mackerel_sky Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, WidreMann said: The Euro probably looks the best in the lead up. But no follow up cold air is going to be problematic. How many decent snows have we gotten, and within 2 days, in the mid 50s+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 10 minutes ago, griteater said: Tonight's map update from WPC...textbook look here for many Almost a match.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Alright, who's doing play by play for 0z GFS and 0z CMC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Waiting on the clown map pastebombs tonight, showing everything painted 12÷ south of Mt Airy, BIG FROSTY. He'll be shaded in the dusting color all the way up to the start of the event. Then when we post final storm obs he'll have 19 and rest of us will be talking about what almost was. 3 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 So far, no big changes between 18z and 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 I'm just glad we're not in NAM range yet. I need to have a somewhat productive week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 1 minute ago, NCSNOW said: Waiting on the clown map pastebombs tonight, showing everything painted 12÷ south of Mt Airy, BIG FROSTY. He'll be shaded in the dusting color all the way up to the start of the event. Then when we post final storm obs he'll have 19 and rest of us will be talking about what almost was. Maybe someone will get a 25" paste from the 0z GFS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 1 minute ago, NCSNOW said: Waiting on the clown map pastebombs tonight, showing everything painted 12÷ south of Mt Airy, BIG FROSTY. He'll be shaded in the dusting color all the way up to the start of the event. Then when we post final storm obs he'll have 19 and rest of us will be talking about what almost was. Yeah buddy! You know you got this, And I'll be sitting here watching the wheels go round and round! I'll have to wait till later in the winter........ You look to be bulls eye in the southward shift, it may come back north a bit. That's all I need is a slight shift north and we both happy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 8 minutes ago, SENC said: Almost a match.. Not really. Two totally different scenarios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 1 minute ago, BIG FROSTY said: Yeah buddy! You know you got this, And I'll be sitting here watching the wheels go round and round! I'll have to wait till later in the winter........ You look to be bulls eye in the southward shift, it may come back north a bit. That's all I need is a slight shift north and we both happy! And I'll take your north shift and raise you one more. Just don't tell @Buddy1987 or @Disc ! 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 00z CMC is north. Major winter storm for WNC into VA. Verbatim it has dual sfc lows in E TN and E SC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 1 minute ago, griteater said: 00z CMC is north. Major winter storm for WNC into VA. Verbatim it has dual sfc lows in E TN and E SC And so it begins. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 1 minute ago, griteater said: 00z CMC is north. Major winter storm for WNC into VA. Verbatim it has dual sfc lows in E TN and E SC 0Z ICON looked similar, FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 00z GFS is also further north and a little warmer. Might be the beginning of the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, griteater said: 00z CMC is north. Major winter storm for WNC into VA. Verbatim it has dual sfc lows in E TN and E SC North of last run, North of all other models!? It’s good for thermals, not sure about anything else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Here we go... everything north so far. After a day of miller A's, miller B is back on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Just now, WidreMann said: 00z GFS is also further north and a little warmer. Might be the beginning of the end. Yep the sanitarium will fill up quickly. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 00z GFS is a touch north, but I think it will stay fairly suppressed based on 500mb 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Just now, mackerel_sky said: North of last run, North of all other models!? It’s good for thermals, not sure about anything else North of last run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Just now, Waiting on snow said: Yep the sanitarium will fill up quickly. Nah. Early December snow is bonus snow. I'm surprised we even have an event on the table. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 The HP is looking pretty sad at 138. I don't think it has enough time to build in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Yup! 132 GFS has banana high pressures situated. The high north of the area is progged a couple mb’s weaker comparing to 18z, whereas it was at 1038 and now at 1034. Low is north and east of 18z position. Let’s see where it goes here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 much warmer at 144, nice cold rain for much of nc. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 0z runs are gonna be a BIG YIKES across the board. Confetti rains in the MA forum... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Just now, DopplerWx said: much warmer at 144, nice cold rain for much of nc. Not even that cold. Surface temps in the lower 40s. Granted, that's only a few degrees above 18z, but still. Nothing too big. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Canadian is an apps runner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 GFS with its typical warm bias when it comes to cad events me thinks but face value it is significantly warmer than most runs previous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Raging rain storm on the GFS for pretty much all of NC. ICON/GGEM similar as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Honestly, it's not really much further north. It's just faster. The cold air doesn't have time to build in. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 3 model runs, 3 North shifts! Bad start to the week, if you like snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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