CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: Let them go, there is a natural selection process at work. The guy who is getting rains talks those who are all snow off the ledge. Let that sink in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 GFS looks great for W of the River. Wish thus was happening during daylight, should be some nice rates for an hour or three. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: The guy who is getting rains talks those who are all snow off the ledge. Let that sink in. You know its bad when HubbDave is calling someone out as pessimistic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: That's very high end, even in the most intense Lake Effect or Upslope squalls. I think that's about my max at the ski resort. 4" in 45 minutes or so with thunder for a squall. That's so awesome that happened in a heavily populated area. Sounds like it would be complete anarchy for a while on the roads. It was a disaster in ORH that evening because it hit right at beginning of rush hour....I wanna say 430-5pm-ish....and it was like 29-30F or something when it hit. So the first few minutes was mostly melting on the busy streets (not back roads though)....and then all hell broke loose as it came down at the 6-7" per hour rate and temps went from like 30F to 18F by the end of it....flash freeze. I remember people took like 2 hours to go just a couple miles in some cases, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Not sure which thread the snow squalls for tomorrow are being discussed in, but holy shit. These things are going to mean business. Bufkit soundings at EWR/GFS showing potential for gusts I’ve never seen forecasted around here lol. Don’t think they will be that extreme, but 55-75 can’t be ruled out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Just now, weatherwiz said: Not sure which thread the snow squalls for tomorrow are being discussed in, but holy shit. These things are going to mean business. Bufkit soundings at EWR/GFS showing potential for gusts I’ve never seen forecasted around here lol. Don’t think they will be that extreme, but 55-75 can’t be ruled out GFS always overdoes winds. Probably because of how warm the low levels can be. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Not sure which thread the snow squalls for tomorrow are being discussed in, but holy shit. These things are going to mean business. Bufkit soundings at EWR/GFS showing potential for gusts I’ve never seen forecasted around here lol. Don’t think they will be that extreme, but 55-75 can’t be ruled out Let’s knock some down! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Let’s knock some down! 40s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: GFS always overdoes winds. Probably because of how warm the low levels can be. I figured the NAM would show at least half the GFS, but I was still shocked to see the NAM spitting out 60-65+ knots. The 850 jet means business so I guess a 60-65 knot isn’t out of the question Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Let’s knock some down! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Just now, weatherwiz said: I figured the NAM would show at least half the GFS, but I was still shocked to see the NAM spitting out 60-65+ knots. The 850 jet means business so I guess a 60-65 knot isn’t out of the question toss it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 November ...my snowiest month so far this season. My futility side is hoping it stays that way. F*ck this winter. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 1 minute ago, dendrite said: toss it I might get tossed by the wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2019 Author Share Posted January 29, 2019 10 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Not sure which thread the snow squalls for tomorrow are being discussed in, but holy shit. These things are going to mean business. Bufkit soundings at EWR/GFS showing potential for gusts I’ve never seen forecasted around here lol. Don’t think they will be that extreme, but 55-75 can’t be ruled out Yawn, toss, sell. YTS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2019 Author Share Posted January 29, 2019 Fraud Five: Windex, Anafront, Norlun, Backlash, Severe/Wind Two criteria met here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: Not sure which thread the snow squalls for tomorrow are being discussed in, but holy shit. These things are going to mean business. Bufkit soundings at EWR/GFS showing potential for gusts I’ve never seen forecasted around here lol. Don’t think they will be that extreme, but 55-75 can’t be ruled out Its round and says Rubbermaid on it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Fraud Five: Windex, Anafront, Norlun, Backlash, Severe/Wind Two criteria met here. Time for you to relax, let us enjoy our little victories. We already know you only get off on 24 plus or Cat 3s . We get it, some of us are here to learn from others and help educate others about the immense variety of meteorological outcomes. I personally am wondering why Wiz thinks those winds mix down and why Brian doesn't. It makes for a learning opportunity. You have also gained a lot of respect for your detailed outlooks. Very educational. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 What time are the squalls expected to roll through the New Haven area? I plan on leaving work early depending on the time. 95 can suck in events like this. Don't feel like sitting in my car for hours if it does turn out bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Just now, BrianW said: What time are the squalls expected to roll through the New Haven area? I plan on leaving work early depending on the time. 95 can suck in events like this. Don't feel like sitting in my car for hours if it does turn out bad. Heard this morning that the times were between 2-5 pm. Don’t know if that will hold or not, but that was what I heard this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2019 Author Share Posted January 29, 2019 56 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Time for you to relax, let us enjoy our little victories. We already know you only get off on 24 plus or Cat 3s . We get it, some of us are here to learn from others and help educate others about the immense variety of meteorological outcomes. I personally am wondering why Wiz thinks those winds mix down and why Brian doesn't. It makes for a learning opportunity. You have also gained a lot of respect for your detailed outlooks. Very educational. Yea, its nice to spend 14 pages explaining why it will snow, then watch it go down the toilet. lol Steve, you are 100% right...I'm just being sarcastic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Time for you to relax, let us enjoy our little victories. We already know you only get off on 24 plus or Cat 3s . We get it, some of us are here to learn from others and help educate others about the immense variety of meteorological outcomes. I personally am wondering why Wiz thinks those winds mix down and why Brian doesn't. It makes for a learning opportunity. You have also gained a lot of respect for your detailed outlooks. Very educational. I’d go w ummm Brian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Overcast and 26.2F. Hard to believe it's going to rain tonight. I'm sceptical about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 2 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: Overcast and 26.2F. Hard to believe it's going to rain tonight. I'm sceptical about that. It’s not going to or supposed to rain anywhere in N CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 16 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I’d go w ummm Brian Maybe but why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 You guys honestly think we're going to mix down 60-70kt with CAA????? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 8 minutes ago, weathafella said: Maybe but why? Lol call it a hunch you gusting to 65mph, no !There ...see that was easy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s not going to or supposed to rain anywhere in N CT. My NWS p/c has rain/snow here around midnight. I agree with you it's unlikely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 No WWA’s flying for 495 ? stay safe folks box 1pm disco mentions possible expansion of WAA for Tolland county and Far Ne Mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 It's conceivable that the mix/ rain line stays mainly 84 points south across CT in general, perhaps a bit further north in a few torch areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxextreme Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 29 minutes ago, dendrite said: You guys honestly think we're going to mix down 60-70kt with CAA????? Big difference between reality and a wishcast. I agree with you, there is no way we will be able to mix down 60-70kt winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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