Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    15,393
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    NW_of_GYX
    Newest Member
    NW_of_GYX
    Joined
Rtd208

November 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread

Recommended Posts

5 hours ago, Snow88 said:

Possible snow next weekend ?

I wouldn't rule out some frozen precip.

The air masses that are coming through aren't too bad for mid November but we don't really have a strong, dynamic system that can bring those cold temps toward the coast.

I think we'll be waiting at least 3-4 weeks before we can take these threats more seriously. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Another storm will likely bring a general 0.50" to 1.00" precipitation with isolated amounts of up to 1.50" to parts of the Middle Atlantic and southern New England regions late Monday night into Tuesday, including Boston, New York City, Newark, and Philadelphia. The following table depicts year-to-date precipitation, 2018's ranking, and ranking scenarios for 0.50" to 1.50" precipitation.

Annual-Precipitation11112018.jpg

Baltimore, Charleston (WV), and Reading remain on course to set a new annual precipitation record this year.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
On 11/10/2018 at 5:46 AM, NycStormChaser said:

Yeah it was definitely cold enough to support that yesterday morning 

Also snowed on Saturday morning after the cold front passed, we actually had some heavy snow squalls with sunshine in between (and some periods of snow with blue skies lol), everything had a coating on it.  Pond has frozen over also (a light freeze at the top.)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

...hard freeze here this morning..

24.3* here in eastport

21* @ Gabreski

KFOK below freezing since 5pm on sunday..its amazing once wind goes calm..temps drop.

love that radiational cooling!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

27 this morning.

32 line down to the northern Bronx.

40 crossing Whitestone Bridge.

37 with frost at JFK.

 

It is amazing how cold FOK gets and how hard it is to get cold in the LGA area.

 

 

 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
26 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said:

Late week system looks warmer with the overnight runs. Oh well.

I think it’s starts as frozen even at the coast but turn to rain pretty quickly 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The coming rainstorm has been getting underway across the South. Already, Atlanta has picked up 0.16" rain and Athens, GA has received 0.13". Periods of light rain have brought 0.02" to Nashville. In such cities as Atlanta, Florence, Greensboro, and Raleigh, 2.00"-3.00" rain is likely from the coming storm.

The GFS has moved into better agreement with the NAM overnight. It still appears that the NYC Metro Area and nearby region will likely pick up 0.50" to 1.00" rain with local amounts as high as 1.50".

Finally, New York City's Central Park continues to await its first freeze. Outside the City, temperatures were in the 20s at many locations. At 6 am, temperatures included: Danbury: 24°, Newark: 33°; Poughkeepsie: 24°, Westhampton: 21°, and White Plains: 29°. Following the storm, an even colder air mass should move across the region.

  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Long range guidance keeps shifting colder. A record November 588 dm ridge builds near the UK this week. So we get a colder -EPO/-NAO pattern. These extreme blocking patterns have become the new normal.

IMG_0324.thumb.PNG.2f14ff1d5919d993d2f9fe54de77e2e0.PNG

 

 

 

 

 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
30 minutes ago, tim said:

...not bad for nassau county.

Thanks, surprisingly I radiate well here in Syosset.  Even beating my other weather station at my parent’s house in Muttontown. 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Ericjcrash said:

Late week system looks warmer with the overnight runs. Oh well.

Not really

Euro is the warmest

We still have to watch it

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Long range guidance keeps shifting colder. A record November 588 dm ridge builds near the UK this week. So we get a colder -EPO/-NAO pattern. These extreme blocking patterns have become the new normal.

IMG_0324.thumb.PNG.2f14ff1d5919d993d2f9fe54de77e2e0.PNG

 

 

 

 

 

Euro has the NAO, AO and PNA staying favorable. Way different than the original forecast.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
32 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

Euro has the NAO, AO and PNA staying favorable. Way different than the original forecast.

It would fit with our new 2010's fall climatology around here. November has been the only fall month able to generate cold for us.

NYC fall 2010's cold months

Sep.... 1 year just -0.2

Oct.....0 years

Nov... 4 years through Nov 17

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Got down to 22 last night. First real hard freeze of the season. 

Looks like a pattern shift to a more mild, less stormy regime will build in for Turkey week.

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Haven't looked at the Euro, but pretty good agreement between the NAM, RGEM and GFS on anther widespread 1"+ rain event over the next 36 hours.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
20 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

Got down to 22 last night. First real hard freeze of the season. 

Looks like a pattern shift to a more mild, less stormy regime will build in for Turkey week.

 

Not sure about a mild regime

Euro tellies show the NAO, AO and PNA favorable.

Maybe a very brief warm-up but nothing prolonged.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×