ORH_wxman Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Def need to watch next Wednesday/Thursday for ice in the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 19 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Lots of folks on here giving up this morning. Usually when that happens is when winter settles in Well “settling in” has taken quite some time considering we have about four weeks left to get it done. Me thinks people are realizing the levels of futility if we don’t get two HECS in a month, it’s a tall order. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 16 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Totally lost it, just banging on the keyboard so hard he broke it. Break out your poison t-shirts and head bands. 1985 here we come. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 27 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Yes and the rest of the pattern matches up well too, we had some cold and dry stretches after the pattern flipped around Jan 20 but the big snows waited until Mid February. That was our first decent snow since November. And we had another one in March! What was the date of that big snow in Feb 2013, Jer? 2/8/13. Kevin got 3 feet. 3/8/13 most of is get 18-24. Later in March a couple of more decent (6+) events. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Break out your poison t-shirts and head bands. 1985 here we come. Which one is you, Bob, Kevin and Ginx? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 36 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: The only reason I have to think otherwise is that we did have this pattern 7-8 times in the 80s and it always sucked lol. These kinds of patterns are very stable and hard to dislodge- you need a really strong el nino to do it, not the kind we have right now. Cold/dry with a southern storm track interspersed with cutters/huggers in between cold shots is a very familiar pattern that we had for a decade or more. a big change a la Feb 2013 could do it Not during weak el nino. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 21 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Jerry is on the verge, expect a few muthafukahs to come flying across your screen any day now. As Howard Cosell would say...just callin’ it I like I see it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: 2/8/13. Kevin got 3 feet. 3/8/13 most of is get 18-24. Later in March a couple of more decent (6+) events. Yes, I think we could all "settle" for that kind of a turn around lol. February 10- March 20 if you want to stretch it to its boundaries- that's 40 days of winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Not during weak el nino. Hopefully it starts acting like one. Do you really think the bonafide chances for winter storms will come after Feb 15, or do you think they could come as early as Feb 10? If we can enlarge the window to Feb 10 to Mar 20 that would be 40 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 2 minutes ago, mreaves said: Which one is you, Bob, Kevin and Ginx? Doesn’t matter because it’s nothing, but a good time. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 In all seriousness, I think the pattern starts producing big time but we have to get trough next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Every winter has its thorn. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 58 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah nothing screams winter like a back door front. Enjoy your naper next week, and the countdown to end this horrific winter is on. We got porked even on the squalls last night. Fitting. Looks like we can punt the first 10+ days of Feb... sitting at like 8” here. As we creep later into winter here, all time ratter def on the table at this local Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: In all seriousness, I think the pattern starts producing big time but we have to get trough next week. You think so? GEFS/EPS look like garbage even in the extended. EPS has regressed from the more favorable look. I continue to see zero signs of a -NAO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 5 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: You think so? GEFS/EPS look like garbage even in the extended. EPS has regressed from the more favorable look. I continue to see zero signs of a -NAO. EPS most certainly looks pretty freaking epic. EPO/NAO working hand n hand. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 12 minutes ago, weathafella said: In all seriousness, I think the pattern starts producing big time but we have to get trough next week. Why? It's the same pattern we have had all winter, Pacific isn't going to change and shows zero signs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 31 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Def need to watch next Wednesday/Thursday for ice in the interior. Watching closely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 4 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Why? It's the same pattern we have had all winter, Pacific isn't going to change and shows zero signs The pacific has given us the cold. It’s mostly been ok. The Atlantic has allowed cutters. That shows a prog of changing for the better. Some will say it won’t happen but to ignore what’s on all guidance doesn’t make sense to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Anthony Massiello mentions KU chances after the 15th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 13 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: You think so? GEFS/EPS look like garbage even in the extended. EPS has regressed from the more favorable look. I continue to see zero signs of a -NAO. Do you honestly look at things? And if so, do you know what you’re looking at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 The Pacific isn’t bad. We have a -EPO. What hurts is the propensity for troughing out west and no blocking for us in the east. The EPS does having Greenland ridging developing, but it’s still far enough way for me to question it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 I just need next Thursday to not be a deluge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 39 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Break out your poison t-shirts and head bands. 1985 here we come. Lol I grew up in the real age of rock music. Maybe we flip to 1969 so I can break out a Hendrix shirt 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 7 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I just need next Thursday to not be a deluge Icestorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Icestorm It would be amazing to get our 4th or 5th ice storm of the winter based on your forecasts... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Is this torch, that I’m feeling? Is this the torch, that I’ve been searching for? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 32 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The Pacific isn’t bad. We have a -EPO. What hurts is the propensity for troughing out west and no blocking for us in the east. The EPS does having Greenland ridging developing, but it’s still far enough way for me to question it. The ridging needs to be over Rockies for something this SNE board wants . Hasn’t been all year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 1 hour ago, LibertyBell said: Sorry Ray, but losing the first half of the month could be the difference between getting one KU and two. I know you still hold hope for the 1968-69 analog to work out but I think that one also had the Lindsey storm earlier in the month. This time around it might be more like 2012-13 and there may be only one KU event rather than two. Still, much better than what we have right now! *March had a significant event in 2013 too, which can also happen this time around, but not on the same level as the historic Feb 2013 storm. Or zero KU’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 48 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: The ridging needs to be over Rockies for something this SNE board wants . Hasn’t been all year. If the standard is 2015....yeah. But there's plenty of other epic years that didn't have it. A bit of Atlantic help would certainly be a good thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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