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NorEastermass128

February 2019 Discussion I

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Just now, dryslot said:

Because Louis Uccellini and Paul Kocin said so?

Lol although I am not on a historic bender it certainly could be a snowy period. NNE max pack in Mid March. 

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Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Lol although I am not on a historic bender it certainly could be a snowy period. NNE max pack in Mid March. 

I feel the same way, I think we will go late this year, Just keep these mod/sig refreshers coming if were not going to get a HECS

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46 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

You realize we don’t live in an area that sustains pack for any extended period historically.  Microclimates excluded.

Yea 61 days on average with at least an inch is disneyland redeaux

chart.jpeg

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2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Yea 61 days on average with at least an inch is disneyland redeaux

chart.jpeg

Lol at calling >1”  “snowpack” 

:weenie::lmao:

give me some stats for >4” & >8”.

grassblades are taller then 1”

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12 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Lol at calling >1”  “snowpack” 

:weenie::lmao:

give me some stats for >4” & >8”.

grassblades are taller then 1”

Knew this was coming ave 50 days with 3 inches 41 with 6  24 with 12. Time for the rockin chair Grandpa your losing your edge.

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I think my greatest snow depth has been 6”-8” this winter...probably in November.   Those were the days...

I’m guessing 5-10 days of 6” pack.   Many many more days of bare mud.  A respite coming up at least. 

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1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

I think my greatest snow depth has been 6”-8” this winter...probably in November.   Those were the days...

I’m guessing 5-10 days of 6” pack.   Many many more days of bare mud.  A respite coming up at least. 

Man, different world this season.  Snow depth days up here are probably highest in the last decade.

1.5" or greater snow depth here at 750ft starting on November 13th.  

November 12th was the last time we saw the ground in town.  

15" I can walk on top of right now, down from the max of 26" about 10 days ago.

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Too bad the GGEM sucks... gives NW New England another warning event on Saturday.  11" Wednesday then follows it with 8" on Saturday.  If you wanted to sum up this winter, the 5-day snow map there is it.

I'm starting to get off the "luck" band wagon and more into the line of thinking that there's something stable in this winter pattern that is keeping the dividing lines where they are.

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5 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Too bad the GGEM sucks... gives NW New England another warning event on Saturday.  11" Wednesday then follows it with 8" on Saturday.  If you wanted to sum up this winter, the 5-day snow map there is it.

I'm starting to get off the "luck" band wagon and more into the line of thinking that there's something stable in this winter pattern that is keeping the dividing lines where they are.

The EPO.

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1 hour ago, powderfreak said:

Too bad the GGEM sucks... gives NW New England another warning event on Saturday.  11" Wednesday then follows it with 8" on Saturday.  If you wanted to sum up this winter, the 5-day snow map there is it.

I'm starting to get off the "luck" band wagon and more into the line of thinking that there's something stable in this winter pattern that is keeping the dividing lines where they are.

Right now its stable, but there has been plenty of bad luck this season.....poorly timed waves cut, and some got squashed. Not to say that the winter still wouldn't suck here, but not this bad.

The NAO has also killed us, and that isn't luck...however it leaves us more prone to luck. Some of these cutters would have easily been like 2-5" or 3-6" front enders if they were timed better..and given that it hasn't been that warm, you would think more would. 

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4 hours ago, powderfreak said:

Too bad the GGEM sucks... gives NW New England another warning event on Saturday.  11" Wednesday then follows it with 8" on Saturday.  If you wanted to sum up this winter, the 5-day snow map there is it.

I'm starting to get off the "luck" band wagon and more into the line of thinking that there's something stable in this winter pattern that is keeping the dividing lines where they are.

You’re getting it now. Luck has nothing to do with wx results.

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5 hours ago, powderfreak said:

Too bad the GGEM sucks... gives NW New England another warning event on Saturday.  11" Wednesday then follows it with 8" on Saturday.  If you wanted to sum up this winter, the 5-day snow map there is it.

I'm starting to get off the "luck" band wagon and more into the line of thinking that there's something stable in this winter pattern that is keeping the dividing lines where they are.

Ding ding ding, we have a winner. This has been my main theme this winter when the term "luck" keeps getting thrown around. It's not magic or luck. We have seen amazing consistency in the pattern. It is not kucky or unlucky. I am not keen on taking human attributes and tranfering them on to the state of the atmosphere. Physics doesnt work that way. It is a human failing to take what we dont fully understand and label it luck, or vodoo, or magic. There is a reason why things are the way they are with the storm track this winter season. Just because we can't fully understand how all the indices are working together, or in some cases, against each other, doesnt mean there isn't a logical scientific outcome. It just means, as humans, there is more for us to learn before we can understand the mechanics of how everything is playing out.

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1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

You’re getting it now. Luck has nothing to do with wx results.

We say thank you for canceling winter. Looks like we snow and we snow and we snow

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2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

We say thank you for canceling winter. Looks like we snow and we snow and we snow

We canceled nada. Just mentioned it’s going to be a struggle to get to normal and hope for a few falls before early spring sets in mid Morch .. even up north 

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18 minutes ago, #NoPoles said:

Ding ding ding, we have a winner. This has been my main theme this winter when the term "luck" keeps getting thrown around. It's not magic or luck. We have seen amazing consistency in the pattern. It is not kucky or unlucky. I am not keen on taking human attributes and tranfering them on to the state of the atmosphere. Physics doesnt work that way. It is a human failing to take what we dont fully understand and label it luck, or vodoo, or magic. There is a reason why things are the way they are with the storm track this winter season. Just because we can't fully understand how all the indices are working together, or in some cases, against each other, doesnt mean there isn't a logical scientific outcome. It just means, as humans, there is more for us to learn before we can understand the mechanics of how everything is playing out.

Of course and you are 100% correct but like the casinos, the lottery, accidents, games, people take physical events and attribute them to luck. In reality luck is a concept but its easier to attribute or explain. More of a saying. Karma on the other hand.......

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3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

We canceled nada. Just mentioned it’s going to be a struggle to get to normal and hope for a few falls before early spring sets in mid Morch .. even up north 

Oh hell no, you melted, cancelled, and had the windows in the truck down blaring Backstreet boys. No going back

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Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Oh hell no, you melted, cancelled, and had the windows in the truck down blaring Backstreet boys. No going back

Find and quote the melt and where I said cancel 

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"Unpredictable chaos" is the word needed for those who refuse to use the term "luck". 

 

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"Unpredictable chaos" is the word needed for those who refuse to use the term "luck". 
 

Or not understood yet. 25years from now we may find out that the unpredictable was in fact predictable.
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7 hours ago, powderfreak said:

Too bad the GGEM sucks... gives NW New England another warning event on Saturday.  11" Wednesday then follows it with 8" on Saturday.  If you wanted to sum up this winter, the 5-day snow map there is it.

I'm starting to get off the "luck" band wagon and more into the line of thinking that there's something stable in this winter pattern that is keeping the dividing lines where they are.

It’s not luck Geezus Christ lol

ita the FN placement of the western ridging tropical forcing and wide open Atlantic . Says the same verbatim . If you view the pattern thru snow man coloured (any snow is ggggrreeeat pattern and were not in a torch pattern than it’s “good” then fine that’s arguable 

read the box afd,

“this certainly isn’t a snowy pattern” is plastered into the disco . Ya we can get lucky here or there but the gradient is over CNE consistently w Parent lows going to Toronto on the regular in this cutter flow

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