Bostonseminole Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 9 minutes ago, Greg said: I think they may actually call it Bostonseminole. I heard that. It may be true that would be cool 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 6 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: hmm.. that's not cool.. Well don't make fun like that. I got what you were after based on that crap earlier in the day if you don't like it don't dish it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: Well I don't make fun like that. I got what you were after based on that crap earlier in the day if you don't like it don't dish it out. what crap? you might have the wrong poster bro.. earlier in the day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2018 Author Share Posted December 30, 2018 Just now, Bostonseminole said: what crap? you might have the wrong poster bro.. earlier in the day? I think he means Luke....he was breaking his ballz about GEM and ICON references earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Para gfs is similiar to the gfs maybe slightly further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think he means Luke....he was breaking his ballz about GEM and ICON references earlier. oh, well has nothing to do with me.. the good news is that we have something to track if the EURO starts to shift in the right way.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2018 Author Share Posted December 30, 2018 Just now, Bostonseminole said: oh, well has nothing to do with me.. the good news is that we have something to track if the EURO starts to shift in the right way.. I think the N stream will assert itself more....I call BS on the Euro. Gamble, and I could be wrong...we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 11 minutes ago, dendrite said: Some of these biases are likely outdated. We used that back in the early 2000s. The model has gone through many changes since then. Maybe it still holds, but I’d want to see something more scientific before believing it. It appears on a lot of these s/w in the southern stream it still does when you compare it to other guidance, But it corrects slowly as well and does not have wild run to run swings but you know that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 26 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: 0Z FV3 993mb just south of islands.. crappy resolution @120hrs The FV3 actually is quite a storm. By the time it gets just south of the islands, the precip is almost done other than a few more hours of mostly snow to go left. In other words, it's a very good solution at this time.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2018 Author Share Posted December 30, 2018 The GFS evolution would likely lead to some underdone QPF, as H5 closes off at the qientessentially perfect time to maximize banding for SNE....but that is waaaaay ahead of things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: The GFS evolution would likely lead to some underdone QPF, as H5 closes off at the qientessentially perfect time to maximize banding for SNE....but that is waaaaay ahead of things. Keep your fingers crossed and no disrobing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 7 minutes ago, Greg said: The FV3 actually is quite a storm. By the time it gets just south of the islands, the precip is almost done with a few more hours of mostly snow left. In other words, it's good. Ya pretty big hit! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2018 Author Share Posted December 30, 2018 1 minute ago, Greg said: Keep your fingers crossed and no disrobing. I think we break the snide here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 28 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Ya pretty big hit! Generally from you around Hartford to the Boston area would be very happy and pretty caught up in the snow department if this sort of solution held. In fact, I believe even potentially as far south as our friends in New York City would be pleased also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2018 Author Share Posted December 30, 2018 33 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Probably means Euro won’t bite yet. Not as solid a rule as it once was but probably still 75-25 it follows it to some extent. Especially on a cycle where big changes occur on other guidance I think 00z EURO at least trends.....UK is often too extreme on either end of the spectrum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Crazy uncle is a crazy uncle solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Looking closer at the FV3, that's 6"+ for sure.. if only.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said: Looking closer at the FV3, that's 6"+ for sure.. if only.. It was a foot for my hood, lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 9 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: Looking closer at the FV3, that's 6"+ for sure.. if only.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 1 minute ago, weathafella said: bday on the 3rd.. would be fantastic .. kids would be happy also.. just getting back and likely get to miss 1-2 days.. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 I favor the Ukmet/Euro, the phase 5/6 MJO is very unfavorable for a snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2018 Author Share Posted December 30, 2018 4 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: I favor the Ukmet/Euro, the phase 5/6 MJO is very unfavorable for a snowstorm. True. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Save a horse... the knockoff gfs is fun to look at and would be a big storm here but wake me up when the euro even shows something close to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Save a horse... the knockoff gfs is fun to look at and would be a big storm here but wake me up when the euro even shows something close to that. I'm guessing that wasn't the case tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Euro may be similar to cmc based on what I’m seeing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Slower vs gfs but I think it gets it done this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2018 Author Share Posted December 30, 2018 Probably should have just waited for Euro, but I'm feeling frisky. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/12/snowfall-possible-thursday-thursday.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Just now, weathafella said: Euro may be similar to cmc based on what I’m seeing. That would be an improvement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Euro looks like it might not be too bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2018 Author Share Posted December 30, 2018 Looks better, but I don't think its gets it done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts