March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland

[Bostonseminole]

should get a tick west at the last minute.. pretty confident in 12+ here and at least out to 495

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

We’ll see. I was hoping the NAM would hold serve. Hopefully the euro doesn’t pull the plug in a few hours. I think these runs do prove it has the right idea. To what extent, who knows.

My gut says eastern Mass is crushed.

[Ginx snewx]

My idealized run, plenty of dry snow, moderate winds . We take

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, JBinStoughton said:

Think this solution is viable? Would be a real crushing for E MA. 

Yeah this run could def happen. I still suspect the final outcome will be a bit east though that still puts E MA and RI into the big ML deformation. 

[DavisStraight]

Looks like its James turn, he's due a big one

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Bostonseminole said:

should get a tick west at the last minute.. pretty confident in 12+ here and at least out to 495

Tough to leave ORH out and resist the lure of climo.

[codfishsnowman]

plenty of time to send it east another 100 miles

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah this run could def happen. I still suspect the final outcome will be a bit east though that still puts E MA and RI into the big ML deformation. 

Agree.

[Bostonseminole]

Just now, codfishsnowman said:

plenty of time to send it east another 100 miles

or west

[Weenie]

These pressures are just ridiculously low. 963 mb is impressive, enough to throw precip almost as west as the previous run despite being much farther east

[wxsniss]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

All I care to see is the Euro stop shifting east. NAM nudging east, but still showing a big hit doesn nothing to allay my fears.

Agree

We know how stubborn these trends can be once they are sniffed. I posted earlier about that southern energy being more dominant and overshooting southeast. We want to see that trend stop and reverse. Or greater deeper northern stream energy to shift the balance. It's a sensitive setup and there's room to come back too, but we need to see the aforementioned trends stop/reverse.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

My gut says eastern Mass is crushed.

I’ll feel a lot better if the euro halts it’s east trend. 

Anyway... on to the next

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, DavisStraight said:

Looks like its James turn, he's due a big one

yup, it’s been a long 3 years since his last 30 ball. Has a good shot at it. 

[Bostonseminole]

still gives SEMA 2"+ lol

[powderfreak]

27 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

This system is not decaying....the deformation band will be hellacious.

High ratio delight like SVT.

[DavisStraight]

I would take this in a heartbeat, you guys think the Nam to far west or the Euro comes a tad west?

[codfishsnowman]

how is anyone who had a three footer on the cape three years ago "due"?? and another three footer ten years prior plus plenty of 12-18s in between?

[LSC97wxnut]

That has to be 3'+ on the Cape with some OES going on...

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, codfishsnowman said:

plenty of time to send it east another 100 miles

It will prob stop trending east once Springfield is safely out of the ML deformation zone potential. 

[weathafella]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I’ll feel a lot better if the euro halts it’s east trend. 

Anyway... on to the next

You get 2 feet this run so I wouldn’t wish it differently if I were in your shoes.

[Ginx snewx]

15 to 36 Ct River East on the clown. Lol 

[powderfreak]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

It will prob stop trending east once Springfield is safely out of the ML deformation zone potential. 

 You're on a roll today.

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, weathafella said:

You get 2 feet this run so I wouldn’t wish it differently if I were in your shoes.

Dude can be annoying

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said:

or west

lol

2 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said:

how is anyone who had a three footer on the cape three years ago "due"?? and another three footer ten years prior plus plenty of 12-18s in between?

whoosh

[STILL N OF PIKE]

4 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

Looks like its James turn, he's due a big one

'  Imagine the storm thread w warning snows only from se mass east. If the death band is over land i will be there Early tues to set up shop

[Hoth]

4 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said:

plenty of time to send it east another 100 miles

Haha I can feel the schadenfreude. Like you're standing in your back yard trying to blow it out to Bermuda.

[DavisStraight]

3 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said:

how is anyone who had a three footer on the cape three years ago "due"?? and another three footer ten years prior plus plenty of 12-18s in between?

With all the big storms that we've had I figured one would go east a bit and give SE MA a big hit, looking at climo from a bigger picture, we've all had it good the last few years and none of us are due for a big one really, I was being a bit facetious.

[Typhoon Tip]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

It will prob stop trending east once Springfield is safely out of the ML deformation zone potential. 

I think it's telling that the 45 hour position is collocated with the 18z... Just took a different route getting there.   But the previous panel or two actually showed an  expansion west and clear if phenomenal deform structure -one of the best I've ever seen frankly on a chart.

[WintersComing]

15 to 36 Ct River East on the clown. Lol 

?


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[codfishsnowman]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

lol

whoosh

esp when their climo is like 35"....not that due...please