SACRUS Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 4 hours ago, CIK62 said: Next 8 days averaging 79degs., or 4degs. AN. Month to date is +4.2 [80.2]. Should be +4.1 [80.1] by the 20th. LGA: +6.0 (83.4) EWR: +4.9 (81.8) TTN: +5.4 (80.5) NYC: +4.0 (80.2 PHL: +3.5 (81.5) JFK: +3.4 (79.3) ISP: +5.3 (79.1) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 Today looks to get back to the 80s in most spots with more sun than yesterday. You Could see the East-NE flow at the surface and mid level clouds racing from the SW (if the image is cached - just goto the site- ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 Next shot at widespread heat (90s) continues to look like Wed (8/15) - Fri (8/17) with THu/Fri possibly getting into the mid 90s as 850s are forecast to be in the 18C - 22C range. Pending on storms and subsequent clouds which at this point look scattered, should see next heatwave potential. beyond there may deal with more closed/ ULL in the 8/20-8/22 timeframe before next heat spike on/around 8/23-25. Overall August looking very warm - not sure we'll challenge 2 years ago - but a warm one for sure. " Recent Augusts Newark & Laguardia Year.......LGA............EWR 2017: -0.9.................-1.8 2016: +5.3...............+4.1 (hot all month) 2015: +3.0...............+2.9 (warm all season) 2014: -1.2................ -1.3 2013: -0.5.................-1.1 2012: +2.4...............+1.8 2011: -0.3................+1.1 2010: +2.3...............+1.9(storng heat end of month 2009: +1.4...............+1.5 2008: -1.3...............-1.7 20077: +0.8............-0.5 2006: +1.8........../..+1.5(record hot start) 2005: +4.6...............+4.6 2004: -0.9...............-1.3 2003: +1.8...............+1.8 2002: +2.2...............+2.1 2001: +3.5............. .+3.2(record heat first 10 days) 2000: -1.9................-2.4 1999: +0.1...............+0.4 1998: +1.5...............+1.2 1997: -1.9................-2.2 1996: -0.8................-1.8 1995: +4.6................+2.7 1994: -1.1................-0.1 1993: +1.0................+3.3 1992: -2.5................-0.8 1991: +2.2................+1.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxnyc Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 21 hours ago, doncat said: Very impressive 30 days totals for some stations, even morso after this event. 13.27 inches here past 30 days ,in Woodbourne, NY in The Catskills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 Noon Roundup: New Brunwck: 84 ACY: 83 ISP: 82 BLM: 81 TEB: 81 TTN: 81 NYC: 80 EWR: 80 JFK: 80 LGA: 79 PHL: 79 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 Thunder at the Suffolk/Nassau border. Rain closing in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 5 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said: Thunder at the Suffolk/Nassau border. Rain closing in 5 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said: Thunder at the Suffolk/Nassau border. Rain closing in I’m up in Port Jefferson looking south and see plenty of billowing cumulonimbus. V slow moving looking at radar. Tropical weather continues - though I must say the easterly wind feels better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 Sky looks very ominous to the south and east here in Jamaica. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LIWeatherGuy29 Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 Heavy downpour for 34 minutes here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 Pretty impressive sea breeze front eruption in the flash flood warned areas just inland from the South Shore. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/GOES_PA/loop60.html https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NYZ179&warncounty=NYC059&firewxzone=NYZ179&local_place1=East Meadow NY&product1=Flash+Flood+Warning&lat=40.7199&lon=-73.5593#.W3BmvChM4lI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LIWeatherGuy29 Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 Thundering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 At rockaway now. Raging t storm just a block or so inland from the ocean. Sun and clouds at the boardwalk . Beyond that its looking wild. Hoping it moves inland but its been stationary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 I'm in Beacon NY, right where I84 crosses the Hudson, it's about 70* and cloudy with a good stuff breeze. It's sooooo nice to be outside and not dripping with sweat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LIWeatherGuy29 Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 Rain just ended. 40 minute downpour here. Still hearing thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 Just started pouring in South Jamaica. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 11 minutes ago, LIWeatherGuy29 said: Heavy downpour for 34 minutes here. U sure it wasn’t for 35 minutes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 Raining in melville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LIWeatherGuy29 Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 Light rain and the sun just came out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 Lowest precipitation related visibility at JFK since the winter and spring blizzards. Kennedy Intl HVY RAIN 72 72 100 VRB5 30.05R VSB<1/4 SPECI KJFK 121700Z VRB04KT 0SM R04R/1000V2800FT VCTS +RA BR BKN014 OVC019 22/22 A3005 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 6 LTG DSNT E P0050 T02220222 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 53 minutes ago, bluewave said: Pretty impressive sea breeze front eruption in the flash flood warned areas just inland from the South Shore. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/GOES_PA/loop60.html https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NYZ179&warncounty=NYC059&firewxzone=NYZ179&local_place1=East Meadow NY&product1=Flash+Flood+Warning&lat=40.7199&lon=-73.5593#.W3BmvChM4lI Not a drop in south Wantagh at my house. Beautiful sunny sky’s here at Jones beach. We have closed intermittently for lightning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 Storm is literally one mile to my south. Thunder and lightning though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 57 minutes ago, bluewave said: Pretty impressive sea breeze front eruption in the flash flood warned areas just inland from the South Shore. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/GOES_PA/loop60.html https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NYZ179&warncounty=NYC059&firewxzone=NYZ179&local_place1=East Meadow NY&product1=Flash+Flood+Warning&lat=40.7199&lon=-73.5593#.W3BmvChM4lI There is a history of these convergence zones setting up west to east across LI. There was one a couple of years ago that dumped up to several inches of rain across NW Suffolk Cty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 8 minutes ago, Tatamy said: There is a history of these convergence zones setting up west to east across LI. There was one a couple of years ago that dumped up to several inches of rain across NW Suffolk Cty. Figures a fellow weather nut would remember this bc 2016 was notorious for these events. In that year there numerous sea breeze front type boundary events in LI, with radar lit like an Xmas tree through middle and northern parts of LI east to west . That year was also toxic for DewPoint extremes - like this year. I love summer but despise this type of extreme up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 high dews = lower lcl's = easier for seabreezes to trigger convection Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 The offical CPC AMO value was slightly positive for July. This is concordant with the warm WATL mediated mid level thermal feedback. The dichotomous SSTA structure in the ATL is an indicator that the diminution phase of the AMO is ongoing, but we will not transition consistently negative just yet. The enhanced ELY trades; the provenance of which is largely the atmospheric pressure circulation pattern in the South Pacific, has precluded the advance of el nino to date. Consequently, August is departing more so to the warm side than pre season indicators dictated. As such, this El Nino event should be weak and struggle to attain such status. Proxies suggest this event may be similar to ones that peaked circa 0.4 to 0.9c. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 5 minutes ago, forkyfork said: high dews = lower lcl's = easier for seabreezes to trigger convection exactly. i'd add that august is climo for this due to peak SSTs and weak steering flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 5 hours ago, SACRUS said: LGA: +6.0 (83.4) EWR: +4.9 (81.8) TTN: +5.4 (80.5) NYC: +4.0 (80.2 PHL: +3.5 (81.5) JFK: +3.4 (79.3) ISP: +5.3 (79.1) +4.2° here thru yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 1 hour ago, Tatamy said: There is a history of these convergence zones setting up west to east across LI. There was one a couple of years ago that dumped up to several inches of rain across NW Suffolk Cty. I’ve been on the edge of the sea breeze front all day. It will pour for 20 mins and 20 mins later the sun is out in full. I’ve lost track of how many downpours I’ve had today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 10.73" rain here past 21 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 Radar is even slow to react. I’m under a rain band that is pretty much as hard as I’ve ever seen it rain. On radar it looks like a shower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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