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Orangeburgwx

December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

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4 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said:

Yes that would be my assumption with it. It had a great track once it got going east of Savannah but then played hop scotch over the Atlantic lol! That should promote some form of southeast flow with that track and at least aid in lift for a little. Honestly if I got 8” I’d be tickled. 

Appreciate. Ill be suprised if yall dont end up with.75+ QPF. We all know when the dust settles from the mtns to the sea whos gonna end up with 20+ and he resides in Surry County NC. Hes been quietly lurking. Busy Getting film in his polaroid 

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1 minute ago, Cold Rain said:

Poiman, what service do you use for that map?

It's at www.weathernerds.org  (I just discovered it this week myself). It's a great free site.  

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24 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Wow. 

snku_acc.us_ma (6).png

Geeze that's insanity... currently camped out here in banner elk. Still a few inches of snow on the ground from earlier in the wk.

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All I know is at this point I’m ready for those NE winds to kick in cause it is just refusing to cool down right now. Still 42 with 38 dewpoint

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13 minutes ago, BIG FROSTY said:

You coming up for the historic storm and help him out? 

 

Was and still might have to. Lights went out on the ole 9ft frazier fir in LR tonight. So wifey has a new agenda for me this weekend. 

Sorry for banter. Time for gfs. Your sitting in a sweet spot for this one. Good luck, you where the last poster to make a run at 20 when you hit 19 a few years back. Dont even think snow joe has hit 20 with one storm at 4000 plus feet.

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3 minutes ago, GunBlade said:

Beauty is in the eye of the beholder.  Places like CLT and just south will be hoping the FV3 is right. 

I would love to see it verify as well, simply because it gives decent amounts for pretty much everyone on this board. 

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5 minutes ago, strongwxnc said:


My county, rutherford, goes from 2” to touching 24”.
Wow


.

It can happen.. Sleet is going to be a major issue for you as you know all to well.

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For a hint of what may lie ahead in terms of incredible moisture, as of 9 pm CST, here are a few precipitation totals in Texas:

Houston: 2.55" (heavy rain was still falling)
Huntsville: 3.79" (heavy rain was still falling)
Palacios: 3.42"

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Just now, donsutherland1 said:

For a hint of what may lie ahead in terms of incredible moisture, as of 9 pm CST, here are a few precipitation totals in Texas:

Houston: 2.55" (heavy rain was still falling)
Huntsville: 3.79" (heavy rain was still falling)
Palacios: 3.42"

Great post Don!

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For a hint of what may lie ahead in terms of incredible moisture, as of 9 pm CST, here are a few precipitation totals in Texas:
Houston: 2.55" (heavy rain was still falling)
Huntsville: 3.79" (heavy rain was still falling)
Palacios: 3.42"

It has been nothing but wet this year! Thanks for posting. Those are impressive


.
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10 minutes ago, griteater said:

Sure seems like it’s NAM and the Canadian models against UKMet / GFS / Euro regarding the southern fringe temps and the northern extent of the precip shield - 2 disparate camps 

For what it’s worth ICON has been rock steady as well. 0z still has it CHS to MYR. Heavy snows Greensboro, Winston Salem, Mt Airy and on up into ROA. CLT looks to be a rain sounding if the ICON comes to fruition.

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0z RGEM another northern system. Does a miller b like transfer to CHS and heads up the coast to the outer banks. Heavy heavy snows northernmost NC/mountains and foothills and all of southern VA. Double digit totals throughout that whole region. 

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NWS reasoning for expanding the Winter Storm Watch in Georgia:

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
945 PM EST Fri Dec 7 2018


.UPDATE...

Main adjustment this evening was to expand the Winter Storm Watch
farther west and south given growing concern for some freezing
rain accumulations in a strengthening wedge Saturday night into
Sunday. This was based on some higher resolution guidance
advecting the subfreezing low level temps/wetbulbs farther into
the area, including the local WRF which has resolved past wedges
quite well. There is still much uncertainty with temps, timing,
and amount of moisture but the fact that models which typically
perform better with the local terrain and smaller scale
microphysical processes are bringing in some freezing rain mainly
north of the I-20 corridor and impinging into the far northeast
Atlanta metro was justification enough to expand. Also even higher
snow totals could be realized in the NE mountains. The watch area
could be upgraded to either a Warning or Advisory in future
updates so please watch for any changes. Previous discussion
follows.
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1 minute ago, SLAMSTORM22 said:

While we are in a lull between models, being new to the area, I live in Mooresville. Is that considered NW Piedmont or I85 corridor. Thank you in advance! 

You're NW of the 85 corridor but not "NW piedmont"... that's Taylorsville to Wilkesboro terrain.  We are a part of that iffy area... could be 16", could be 3" with slop.  We'll find out!

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