TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 1 hour ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I was certainly not excited by overnight runs. Still looks best N of here. Yup. We remain checked out. All I see is places a little further south will be in the game, but nowhere near here anytime soon. Winter is meh. Another rain event on Jan 5th. I’d rather it just be 60 and sunny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Ha ha! ... riiight. Yeah that changes the landscape a little, huh. Up there we got other things to consider - it's kind of low-grade Mountain Meteorological consideration at all times, but enough so to matter. Sorry I don't have immediate familiarization of where other's hale from... even if it is written in their avatar region. That's because I'm an asshole... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I mentioned this earlier .. but, I don't think it likely ...particularly in the American cluster as an afterthought, the mid week would improve through the daylight hours of runs. Hopefully I'm wrong... I hate to see people frustrated ... it would be nice to give them a nice deliciously modeled dystopic bomb at all times... but, here in reality I'm wondering what's being sampled over the Pac south of Alaska. Yeah, I mean it was kind of a low confidence thing too. We'll see what 12z brings. For me personally, a little -SN would just be nice to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 If it's any consolation, I was just in the mode of hoping for any kind of snow/frozen after basically nothing since November. Finally got some Thursday and about half my yard is still coated. So, hopefully the trends will continue to move the better chances from north to south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Might be a couple of SHSN or a squall tomorrow aftn in some areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuildingScienceWx Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 20 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Are we in Phase 7 already? Yes, really moving now huh? Spent weeks in phases 4 and 5, but less than 48 hours in phase 7 lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Would it be another 1-3” deal? I dunno If we can handle another Like we saw last year? was obvious yesterday this was going the way of fraud. Mon.nite is garbage and back side of trough energy rarely pans out especially with the difficulty models have modeling in extremely fast flow until the flow slows down and there is buckling and traffic in the N Atlantic there will be no confidence and wild swings w anything 3.5 days out (plus) and would be cool if that was kept it mind maybe N SNE sees an inch tues am and CNE 2-3”. Seems possible if not likely even Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 12z GFS spitting out a couple inches here tonight, Usually its warm, I think i'm selling on that as it comes down to cold getting in here while the precip is falling, Maybe some mangled paws though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I dunno If we can handle another Like we saw last year? was obvious yesterday this was going the way of fraud. Mon.nite is garbage and back side of trough energy rarely pans out especially with the difficulty models have modeling in extremely fast flow until the flow slows down and there is buckling and traffic in the N Atlantic there will be no confidence and wild swings w anything 3.5 days out (plus) and would be cool if that was kept it mind Good post! Very good to keep In mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 12z GFS a bit more potent with the energy for the second low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Congrats to MPM today for being the QPF jackpot for a January storm, too bad it's rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Lol. Y'all are brutal. Kevin meant "another" 1-3" in the context of getting 1-3" Tuesday morning and then round two on Wednesday gives another 1-3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 5, 2019 Author Share Posted January 5, 2019 8 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: For rain QPF?? Yes lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 12z GFS a bit more potent with the energy for the second low. Little better look @H5 with that s/w as it looks to be a few tics further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Started a thread...in many winters this would not even warrant one. Maybe we can begin to turn the page... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Hmm..what do we have here at hr 96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 That would be a nice hit on part two for some in SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Lol. Y'all are brutal. Kevin meant "another" 1-3" in the context of getting 1-3" Tuesday morning and then round two on Wednesday gives another 1-3". Debbie’s and Nancy’s all over these boards this morning. What a bipolar thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Hmm..what do we have here at hr 96. Right on your head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 18 minutes ago, BuildingScienceWx said: Yes, really moving now huh? Spent weeks in phases 4 and 5, but less than 48 hours in phase 7 lmao This is exactly what we do not want. IF its correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: Right on your head. Swings a batch of decent snows south. I'd take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Swings a batch of decent snows south. I'd take it. A closed H5 vortmax right over James. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Swings a batch of decent snows south. I'd take it. What would u put the odds of advisory snows at ...right now from this one ...so ppl don’t become carried away. 20-30%? Closer to 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Nice weenie IVT on gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Canadian tries to show this too. Ukie and euro will be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: What would u put the odds of advisory snows at ...right now from this one ...so ppl don’t become carried away. 20-30%? for part one? Seems low. Maybe 1-2 with a spot 3 near NH or VT border. Second part seems highly questionable and could change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 GFS would be 6-8" over the two days up here for both parts total, We take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 27 minutes ago, BuildingScienceWx said: Yes, really moving now huh? Spent weeks in phases 4 and 5, but less than 48 hours in phase 7 lmao 8 is our money. Based o tips chart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: for part one? Seems low. Maybe 1-2 with a spot 3 near NH or VT border. Second part seems highly questionable and could change. What amount is advisory ? WWA in non ice storm i was thinking more part deux of this thing .....part 1 ....most realists would be thrilled if 1-2” doesn’t morph into dusting to a slushy coating or see this weaken any more in the 2.5 -3days left till it begins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Yeah... again, it smacks as assimilation vs physical materialization of input causing that variance... I don't see another source. The problem in a governing sense is that that situation mid week is highly sensitive to subtle errors ...errors that ultimately have to come from the initialization data, because the Physical equations that guide the outcomes don't change themselves. It's gotta be that wave mechanics situated over the lower GOA ... it's nearing the west coast. Ha...I'm smiling at the moment because it's really true - when one is starving they focus so intently on the crumbs of salvation. If we were in one of those patterns where we're getting snow with least excuse imagined ...we wouldn't even be having this discussion about Tuesday. Anyway, yeah Scott... in that same vein...I've long since cast asunder any expectations and even that 20 minutes of snow two mornings ago had it's place for me. It's awesome when one gives up - losing expectation will set you free! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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