Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Locked , Runnawayburger wanted it he got it 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 For Scooter so you can watch it snow. Faced pressed up against the screen just like he does looking out his window. I sure you all see the resemblance http://www.resortcams.com/webcams/king-street-boone/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Steve trolling snowless folks here....Leo honking....what the blue fuk is going on here? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Mt Holly says don't give up just yet "The 12z ECMWF and GFS keep this system well to the south of the region as it progresses off the coast Sunday night. To be blunt, I am not buying what the models are selling, though I do think the sharp gradient in precipitation on the north side makes physical sense (given the strength of the surface high to its north). A perusal of ensemble guidance suggests the trend has been for a slower exit stage east of the southern-stream system, and there are indications that the interaction with the upstream northern perturbation somewhere in the vicinity of the northern plains late this weekend could act to (1) force the southern-stream system farther north with time (as models tend to struggle mightily with at this time range) and (2) act to develop a secondary low somewhere upstream (west) of the southern- stream low. According to the 12z ECMWF, this second low is prevented from moving northward by a digging shortwave in eastern Canada early next week. However, the GFS is much faster with this trough, suggesting that timing uncertainty is very large with this important feature. With so many perturbations and complex interactions at play and large run-to-run variability, I tend to resort to systematic biases of each model as a starting point. At this time range, models often are too aggressive with the northern-stream kicking the southern- stream system offshore before the inevitable northwest-trending tracks within 48 to 72 hours of the event. The 12z CMC is worthy of noting its farther northwest track and has been fairly consistent with this. Given all of the above, it is premature to trim PoPs in our area Sunday afternoon through Monday night. In fact, I spread PoPs northward to account for what I suspect are model biases exhibiting their usual selves. Given the trend this cool season so far, broad-brushing the timing and expanding PoPs well northward of medium-range consensus seems to me the wise choice at this juncture." 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 24 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: I’d be interested to know whether the Pope still thinks this cuts with the best snows for NH and VT...inquiring minds would like to know. He is listening to confession about folks admitting to there slant sticking techniques. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 53 minutes ago, leo2000 said: Just about everyone from the Great Plains on east is colder in that new run. We take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: Steve trolling snowless folks here....Leo honking....what the blue fuk is going on here? LOL you would think its March 30th with some of these folks. Wishing and weenying their will to get a storm up the coast, its Modoki Nino it won't miss, they always trend North, poor sampling of shortwaves.... When the Euro locks, put it to bed for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: color me not surprised the Euro is locked in to WNC for 4 straight days Who cares...the Euro has been locked before and blew it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Steve doesn’t want to pay anyone to do snow removal this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 37 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gone wild Can we just enjoy how amazing this is lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Who cares...the Euro has been locked before and blew it. I care, you should too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Steve: My point is, that whole region north of arctic circle is pretty bad. Chris gave some good reasons why. I don't quite buy the sampling stuff with all the satellite data that the Euro assimilates, only area I would say is suspect is the Arctic with all the cold reflectivities as Will pointed out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Steve doesn’t want to pay anyone to do snow removal this winter. Um I snow blowed Nov 15th. Besides having children and grandchildren has its bennies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Don’t forget Ginxy looking at the arc of sea scrolls....”it is beautiful..!!” 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: I care, you should too A miss is obviously favored, but writing this off is silly at this juncture. Fact, not opinion. I don't think we are going to have a blizzard, but a seasoned vet like you should know better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: Steve: My point is, that whole region north of arctic circle is pretty bad. Chris gave some good reasons why. I don't quite buy the sampling stuff with all the satellite data that the Euro assimilates, only area I would say is suspect is the Arctic with all the cold reflectivities as Will pointed out. Well lets hope its blowing chunks up there because nothing in the modeling world indicates this turns the corner. We are inside day 5 now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: A miss is obviously favored, but writing this off is silly at this juncture. Fact, not opinion. I don't think we are going to have a blizzard, but a seasoned vet like you should know better. IDK not seeing anything myself but we follow like we always do, Save a horse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Well lets hope its blowing chunks up there because nothing in the modeling world indicates this turns the corner. We are inside day 5 now I think we all agree it’s a tough call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Don’t forget Ginxy looking at the arc of sea scrolls....”it is beautiful..!!” when the Mets melt they melt with the best of them, Torch! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 5 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Can we just enjoy how amazing this is lol Jennifer Aniston doppelganger? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: IDK not seeing anything myself but we follow like we always do, Save a horse Obviously the smart money is on a miss, right now...no argument. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: when the Mets melt they melt with the best of them, Torch! Oh just laugh lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 I was never on the la epic December train, so I'm not biased....but I have seen more radical changes at shorter leads when dealing with an assortment of northern stream vorts...all I'm saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Besides I’ve been talking about relaxation. Just would have been nice to grab a little before we mild up. Other than the possible cutter, doesn’t look torchy. Might even still get interior snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Oh just laugh lol. I never stop my man, life is too short, sort of like Ray 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Just now, Ginx snewx said: I never stop my man, life is too short, sort of like Ray Its true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its true. Things turn on a dime, life, weather included. Lets hope this southern snow is a great sign. Sh it Norleans and Houston had snow before we did last year but most of us have already had 6 plus with some NNE kids like Brian wanting spring already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Don’t forget Ginxy looking at the arc of sea scrolls....”it is beautiful..!!” "Don't look at it! Keep your eyes shut!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 35 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Besides I’ve been talking about relaxation. Just would have been nice to grab a little before we mild up. Other than the possible cutter, doesn’t look torchy. Might even still get interior snow. The 18z GFS has turned that cutter into a coastal on d10, 966mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 , 1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said: The 18z GFS has turned that cutter into a coastal on d10, 966mb. It looks like the gfs got hung up at hr 120? Is this today’s 18z run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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