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November 2019 discussion


weathafella

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The MJO is quite robustly signalling +PNAP pattern should evolve over the N/American continent, particularly in the GEFs .. .but the EPS mean-based prognostics are within comparable similarity, too - just not slightly as.  Either way, the two together is a destructive wave interference for the flatter look featuring SE ridging out in time, so correcting to relaxed flow in the SE may have some footing. 

It may be that some part of this lost -EPO is in the process of reconstructing around a +PNA   ... and yes there is a disconnect at times in the EPO and PNA domain spaces.   But if the former is true, than pretty much all operational synoptic charts related to D7-12 from the last two to three days were probably fallacious.   "IF" 

we'll see.. Because there's also some question about the MJO's ability to force considering it isn't abundantly clear whether the wave's mechanics are tapping into the mid latitudes due to that HC -related expansion.  Similar to why modest warm(cool) ENSO are having increasingly difficulties observing coupled atmospheric states in recent seasons.  interesting -

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4 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

yeah I have no clue how people can live in those places. They have to leave their cars running 24/7 lol

Engine heaters, preferably the ones installed in the heater hose, not the less efficient ones that work thru the dipstick.  In Fort Kent, the Northern Door motel has outlets so guests can plug in and have their vehicles start in the morning.  We had a VW Beetle when we lived there - air-cooled engine doesn't offer a heater hose, so I made a small triangular box, lined it with foil and put a "Y" fixture with a couple 100-watt bulbs under the oilpan.  Worked great until the night that windblown snow hit the hot bulbs and they shattered.

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