SnoSki14 Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Gfs says...what storm? Pretty much just a cold front with some snow showers preceding the Arctic air. I wonder who will be the victor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 26 minutes ago, tamarack said: Jan. 1-15, 2014 gave me 3.46" precip and 2.1" snow, with daily temp avg 23/0, which is 4° BN. That's a VERY unlikely trifecta. Rest of the month brought no more rain, nor much of anything else (just 0.31" precip) while keeipng the temps about the same. Still my least snowy January of 21 here. Yup that's the month I remember. Wonder what the chances are in NNE during some of the coldest climo...going -4F departure and have multiple rain events without any snow? Well below normal temps, above normal precip and zero snow. It's going to trigger me again . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, SnoSki14 said: Gfs says...what storm? Pretty much just a cold front with some snow showers preceding the Arctic air. I wonder who will be the victor. Tossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: Gfs says...what storm? Pretty much just a cold front with some snow showers preceding the Arctic air. I wonder who will be the victor. GFS also told me I was going to be 55 degrees last Saturday while it was 28 with freezing rain. Tossed. Always tossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Tossed. I'm surprised how vastly different the solutions are given the close range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, SnoSki14 said: I'm surprised how vastly different the solutions are given the close range. I’m not. GFS is a flop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: I'm surprised how vastly different the solutions are given the close range. I'm not. GFS blows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm not. GFS blows. Shutdown related? I don't recall the Gfs being this bad last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 1 hour ago, EastonSN+ said: Not trying to ruffle feathers, but reason to be concerned or was this foretold in the weaklies? Just asking. That’s a stormy look to me. Would like the ridge over AK a bit further east but I’ve seen lots of snow in those patterns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 5 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Shutdown related? I don't recall the Gfs being this bad last year. Lol...we’ll find out in a few days. I doubt it’s shut down related. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 5 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Shutdown related? I don't recall the Gfs being this bad last year. Maybe it does poorly in this kind of setup? It has been really really bad as of late (from what I can see). I don’t have the current verification scores, but ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 1 hour ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Ya I believe the mountains worst winter ever was 175”. He suffered lol You don’t the concept of relativity do you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: So where exactly is NCE CT? Have we moved to eNe? EOR = C or ENE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 58 minutes ago, powderfreak said: That that is a perfect summary. All those 2015 storms were like 1/3rd of an inch of QPF at like 3F with bullet flakes piling up at 8:1 ratios as dry air continually came in from the north. My biggest melt ever was January 2014 though. Philly had like 6 warning events and we had none, and it would go from -20F to raining in like 12 hours. Then it would get brutally cold and S.SNE/NYC/PHL would get a 12-18" overrunning event. Riding the Gondola with Tim Kelley drawing weather maps in the condensation on the Gondola windows as it rains, lol, good times. I have a photo to look for later...my yard with like yellow bulge ice bubbling from the ground and what looks like garage sized puddles frozen on top of like 2-4" of glacial ice in later January 2014. The one thing I remember from 2014 that is sort of like this year...I couldn't figure out why with that -EPO and deep cold the events would just be wire to wire rain. That's a big part of winter climo, getting the 3-6" front enders before it goes to rain. But we had none of that. Just -20F to 40F and rain in like 12-18 hours. Yeah that's exactly how I remember too...and as for your last sentence about the lack of front enders, it's like the bad fortune that SNE is getting this year. Like we can't buy a front ender (at least between 11/15 and last week) or these smaller events like dying/meat grinder clippers or IVTs....they aren't all that appreciated on here from a weenie standpoint, but they are part of SNE snowfall climo. Getting 2 inches on a poorly timed shortwave that produces a weak IVT instead of a real storm happens a few times a winter here. We can't get anything to work out. It was like that for you in January 2014 until the tables seemed to flip back to normalcy a little bit in Feb/Mar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 GFS has no problem telling Fargo that they won't sniff 0°F for a high next week until sometime on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, 78Blizzard said: GFS has no problem telling Fargo that they won't sniff 0°F for a high next week until sometime on Friday. You betcha.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: That’s a stormy look to me. Would like the ridge over AK a bit further east but I’ve seen lots of snow in those patterns. You dirty dog you... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 28 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Shutdown related? I don't recall the Gfs being this bad last year. Any semblance of an El Niño and the GFS usually becomes worse than it normally is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 23 minutes ago, weathafella said: That’s a stormy look to me. Would like the ridge over AK a bit further east but I’ve seen lots of snow in those patterns. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 55 minutes ago, weathafella said: But I (and others thought you meant Ray. Tip melts great as in Boxing Day 2010 Reread the thread Ray responds to Tip. I used poor guy to respond to Ray meaning Tipper Canoe and Tyler too. Poor guy will never forget it. But lol at Ray with 2 feet and saying what he said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 31 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Shutdown related? I don't recall the Gfs being this bad last year. Already debunked 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Reread the thread Ray responds to Tip. I used poor guy to respond to Ray meaning Tipper Canoe and Tyler too. Poor guy will never forget it. But lol at Ray with 2 feet and saying what he said. The Boxing Day 2010 Tip meltdown was great because of the irony in it....we had this incredible storm with excessive winds and very low pressure (960s) going over the outer Cape but the snow hole over the interior (esp his area and the CT valley) is what he focused on, when he's usually the one that preaches appreciating other forms of weather outside of snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: The Boxing Day 2010 Tip meltdown was great because of the irony in it....we had this incredible storm with excessive winds and very low pressure (960s) going over the outer Cape but the snow hole over the interior (esp his area and the CT valley) is what he focused on, when he's usually the one that preaches appreciating other forms of weather outside of snow. Its like Hippy saying 78 wasn't a top ten SNE snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: The Boxing Day 2010 Tip meltdown was great because of the irony in it....we had this incredible storm with excessive winds and very low pressure (960s) going over the outer Cape but the snow hole over the interior (esp his area and the CT valley) is what he focused on, when he's usually the one that preaches appreciating other forms of weather outside of snow. Lol...I was going back and forth with Tip as I was getting crushed that night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 27 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Reread the thread Ray responds to Tip. I used poor guy to respond to Ray meaning Tipper Canoe and Tyler too. Poor guy will never forget it. But lol at Ray with 2 feet and saying what he said. Its my personal preference....they are all KUs...if asked to grade them, its not top five for me. I don't mean SNE as a whole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its my personal preference....they are all KUs...if asked to grade them, its not top five for me. I don't mean SNE as a whole The fact that it’s not too 5 means we’ve seriously been blessed over the past 20+ years 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Somebody please please find that pic of a 4 foot tall PF holding hands with Will Well, I guess I do have these images after all these years 2 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 9 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said: Well, I guess I do have these images after all these years Good lord. Very young PF right there. That's like circa 2007 or even before? Walking down the streets of ORH, man I look good in those jeans. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 17 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said: Well, I guess I do have these images after all these years Lol awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 9 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Good lord. Very young PF right there. That's like circa 2007 or even before? Walking down the streets of ORH, man I look good in those jeans. Holding on tight to Will’s hand for security so you can have the reassurance that NNE will someday outsnow SNE once again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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