PrinceFrederickWx Posted June 2, 2018 Share Posted June 2, 2018 8 hours ago, C.A.P.E. said: 8.1" which is less than I had during our lovely tropical February, when I had over 9. Actually had flash flooding here in that one event where over 5" fell. Very anomalous. Never seen anything like it during winter months. Wow I had no idea you guys got that much over there in February- that's crazy for a winter month. I had 6.68" in Feb., which is the rainiest Feb. I've ever seen since moving here, but nothing super anomalous like that. Anyway, I'm about to call bust for IMBY today unless something happens later - currently mostly sunny and no rain. Though I was in Annapolis earlier and it was raining steadily there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 2, 2018 Share Posted June 2, 2018 1 minute ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: Wow I had no idea you guys got that much over there in February- that's crazy for a winter month. I had 6.68" in Feb., which is the rainiest Feb. I've ever seen since moving here, but nothing super anomalous like that. Anyway, I'm about to call bust for IMBY today unless something happens later - currently mostly sunny and no rain. Though I was in Annapolis earlier and it was raining steadily there. Yeah the set up today favored scattered convection with very localized flash flooding. I only have 0.35" for the day here. Looks like as we go through this evening into the overnight, the coastal low gets going and an easterly flow will help produce a more widespread moderate rain, but with less convection. Temps should be pretty cool by morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted June 2, 2018 Share Posted June 2, 2018 .80 so far for the day. .54 fell in less than 10 minutes at onset. Water just ponding on top of ground now. Tonight will be interesting. Where does the heaviest set up?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted June 2, 2018 Share Posted June 2, 2018 i think the steadier stuff develops east overnight as the surface low parks itself over the tidewater. we're kind of in the in between phase... at least for points dc and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted June 2, 2018 Share Posted June 2, 2018 Not a single drop of rain here. Not one. Mowed and weedeated, sprayed the outside perimeter of the house with pesticide, and took the kids to the pool. All during this flood. Although, to be fair I was able to use spf50 sunblock today insread of the usual spf70. Oh, and now I am outside grilling, and enjoying a delicious chocolate stout. Epic flood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted June 2, 2018 Share Posted June 2, 2018 Yay, a little rain! Rotating in from the NE. Don't see that often. But, interesting to note that storms that come in from that direction are just as impotent as those that come from the west and south. This thing is pure Heinz57 weaksauce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 2, 2018 Share Posted June 2, 2018 58 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Not a single drop of rain here. Not one. Mowed and weedeated, sprayed the outside perimeter of the house with pesticide, and took the kids to the pool. All during this flood. Although, to be fair I was able to use spf50 sunblock today insread of the usual spf70. Oh, and now I am outside grilling, and enjoying a delicious chocolate stout. Epic flood. Chocolate stout FTW! I also keep a perimeter protection from the bugs. I use Suspend SC. Has a long lasting residual. Great stuff. Lasts at least a month outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted June 2, 2018 Share Posted June 2, 2018 19 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Chocolate stout FTW! I also keep a perimeter protection from the bugs. I use Suspend SC. Has a long lasting residual. Great stuff. Lasts at least a month outside. Where do you buy? I just use home defense....works ok, I guess. Really good chocolate stout. Samuel Smith organic chocolate stout, tried it for the first time last night. In love with this beer. Less than .10" from that "storm". Mostly drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted June 2, 2018 Share Posted June 2, 2018 Looks like Richmond area will have the greatest chance at a bullseye, however there is a new string of convection developing and following the original path across the Bay into Calvert/Charles/PG County. Good luck this evening, and C A P S, CAPS CAPS CAPS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 2, 2018 Share Posted June 2, 2018 Just now, EastCoast NPZ said: Where do you buy? I just use home defense....works ok, I guess. Really good chocolate stout. Samuel Smith organic chocolate stout, tried it for the first time last night. In love with this beer. Less than .10" from that "storm". Mostly drizzle. Amazon. Really effective stuff. No odor. Can be used inside as well. I think its very commonly used for bed bugs. Has a clear residual- which is important for me as I spray it up onto the logs. And that is a very nice, drinkable stout. Have had it many times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 2, 2018 Share Posted June 2, 2018 500 low is too slow to close off...the heaviest rain will probably be shunted SE over the lower Delmarva. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 2, 2018 Share Posted June 2, 2018 3 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: 500 low is too slow to close off...the heaviest rain will probably be shunted SE over the lower Delmarva. Looks like generally a half to one inch for most of the area from tonight through tomorrow. Places that get some convection this evening will end up with more. Convection should be dying down though as the coastal low takes shape and we get a cooler, east flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 2, 2018 Share Posted June 2, 2018 1 minute ago, C.A.P.E. said: Looks like generally a half to one inch for most of the area from tonight through tomorrow. Places that get some convection this evening will end up with more. Convection should be dying down though as the coastal low takes shape and we get a cooler, east flow. This has been an incredibly disappointing event. Was hoping for some better training and more longevity with the bands, but alas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted June 2, 2018 Share Posted June 2, 2018 EJ it is not over yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted June 2, 2018 Share Posted June 2, 2018 1.02 so far. When it rains, its a soaker. Interesting event. Good for DC the rain held off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted June 3, 2018 Share Posted June 3, 2018 the easterly component upstairs really isn't modeled to kick in until later tonight. i don't think it's over yet. may not be stormy, though. more of the steadier variety. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted June 3, 2018 Share Posted June 3, 2018 Mostly light rain here this evening so far. Interested to see what becomes of those heavier echoes as they rotate in from a Hanover-Lancaster, PA line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted June 3, 2018 Share Posted June 3, 2018 Just got home to find .69” in the rain bucket. Creek is bank full in the backyard. If we manage any convection tonight I’ll be shoveling sandbars out of the yard tomorrow.Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted June 3, 2018 Share Posted June 3, 2018 Pouring rain now... later than forecast, but it's happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted June 3, 2018 Share Posted June 3, 2018 Looks like some nice heavy rain starting to stream in from the east into AA country. Going to be a nice evening to sit out on the screen porch and sip a beer and puff a.. never mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 3, 2018 Share Posted June 3, 2018 0.04” this afternoon. Still a rainforest out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 3, 2018 Share Posted June 3, 2018 If I ever get excited about a pending weather event again, someone please bring me back to reality. Time to find a job in the midwest or deep south. ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Maryland, The District of Columbia, Virginia, and West Virginia, including the following areas, in Maryland, Anne Arundel, Calvert, Carroll, Central and Eastern Allegany, Central and Southeast Howard, Central and Southeast Montgomery, Charles, Extreme Western Allegany, Frederick MD, Northern Baltimore, Northwest Harford, Northwest Howard, Northwest Montgomery, Prince Georges, Southeast Harford, Southern Baltimore, St. Marys, and Washington. The District of Columbia. In Virginia, Albemarle, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria, Augusta, Central Virginia Blue Ridge, Clarke, Culpeper, Eastern Highland, Eastern Loudoun, Fairfax, Frederick VA, Greene, King George, Madison, Nelson, Northern Fauquier, Northern Virginia Blue Ridge, Orange, Page, Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park, Rappahannock, Rockingham, Shenandoah, Southern Fauquier, Spotsylvania, Stafford, Warren, Western Highland, and Western Loudoun. In West Virginia, Berkeley, Eastern Grant, Eastern Mineral, Eastern Pendleton, Hampshire, Hardy, Jefferson, Morgan, Western Grant, Western Mineral, and Western Pendleton. * Until 6 AM EDT Sunday * Occasional showers will continue through the night as an upper level low continues to spin over the area. Additional rainfall amounts of one half to an inch and half can be expected through 6 AM Sunday. * While rainfall rates are not expected to be intense, additional rainfall on saturated ground and swollen creeks and rivers could lead to additional flooding overnight. Isolated flash flooding may still occur in areas of intense rainfall rates particularly over the northern half of Virginia and Maryland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted June 3, 2018 Share Posted June 3, 2018 Been hit with a couple heavy downpours since this afternoon, with 0.9 for the day and 1.95 since Thursday. Man does next week's dry weather look good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted June 3, 2018 Share Posted June 3, 2018 Pretty decent downpour here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted June 3, 2018 Share Posted June 3, 2018 .2. Hasn't rained a drop in hours. A complete non-event, and a monumental forecast bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 3, 2018 Share Posted June 3, 2018 http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=0261&yr=2018 MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0261 NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1205 AM EDT SUN JUN 03 2018 AREAS AFFECTED...SERN PA...NRN DE INTO MD/D.C. AND CNTRL/ERN VA CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE VALID 030404Z - 030910Z SUMMARY...ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC REGION OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. AN ADDITIONAL 2-4 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN A FEW LOCATIONS ON TOP OF SATURATED SOILS. DISCUSSION...03Z VAD WIND PLOTS DEPICTED A NEARLY STATIONARY 850-700 MB LOW ALONG THE EASTERN VA/NC BORDER. LOOPS OF REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY HELPED IDENTIFY SEVERAL MESOSCALE CIRCULATIONS...WITH ONE MORE PROMINENTLY LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN KING WILLIAM COUNTY...CO-LOCATED WITH SOME OF THE STRONGEST 850 MB FLOW TO ITS NORTH (20-25 KT) AND WITH THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL OCCURRING REGIONALLY AS OF 0330Z. RADAR AND GROUND TRUTH SHOWED 1-2 IN/HR RAINFALL RATES OCCURRING WITHIN THIS AREA OF HEAVIER RAINFALL SITUATED BETWEEN RICHMOND AND THE POTOMAC RIVER THROUGH 0330Z. SOME OF THE BEST UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE WAS LOCATED OVER THIS REGION ALONG WITH THE GREATEST MAGNITUDE OF LINGERING MLCAPE OF ROUGHLY 500 J/KG PER THE LATEST SPC MESOANALYSIS PAGE. WHILE A BROAD RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING IS HIGHLIGHTED IN THIS MPD...THE TWO AREAS OF GREATEST CONCERN ARE ACROSS THE VIRGINIA TIDEWATER REGION AND THE BLUE RIDGE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN VIRGINIA. GIVEN LITTLE FORECAST MOVEMENT OF THE 850-700 MB LOW OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...THE STRONGEST 850 MB FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO RESIDE FROM THE CHESAPEAKE BAY INTO CENTRAL VA WHICH IS WHERE FORECAST UPWIND CORFIDI VECTORS ARE OF THE GREATEST MAGNITUDE...OPPOSITE TO THE EASTERLY 850 MB FLOW...PROMOTING TRAINING POTENTIAL. UNTIL CAPE IS EXHAUSTED...PORTIONS OF EASTERN VIRGINIA WILL CONTINUE TO SEE RAINFALL RATES OF 1-2 IN/HR WITH SLOW MOVEMENT TO THE RAINFALL CORES. FARTHER WEST...AN UPSLOPE COMPONENT INTO THE BLUE RIDGE MOUNTAINS HAS BEEN CONSISTENTLY HIGHLIGHTED IN THE HOURLY UPDATING EXPERIMENTAL NSSL NEWS-E MODEL...WITH GREATER THAN 90 PERCENT PROBABILITIES OF EXCEEDING 2 INCHES ACROSS THE BLUE RIDGE THROUGH 08Z. GIVEN WET ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS OVER THE PAST FEW WEEKS...FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IS LOW AND ANY OVERLAP ON TOP OF HEAVIER RAINFALL FROM THE PAST 24 HOURS WILL GENERATE POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING. 2-4 INCH TOTALS APPEAR REASONABLE IN A FEW LOCATIONS THROUGH 09Z AND ARE CONSISTENT WITH RECENT HRRR AND EXPERIMENTAL HRRR RUNS. OTTO ATTN...WFO...AKQ...CTP...LWX...PHI...RNK... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted June 3, 2018 Share Posted June 3, 2018 This storm is a BLATANT overperformer. I have received 5 inches so far. The forecast was for 2-4 inches. I am losing the battle with the lawn. Its a jungle, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted June 3, 2018 Share Posted June 3, 2018 1 hour ago, Jebman said: This storm is a BLATANT overperformer. I have received 5 inches so far. The forecast was for 2-4 inches. I am losing the battle with the lawn. Its a jungle, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted June 3, 2018 Share Posted June 3, 2018 23 minutes ago, Vice-Regent said: I stayed up for this too. too interesting to miss. Providence Forge looks like already has over 8" . Guessing the NWS will say it was another standard, run-of-the-mill system. nothing to see here...move along folks. Funny too how the moisture has been drying up completely right before it hits DC. Not a drop of rain in DC, but a ton has fallen all around it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted June 3, 2018 Share Posted June 3, 2018 how cute. total rainfall all day. not a drop in DC. a bit suspicious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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