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January 2019 Discussion II


Typhoon Tip

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So, did the pattern really change? And im not being sarcastic, so please dont read that and infer a sarcastic tone. Still no blocking, still getting cutters or NNE jackpot storms. This is the same storm track, it doesnt appear anything has changed. Now we are going into the 4th week of January.

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7 minutes ago, #NoPoles said:

So, did the pattern really change? And im not being sarcastic, so please dont read that and infer a sarcastic tone. Still no blocking, still getting cutters or NNE jackpot storms. This is the same storm track, it doesnt appear anything has changed. Now we are going into the 4th week of January.

There is colder air around....I had a high of 4 degrees today, and most of us just had a significant snow/ice storm, though I understand why it doesn't seem much different to you. That happens a lot near the cape.

I'd call that a change, however you are correct...the pattern is still flawed because there is still no NAO.

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31 minutes ago, #NoPoles said:

So, did the pattern really change? And im not being sarcastic, so please dont read that and infer a sarcastic tone. Still no blocking, still getting cutters or NNE jackpot storms. This is the same storm track, it doesnt appear anything has changed. Now we are going into the 4th week of January.

Nothing has changed.....its still the same strung out elongated POS train of systems tracking right over SNE with this BS rain and mix........shut it down....

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41 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Siberian night.  Snowing lightly all evening (watch the Logan guy throw in some make up number...lol), temps very bitter, glacial landscape....too cold for man or beast!

Sweet!  Been a long time coming for you guys.  I'm a little worried about the storm track, but a -NAO would theoretically take care of that. Either way that's a nice base you have cemented in YBY. I'm sure you only build on that. 

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9 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

Yes especially in the winter

Depressing winter

Meh it is what it is. Take this week upcoming off from weather, come back Saturday to see if anything is coming up. Usually pretty quiet after a megastorm, other than heavy frontal rain nothing exciting to talk about, so expect a week full of melts, depressed folks and calls for spring.

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7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Meh it is what it is. Take this week upcoming off from weather, come back Saturday to see if anything is coming up. Usually pretty quiet after a megastorm, other than heavy frontal rain nothing exciting to talk about, so expect a week full of melts, depressed folks and calls for spring.

Except the storm coming Monday/ Tuesday 

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Let me first state that I am still riding with Ray, Don and Isotherm on their thoughts of a really good upcoming pattern. However posting the following for discussion. May mean nothing.

10 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

The weeklies age already invalid. Day 15 now looks nothing like Day 16 on the weeklies. And there was a lot of divergence within the weeklies when I looked at the members. Are people really feeling confident given the look or are they just trying not to be negative?  Maybe I’m missing something. I hate the direction everything is going right now. 

 

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1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

If we can’t cash in next 6 weeks it’s purely being on the wrong side of variance. We would take the look 100 times over and do very well on 75 of them.

Well if 8 of 9 systems screw us odds are it’s something we’re not seeing that is unfavorable, not “bad luck” 

I beleive if you  compare what the models do when we are at present compared to what they did look like for today (10 days ago @ day 10) there is a greater process that the models are not compensating for that constantly makes things less favorable as we get closer to a really good period 

we will see in 7-10 days 

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