Gravity Wave Posted August 16, 2018 Share Posted August 16, 2018 3 minutes ago, bluewave said: Last September was the ultimate fake out. A place like EWR had the record cold upper 40's on the 2nd followed by a late month heatwave and departure rebound. And then October was an epic torch. My first month in the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 16, 2018 Share Posted August 16, 2018 35 minutes ago, bluewave said: September has become more like a 4th month of summer since the late 90's. Record number of years with a September average temperature at or above 70 for places like EWR and LGA. Almost as warm as an average June. WARM AMO I am thinking contributes...will be interesting to see what happens when the flip to the cold phase occurs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 16, 2018 Share Posted August 16, 2018 not sure if the EURO is on crack but it dumps 5 inches of rain in and around NYC on Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted August 16, 2018 Share Posted August 16, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 16, 2018 Share Posted August 16, 2018 strong signal for another intense ridging episode starting around the 25th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 16, 2018 Share Posted August 16, 2018 1 hour ago, bluewave said: September has become more like a 4th month of summer since the late 90's. Record number of years with a September average temperature at or above 70 for places like EWR and LGA. Almost as warm as an average June. It's a great shore going month if you have the time. Very warm water, less tourists, still fantastic weather. Never thought of September as a fall month, to me fall starts about 10/15 when we see more rapid changes with temps, foliage, and daylight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted August 16, 2018 Share Posted August 16, 2018 1 hour ago, bluewave said: September has become more like a 4th month of summer since the late 90's. Record number of years with a September average temperature at or above 70 for places like EWR and LGA. Almost as warm as an average June. I remember early in September 1964, the lows on my first few days of college, in Brooklyn, were in the upper 40’s. Unc will correct me if I’m wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted August 16, 2018 Share Posted August 16, 2018 18 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: It's a great shore going month if you have the time. Very warm water, less tourists, still fantastic weather. Never thought of September as a fall month, to me fall starts about 10/15 when we see more rapid changes with temps, foliage, and daylight. I know where you're going with that, but it may be surprising to note that the rate of daylight loss peaks in mid-September, at 2m40s/day (at my latitude... may vary +/- a couple seconds across the subforum). We're actually losing daylight more rapidly now than we will be during November and December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted August 16, 2018 Share Posted August 16, 2018 49 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: I know where you're going with that, but it may be surprising to note that the rate of daylight loss peaks in mid-September, at 2m40s/day (at my latitude... may vary +/- a couple seconds across the subforum). We're actually losing daylight more rapidly now than we will be during November and December. The greatest rate of change occurs during the equinoxes and the slowest during the solstices. First day of spring is peak gain, first day of summer around 0, first day of fall greatest loss, and first day of winter around 0. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 16, 2018 Author Share Posted August 16, 2018 Current temp 91/DP 71/RH 48% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted August 16, 2018 Share Posted August 16, 2018 11 hours ago, bluewave said: Wildfire smoke from the West has made it here. So the sky has a hazy appearance instead of the recent Bermuda Blue pattern. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/GOES_NE/loop60.html That lent itself to a nice sunset tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 17, 2018 Share Posted August 17, 2018 8 - 16 LGA: 93 EWR: 92 ACY: 91 TEB: 91 ISP: 90 New Brnwck: 90 TTN: 90 BLM: 90 JFK: 89 PHL: 89 NYC: 88 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted August 17, 2018 Share Posted August 17, 2018 6 hours ago, rclab said: I remember early in September 1964, the lows on my first few days of college, in Brooklyn, were in the upper 40’s. Unc will correct me if I’m wrong. 1964 set a record low mid month of 48 degrees...broke the record of 49 in 1961...1967 set a new record for that date with a 47 degree morning...record lows in the 1960's were numerous... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted August 17, 2018 Share Posted August 17, 2018 6 minutes ago, uncle W said: 1964 set a record low mid month of 48 degrees...broke the record of 49 in 1961...1967 set a new record for that date with a 47 degree morning...record lows in the 1960's were numerous... Much appreciated and thank you for a kind thought from you in the recent past. As always ...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted August 17, 2018 Share Posted August 17, 2018 17 hours ago, CIK62 said: Next 8 days averaging 78degs., or 4degs. AN Month to date is +3.2[79.2]. Should be +3.5[78.7] by the 24th. Not understanding talk about a pattern change becoming apparent by end of the month. CFS has a +200m ridge for us during the month of Sept. on average. Last days of Aug. and LDW look AN. In fact the CFS does not budge till Feb. with this +200m which is INSANE and obviously wrong, but by how much and when/where? The next 5 months can't be +5 to +10 can they?????? Will anxiously await your predicted record heat the last 10 days of the month before I worry about +10 for next 5 months Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 17, 2018 Share Posted August 17, 2018 sunday is trending wetter. this goes along with the slow trend for saturday's front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted August 17, 2018 Share Posted August 17, 2018 10 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: It's a great shore going month if you have the time. Very warm water, less tourists, still fantastic weather. Never thought of September as a fall month, to me fall starts about 10/15 when we see more rapid changes with temps, foliage, and daylight. Definitely. One of the nicest things about September in general is that things begin to wind down, yet the weather is still great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 17, 2018 Share Posted August 17, 2018 Next 8 days averaging 77degs., or 3degs. AN. Month to date is +3.4[79.3]. Should be +3.3[78.3] by the 25th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted August 17, 2018 Share Posted August 17, 2018 5 hours ago, JerseyWx said: Definitely. One of the nicest things about September in general is that things begin to wind down, yet the weather is still great. Yeah forget Labor Day..summer continues as long as the weather supports it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted August 17, 2018 Share Posted August 17, 2018 81 dew 73. Barely got below 80 for a brief time overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 17, 2018 Author Share Posted August 17, 2018 Current temp 82/DP 76/RH 75% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 17, 2018 Share Posted August 17, 2018 Dews are up there again (shocker) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 17, 2018 Share Posted August 17, 2018 18 hours ago, forkyfork said: strong signal for another intense ridging episode starting around the 25th 1 hour ago, bluewave said: The +20C 850 mb heat forecast for later this month should solidify the August top 10 warmth status. Top 10 warmth rankings through August 16th: BDR....#2 HPN....#3 LGA....#3 ISP.....#4 JFK.....#5 EWR...#5 The period on/around 8/25 - 8/31 is shaping up to equal the departures the first 7 days of this August as its trending now. Itll be interesting to see if the warm Atl and cooling desert/SW can push a very warm fall back to august Recent Augusts Newark & Laguardia Year.......LGA............EWR 2017: -0.9.................-1.8 2016: +5.3...............+4.1 (hot all month) 2015: +3.0...............+2.9 (warm all season) 2014: -1.2................ -1.3 2013: -0.5.................-1.1 2012: +2.4...............+1.8 2011: -0.3................+1.1 2010: +2.3...............+1.9(storng heat end of month 2009: +1.4...............+1.5 2008: -1.3...............-1.7 20077: +0.8............-0.5 2006: +1.8........../..+1.5(record hot start) 2005: +4.6...............+4.6 2004: -0.9...............-1.3 2003: +1.8...............+1.8 2002: +2.2...............+2.1 2001: +3.5............. .+3.2(record heat first 10 days) 2000: -1.9................-2.4 1999: +0.1...............+0.4 1998: +1.5...............+1.2 1997: -1.9................-2.2 1996: -0.8................-1.8 1995: +4.6................+2.7 1994: -1.1................-0.1 1993: +1.0................+3.3 1992: -2.5................-0.8 1991: +2.2................+1.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 17, 2018 Share Posted August 17, 2018 10AM ROundup EWR: 86/ 74 NYC: 83 / 72 JFK: 80/76 (10am ob not available) MIA: 86 / 76 SAV: 81/72 MSY: 86/79 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted August 17, 2018 Share Posted August 17, 2018 2 hours ago, dWave said: Yeah forget Labor Day..summer continues as long as the weather supports it. Yep, and 2015 was a great example of that. Another humid morning here with mid-70's for Dewpoints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted August 17, 2018 Share Posted August 17, 2018 Between the smoke and humidity it's pretty unpleasant out there this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted August 17, 2018 Share Posted August 17, 2018 87/77. This jungle humidity is relentless, my average max dew point this month is 76.4°. It’s a good thing I enjoy this kind of weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 17, 2018 Share Posted August 17, 2018 The RWTT does not show the trough reaching us during LDW as some have spoken about. We are protected by a +100m ridge. In fact the next 90 days look that way right now, as I have mentioned, on this RWTT output. We'll see what kind of penetrating power any trough does have here, soon enough. A TS, or several, could kick start a new regime for the N.East, with the -NAO they could create. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted August 17, 2018 Share Posted August 17, 2018 57 minutes ago, Cfa said: 87/77. This jungle humidity is relentless, my average max dew point this month is 76.4°. It’s a good thing I enjoy this kind of weather. I was just thinking earlier that this must be like your version of Feb '15 for SNE winter people, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 17, 2018 Share Posted August 17, 2018 some of those cool August forecasts out there are in big trouble.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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