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Perhaps a Coastal Storm on March 2nd for SNE????


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So far today, during the early runs of the 12z NAM, 3km NAM, SREFs and RGEM models, there is a growing consensus on a potential nor'easter that could impact the region with heavy snow, coastal mix, and high winds.  Perhaps if the conditions can warrant, blizzard conditions on Saturday, March 2nd.  We are about 54 hours away from the onset of precipitation.  There are many problems to still figure out.  The strength of the low could be quite intense and close to the benchmark.  With the global models ready to come out next, we will know by 2pm today if there is a growing consensus for an impactful storm, or one that is just too far out to the east to give us little if any precipitation.  Right now confidence is growing in potential impacts, snow could fall 4-8" from WOR to HARTFORD, CT, and 8-12" across eastern MA and parts of Rhode Island.  I will update every one on my blog after 2pm, with a preliminary snowfall map.

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2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

That looks sweet.

Def a big improvement over 00z, but not as good as the GFS solution. If the Euro can make a pretty notable jump toward this today, I think we're in business...I wouldn't expect Dr. No to come all the way in one run...but a non-microscopic jump will be telling. I'm guessing it will...the 06z run actually looked decent aloft, but it wasn't really drawing that sfc reflection in toward it as well as the other models we've seen.

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