at deep creek in august Snowed two inches on May 13th when I used to live in snowshoe. Another two inches September 30th of the following year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said: I'm gonna pull the good ol' weenie excuse of saying that both the 12k and 3k initiated really poorly with respect to how much precip is on the actual radar. Completely missed everything in Tennessee, Arkansas, and Kentucky. Was gonna say the same thing. If the forecasted radar is that far off how can any stick be placed in anything it shows? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 18z GFS has latched on to the dual-banding idea that others had mentioned earlier. Kinda splits D.C. so decent chance this is right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Temperature has plummeted 4 degrees in 4 hours since the wind shift here in Winchester Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: 18z GFS has latched on to the dual-banding idea that others had mentioned earlier. Kinda splits D.C. so decent chance this is right. I like that southern band a lot, hopefully it appears on the radar tonight 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 ^Problem with that southern/eastern 'band' is temps. That map might be close to representative if we weren't talking warm, soggy ground and surface temps in the 34-35 degree range. I would totally take it verbatim if we had cold ground and temps around 30. As it is, anywhere SE of the fall line is looking at a half inch or less with extremely poor accumulating efficiency, unless some intense banding sets up overhead. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 10, 2019 Author Share Posted December 10, 2019 In case anyone is wondering, post obs and radar hallucinations ITT 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Might as well keep on talking about the 18z suite. 18z RGEM is cold, at the very least. Gives pretty much everyone (including the cities proper) 1" with temps below freezing. 1" everywhere would be a big win. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Well...a dusting of snow, or a light crust, is really all I expect where I'm at. But cannot say I'm disappointed in any way. Will at least get on the board somewhat, unlike last December. It will still be an impressive temperature drop and tomorrow will be a rude awakening after 50s today. Heh...maybe it will give me a chance to dust off the brush/scraper for the car tomorrow morning (if I can find it and dig the darned thing out)!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 2 hours ago, H2O said: i was told KY or TN and the baro needs to be at least 30.50 It’s good you were told considering a lack of ability to figure out on your own. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 I think I heard (jokingly, I'm sure ) that HDRPS maps are banned. 18z HDRPS is gonna be the best run of the 18z suite, bands DC-Balt pretty hard. 2-4" type run for areas that get hit, temps cooperate because of the banding. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 15 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: I think I heard (jokingly, I'm sure ) that HDRPS maps are banned. 18z HDRPS is gonna be the best run of the 18z suite, bands DC-Balt pretty hard. 2-4" type run for areas that get hit, temps cooperate because of the banding. Not so tasty down in Richmond... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 19 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: I think I heard (jokingly, I'm sure ) that HDRPS maps are banned. 18z HDRPS is gonna be the best run of the 18z suite, bands DC-Balt pretty hard. 2-4" type run for areas that get hit, temps cooperate because of the banding. Today is hug a Derp day... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 19 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: I think I heard (jokingly, I'm sure ) that HDRPS maps are banned. 18z HDRPS is gonna be the best run of the 18z suite, bands DC-Balt pretty hard. 2-4" type run for areas that get hit, temps cooperate because of the banding. I never joke 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 31 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: I think I heard (jokingly, I'm sure ) that HDRPS maps are banned. 18z HDRPS is gonna be the best run of the 18z suite, bands DC-Balt pretty hard. 2-4" type run for areas that get hit, temps cooperate because of the banding. I heard that Jeb runs that model... (And I say that all in good fun, Jeb!!) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ece Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 4 hours ago, C.A.P.E. said: Does 936-1212 still work? Can remember or at least I think I remember hearing the emphasis on the end of his name Meteorologist Mark Swayne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 850's making their way into C MD...925's very close behind. 44 right now after a high of 53. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 49 minutes ago, Rhino16 said: Not so tasty down in Richmond... Are you actually expecting anything from this in RIC? I am not even expecting much of anything here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 HRRR keeps improving run-to-run. I like to think that is because it's doing a better job of recognizing the expanse of precip down in Tennessee, Kentucky, and Alabama. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 11 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: HRRR keeps improving run-to-run. I like to think that is because it's doing a better job of recognizing the expanse of precip down in Tennessee, Kentucky, and Alabama. How well has it performed lately, looks like it accurate with precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 2-3” for hoco and moco and points N Book it! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Could be worse. Definitely cold enough to stick in favored areas this run as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Could be worse. Definetly cold enough to stick in favored areas this run as well. Uhhh that’s pretty awful anywhere around 95. That little bit of model accumulation given temps leading in means it will be white rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 Just now, osfan24 said: Uhhh that’s pretty awful anywhere around 95. That little bit of model accumulation given temps leading in means it will be white rain. I'm in the camp of being happy to see snow at this point. Stickage is a bonus. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 5 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: I'm in the camp of being happy to see snow at this point. Stickage is a bonus. Well yeah it’s definitely going to snow. Timing isn’t great for snow tv unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 7 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Uhhh that’s pretty awful anywhere around 95. That little bit of model accumulation given temps leading in means it will be white rain. Yeah that is pretty much a big nothing for everywhere. Verbatim it might be a sloppy inch or so on Parrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 1 minute ago, osfan24 said: Well yeah it’s definitely going to snow. Timing isn’t great for snow tv unfortunately. HRRR might make you happier. 31-32 by the time the last band comes in to the metro. And the rates in the first band are decent when it is 33-34. Could overcome the grass. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 44 degrees down from a high of 51. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 Hoping for even an inch up here in Union bridge. Currently 43 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 44/33 with light rain, after a high of 51. Have only lost 2 degrees the past two hours even with a gusty west wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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