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November 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread


Rtd208

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5 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

wow I just transposed the middle two digits on the first one ;-)

so in both cases we are talking about 1800s.

I wonder if this winter will be as rare as 1995-96 or 2010-11 when we were pulling old analogs like that.

You never really know anymore what will happen, there can be years like 2016 and 2006 which were duds except for two big daddy's, or years when everyone swears it will be great and not much happens. Or like 2015, nothing happening until well into Jan. 2015 was strange in that we racked up a lot of inches after Jan with mostly smaller events, the biggest coming in early March, with a cold powdery storm to boot. I never pay much attention to long term patterns but when PB or Forky write something, I pay attention

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3 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

You never really know anymore what will happen, there can be years like 2016 and 2006 which were duds except for two big daddy's, or years when everyone swears it will be great and not much happens. Or like 2015, nothing happening until well into Jan. 2015 was strange in that we racked up a lot of inches after Jan with mostly smaller events, the biggest coming in early March, with a cold powdery storm to boot. I never pay much attention to long term patterns but when PB or Forky write something, I pay attention

Feb 2015 was the coldest month in a long long time- it felt like the Arctic had taken up residence down here!

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At 8 pm, the temperature at Saranac Lake, New York had fallen to -9°. That breaks the daily record of -4° that was set this morning. Prior to 2018, the daily record was -2°, which was set in 1972 and tied in 1987. At Binghamton, the temperature was 6°, which breaks the daily record of 7° set this morning. Prior to 2018, the daily record was 10°, which was established in 1989. The 20° 8 pm temperature at Islip tied the daily record which was set in 1987.

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Preliminary record-breaking and record-tying low temperatures for November 22: Through 9 pm

Albany: 8° (old record: 9°, 1969)
Bangor: 5° (old record: 11°, 1978)
Binghamton: 7° (old record: 10°, 1989)
Bridgeport: 18° (tied record set in 1987)
Danbury: 15° (old record: 16°, 1969)
Hartford: 11° (old record: 14°, 1969)
Islip: 19° (old record: 20°, 1987)
Manchester: 9° (old record: 12°, 1969)
Mount Washington: -26° (old record: -11° set in 1969 and tied in 1987) ***Broke November Record (old monthly record: -20°, 11/30/1958)***
New Haven: 18° (old record: 20°, 1969)
New York City-JFK: 20° (tied record set in 1987)
New York City-LGA: 21° (tied record set in 1987)
Newark: 19° (tied record set in 1987)
Portland: 6° (old record: 11°, 1888)
Providence: 15° (old record: 16° set in 1969 and tied in 1987)
Saranac Lake: -12° (old record: -2° set in 1972 and tied in 1987)
Scranton: 13° (old record: 15° set in 1969 and tied in 1987 and 2014)
White Plains: 17° (old record: 18° set in 1972 and tied in 1987)
Worcester: 7° (old record: 11°, 1987)

Note: Some of these figures could be challenged or broken prior to midnight should radiational cooling develop as winds diminish.

 

Record Low Maximum Temperatures for November 22:

Albany: 19° (old record: 25°, 1880)
Allentown: 29° (old record: 31°, 1964)
Bangor: 14° (old record: 24°, 2008) ***Tied November record set on 11/27/1978***
Binghamton: 15° (old record: 22°, 1959 and 2008) ***Tied November record set on 11/30/1976***
Boston: 24° (tied record set in 1880)
Bridgeport: 29° (old record: 30°, 1972)
Caribou: 11° (old record: 18°, 1972) ***Tied November record set on 11/27/1978***
Hartford: 21° (old record: 27°, 1978)
Islip: 29° (old record: 31°, 2008)
Manchester: 19° (old record: 25°, 2008) ***Broke November Record (old monthly record: 21°, 11/29/1929)***
New York City-JFK: 29° (old record: 34°, 1949 and 2008)
New York City-LGA: 29° (old record: 31°, 1972)
Newark: 29° (old record: 33°, 1949)
Portland: 17° (old record: 25°, 1880)
Providence: 24° (old record: 30°, 2008)
Poughkeepsie: 27° (old record: 30°, 1972 and 1978)
Saranac Lake: 8° (old record: 10°, 1987) ***Broke November Record (old monthly record: 10°, 11/30/1936 and 11/22/1987)***
Scranton: 23° (old record: 28°, 1949, 1972, 1989, 2000, and 2008)
Trenton: 30° (tied record set in 1880)
Worcester: 16° (old record: 24°, 2008) ***Broke November Record (old monthly record: 20°, 11/30/1958)***

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At Central Park, the temperature was 18°. That is the coldest November reading there since November 21, 1987 when the temperature also fell to 18°

At Binghamton, the temperature had fallen to 5°. That further extends today's record low temperature. The previous daily record of 10° was set in 1989.

At Saranac Lake, the temperature was -16°. That further extends today's record low temperature. The prior daily record was -2°, which was set in 1972 and tied in 2000. It also sets a new November record. The previous record was -14°, which was set on November 26, 1938 and tied on November 28, 1951.

Additional records were set in the past hour at Newark (18°) and LGA (20°).

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Preliminary record-breaking and record-tying low temperatures for November 22: Through 11 pm:

Albany: 8° (old record: 9°, 1969)
Bangor: 5° (old record: 11°, 1978)
Binghamton: 5° (old record: 10°, 1989)
Bridgeport: 17° (old record: 18°, 1987)
Danbury: 14° (old record: 16°, 1969)
Hartford: 11° (old record: 14°, 1969)
Islip: 19° (old record: 20°, 1987)
Manchester: 9° (old record: 12°, 1969)
Mount Washington: -26° (old record: -11° set in 1969 and tied in 1987) ***Broke November Record (old monthly record: -20°, 11/30/1958)***
New Haven: 18° (old record: 20°, 1969)
New York City-JFK: 19° (old record: 20°, 1987) ***Tied November Record set on 11/30/1976 and tied on 11/21/1987***
New York City-LGA: 20° (old record: 21°, 1987)
Newark: 18° (old record: 19°, 1987)
Portland: 6° (old record: 11°, 1888)
Poughkeepsie: 11° (old record: 14° set in 1972 and tied in 1984)
Providence: 15° (old record: 16° set in 1969 and tied in 1987)
Saranac Lake: -16° (old record: -2° set in 1972 and tied in 1987) ***Broke November Record (Old monthly record: -14°, set 11/26/1938 and tied on 11/28/1951)***
Scranton: 12° (old record: 15° set in 1969 and tied in 1987 and 2014)
White Plains: 15° (old record: 18° set in 1972 and tied in 1987) ***Tied November Record set on 11/27/1949 and tied on 11/29/1955 and 11/30/1976***
Worcester: 7° (old record: 11°, 1987)

Note: Some of these figures could still be challenged or broken prior to midnight should radiational cooling develop as winds diminish.

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Next 8 days averaging 40degs., or about 3 degs. BN.

Month to date is  -3.3[45.8].       November should end at about  -3.2[44.3].    This must be 1.5sd units BN, based on say the last 60 years.

As for a snowstorm during the next 15 days, it looks like "Cutter City", relative to the EC.

17.2 at 5am here.    18.5 at 7am.   29.1 at Noon.

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