December Discussion

[78Blizzard]

4 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

Huge coastal storm next weekend on the GFS

Inland snow and coastal rain

Let's see if the GFS can lock that d9-10 system in like the Euro has for the last 4 days with our latest miss.  I'm not betting on it.

[MJO812]

3 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

Let's see if the GFS can lock that d9-10 system in like the Euro has for the last 4 days with our latest miss.  I'm not betting on it.

Ukie is doing the best with the system for this weekend. It never showed a storm riding the coast.

[FRWEATHA]

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Huge high over the Atlantic and a low over se Canada...classic.

Just begging for a  positive cold-dry-whiff/warm-wet oscillation.

Sounds like a "classic" 80s hit?

[SnoSki14]

41 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Huge high over the Atlantic and a low over se Canada...classic.

Just begging for a  positive cold-dry-whiff/warm-wet oscillation.

Ugly pattern for sure, but congrats NC/VA and S NJ apparently.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

38 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Huge high over the Atlantic and a low over se Canada...classic.

Just begging for a  positive cold-dry-whiff/warm-wet oscillation.

We ingest these types of potential outcomes as part of our climo. in NE.   This relatively calm period is a deviation from the action that is coming later.

[Toekneeweather]

Just now, SnoSki14 said:

Ugly pattern for sure, but congrats NC/VA and S NJ apparently.

It’s over for us isn’t it?

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Have not seen this kind of dry in a long, long time.   Hate to say it but I'm all good with a period of no precipitation.  It's been 6 months seen I've seen a forecast that was this dry.

 

Overnight

Mostly clear, with a low around 19. Calm wind.

Thursday

Increasing clouds, with a high near 37. Calm wind becoming southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon.

Thursday Night

Isolated snow showers between 10pm and 11pm. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 24. Southwest wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Friday

Sunny, with a high near 32. Northwest wind 5 to 9 mph.

Friday Night

Mostly clear, with a low around 8. Northwest wind 3 to 6 mph.

Saturday

Sunny, with a high near 27. Northwest wind 3 to 7 mph.

Saturday Night

Mostly clear, with a low around 12. Light west wind.

Sunday

Sunny, with a high near 33. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon.

Sunday Night

Mostly clear, with a low around 17. Light west wind.

Monday

Mostly sunny, with a high near 34. Light north wind.

Monday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 18. Light north wind.

Tuesday

Mostly sunny, with a high near 32. Light northwest wind.

Tuesday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 18. Light west wind.

Wednesday

Mostly sunny, with a high near 32. Light northwest wind.

[USCAPEWEATHERAF]

00z GEFS mean is more of a miller B snowstorm type for New England instead of the previous run which showed a cutter.  Watch this storm period 15/16th of DEC, +PNA, -AO and -NAO present.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Zzzzzz

cold and dry , storms relax, then cold relaxes 

good news is it’s december 5’th 

[CoastalWx]

Euro ugly too for 12/10.

[NorEastermass128]

6z GFS whiffs DC. 

About to board that Ginxy train. Holding out until 12z tomorrow. 

[weathafella]

I didn’t think 11-15 looked so wonderful to tell you the truth.   I realize James is building castles in the sky but the rest of you may want to temper enthusiasm until post 12/20-27. Of course home grown cold is always possible so chances arent zero.

[moneypitmike]

Well, I'm glad I had lost interest in this one back on Monday.  I didn't even look at the board after yesterday morning until now.  The number of new pages immediately told me "it's over".  Over before it even began.

Not that it matters at this point, the 06z GFS moved next week's coastal back to an inside-runner.

Let's enjoy the cool temps.  At least we can feel wintery.  And, I can take advantage of no snow to stack some wood over the weekend.

[CoastalWx]

32 minutes ago, weathafella said:

I didn’t think 11-15 looked so wonderful to tell you the truth.   I realize James is building castles in the sky but the rest of you may want to temper enthusiasm until post 12/20-27. Of course home grown cold is always possible so chances arent zero.

Post 12/25

[moneypitmike]

GYX raises the torch alarm.

 a major pattern change may
be in store by weekend as upper level ridging advances across
the CONUS.

[weathafella]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Post 12/25

I wouldn’t be surprised if it’s New Years.

[Damage In Tolland]

I won’t be surprised if we all have a white Xmas 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

I wouldn’t be surprised if it’s New Years.

Well you know how it goes. It can be shorter or longer by a few. But, there was a reason why I’ve been saying that. 

[CoastalWx]

But, don’t forget among the mild times, you can sneak in a marginal event or two.

[JBinStoughton]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

But, don’t forget among the mild times, you can sneak in a marginal event or two.

If we can get the party started by late Dec or early Jan that wouldn’t be half bad. We’ve certainly had to wait much longer than that before.  Let’s hope once it starts, it stays.  

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, JBinStoughton said:

If we can get the party started by late Dec or early Jan that wouldn’t be half bad. We’ve certainly had to wait much longer than that before.  Let’s hope once it starts, it stays.  

It’s typical December niño. We likely will miss next week so that’s bad luck. That’s how it goes sometimes. The pattern overall has been decent.

[Hazey]

Weenies trying to keep weekend storm alive

[Zach’s Pop]

41 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I won’t be surprised if we all have a white Xmas 

This. Notice the same guys that were all one eyed pig talk don’t mention it anymore. So why should they be believed now?? 3-4 day relaxation and then winter. Not bitterly cold but not the 2-3 week bleek picture some were pimping last week. 

[CoastalWx]

Seems like Dad is going senile. Going to have to put him in a home soon.

[Zach’s Pop]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Seems like Dad is going senile. Going to have to put him in a home soon.

Really?? Would you like me to bump your posts from early last week??  Careful before you say yes. 

[CoastalWx]

5 minutes ago, Zach’s Pop said:

Really?? Would you like me to bump your posts from early last week??  Careful before you say yes. 

Pull up a 500 MB anomaly map and squeal like a pig.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

3 minutes ago, Zach’s Pop said:

Really?? Would you like me to bump your posts from early last week??  Careful before you say yes. 

Im not sure what you’re seeing,but the longer range doesn’t look good. Sure you can sneak an event in amid an overall milder pattern, but that doesn’t make it a good look.

I definitely wouldn’t call it a 3-4 day relaxation and return to winter.

 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

10 minutes ago, Zach’s Pop said:

This. Notice the same guys that were all one eyed pig talk don’t mention it anymore. So why should they be believed now?? 3-4 day relaxation and then winter. Not bitterly cold but not the 2-3 week bleek picture some were pimping last week. 

Also, I’m not sure what you’re deal is. They were right. It’s going to become hostile for a time, definitely longer than a few days too. 

[LurkerBoy]

10 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Im not sure what you’re seeing,but the longer range doesn’t look good. Sure you can sneak an event in amid an overall milder pattern, but that doesn’t make it a good look.

I definitely wouldn’t call it a 3-4 day relaxation and return to winter.

 

I think you're wrong, that's exactly what it looks like. LR looks fine. 

[weathafella]

30 minutes ago, Zach’s Pop said:

This. Notice the same guys that were all one eyed pig talk don’t mention it anymore. So why should they be believed now?? 3-4 day relaxation and then winter. Not bitterly cold but not the 2-3 week bleek picture some were pimping last week. 

Check out 11-15 on all the ensembles.   Here in SNE we may sneak something in with home grown eastern Canada cold but the pattern is not good-not completely awful but when the pv is on the other side of the world and western Canada is getting flooded with milder air it’s not great.   I have no doubt about the overall evolution to goodness late month.   But we have to cruise and hope to have some cold winning locally when it’s the underdog.