March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, amarshall said:

We lost all our trees last week

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Pics?

[mostman]

22 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

The next panels are even more impressive east of you.  Just crushed.

That is beast mode there and looks to rot over eastern areas.

Signed. Ship it. 

[weathafella]

Well we rolled the dice and winter may go up from D 3 weeks ago to B of this pans out even if we’re in the middling range with more in the pipeline.  Front and back loaded winter.

[The 4 Seasons]

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Well we rolled the dice and winter may go up from D 3 weeks ago to B of this pans out even if we’re in the middling range with more in the pipeline.  Front and back loaded winter.

yeah it was a C-/D+ for me probably go up to a B depending on how this pans out

[RIstoneworkguy]

Well If I can’t finish my stonework due to snow I might as well enjoy it.    

Is there going to be a marine influence near the south coast of RI   inhibiting totals?  I’m assuming the temp will drop with the snowfall for this one,  keeping the rain at bay.

[RIstoneworkguy]

15 minutes ago, amarshall said:

We lost all our trees last week

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I was without power for 4 days from the first of the three storms in as many weeks.   It was great.  

[Typhoon Tip]

Concerned that these oblong low structures that are on the MESOs may in fact be attempts to correct bodily west ...ultimately, failing in lieu of convection helping to lower height seaward too much and that feedback on carving the residual S/stream wave too far out to see - there is certainly a tension in these runs that is tugging between something, and I suspect it is between the better deep layer forcing versus the models modulating the heights downstream. 

I am still not ready to sign on as this thing not phasing more and seeing that happen tonight more on this next cycle perhaps not really fully getting there until tomorrow during now cast at that... Failure to capture to the bitter end almost makes sense for this immensely complex ordeal.  

[toller65]

No. 6.6".

Blizzard of 1888, was that March?

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[Hoth]

1 minute ago, toller65 said:

Blizzard of 1888, was that March?

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Yes, but was not a big snow producer in the Boston area.

[Bostonseminole]

started an obs thread since nobody seems to want to

 

 

[Sugarloaf1989]

9 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Yes, but was not a big snow producer in the Boston area.

I've read they got 10" .

[Hoth]

1 minute ago, Sugarloaf1989 said:

I've read they got 10" .

Yeah, but relative to what that storm produced elsewhere, it was nothing.

[weatherwiz]

Looking at forecast soundings across CT for tomorrow I notice that many places don't see a fully saturated column...I can't see that as being a good thing. My guess is that could to a quite a bit of evaporative cooling. Virtually if you aren't under the snow band the snow growth and snow rates are going to suck big time. Looks like the snow growth zone also goes to hell as well like right after mid-morning as well. 

[bristolri_wx]

Are we looking at slightly less (maybe an inch or two off of projected totals) because this is falling during the day in the middle of March?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Looking at forecast soundings across CT for tomorrow I notice that many places don't see a fully saturated column...I can't see that as being a good thing. My guess is that could to a quite a bit of evaporative cooling. Virtually if you aren't under the snow band the snow growth and snow rates are going to suck big time. Looks like the snow growth zone also goes to hell as well like right after mid-morning as well. 

This is always the concern being on the western fringe. Plus it’s going to be around freezing when we wet bulb down. Pavement will be wet. No reason to close schools with 3-6” of snow on grassy surfaces.

[Sugarloaf1989]

6 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Yeah, but relative to what that storm produced elsewhere, it was nothing.

Actually Boston got 12" according to the book I have on the blizzard.

[donsutherland1]

24 minutes ago, toller65 said:

Blizzard of 1888, was that March?

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Yes. March 11-14.

[weathafella]

1 minute ago, Sugarloaf1989 said:

Actually Boston got 12" according to the book I have on the blizzard.

But CT got 50

[Spanks45]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah Ryan. CT will get it good. Runaway rejoice. As usual these bands set up west. 

Lets move that band about 20 miles to the west so we can share!

[Go Kart Mozart]

The northern stream vortmax is evident on radars.  You can see the signature for very cold air aloft over Ohio now.

[WeatherFeen2000]

32 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Concerned that these oblong low structures that are on the MESOs may in fact be attempts to correct bodily west ...ultimately, failing in lieu of convection helping to lower height seaward too much and that feedback on carving the residual S/stream wave too far out to see - there is certainly a tension in these runs that is tugging between something, and I suspect it is between the better deep layer forcing versus the models modulating the heights downstream. 

I am still not ready to sign on as this thing not phasing more and seeing that happen tonight more on this next cycle perhaps not really fully getting there until tomorrow during now cast at that... Failure to capture to the bitter end almost makes sense for this immensely complex ordeal.  

What does this mean for us in nyc man sorry to bug you. U guys out there are almost guaranteed heavy snows

[dendrite]

5 minutes ago, weathafella said:

But CT got 50

That was measured by great great great grandpa Wood. 

[weatherwiz]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

This is always the concern being on the western fringe. Plus it’s going to be around freezing when we wet bulb down. Pavement will be wet. No reason to close schools with 3-6” of snow on grassy surfaces.

This whole setup...well not necessairly the setup but looking over the data there is much much that stands out at being rather odd. Obviously, the NAM frontogenesis maps suggest we see some heavy/intense banding across a good portion of CT...but you look at NAM bufkit soundings across CT and outside of IJD these profiles don't seem very impressive too me. Omega within the SGZ at BDL and WTBY are crap...and the SGZ really just flops as we near noon. OTOH, GFS bufkit at IJD screams major subsidence across eastern CT and llvl subsidence further west with not much going on in the SGZ. This will disappoint many in CT (outside of who gets under the band).

Not to mention I still think this whole system away from the storm's center is nothing but banded precip 

[weathafella]

Just now, dendrite said:

That was measured by great great great grandpa Wood. 

Clearing the lawn every hour and sticking the ruler until it was in the dirt?

[CT Rain]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

That was measured by great great great grandpa Wood. 

lol having seen the pictures in Hartford and New Haven it definitely looked like a good 40-55 inches. 

[Damage In Tolland]

12 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

This is always the concern being on the western fringe. Plus it’s going to be around freezing when we wet bulb down. Pavement will be wet. No reason to close schools with 3-6” of snow on grassy surfaces.

You’re gonna have 3-5” Otg by morning including pavement and your temps drop all day 

[Greg]

Official 48" in Middleton, CT close to that 50" jack without large elevation. March 1888.

[dendrite]

4 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Clearing the lawn every hour and sticking the ruler until it was in the dirt?

He kept his horse and buggy immaculate! Waxed them weekly. Horse too. 

[CT Rain]

4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

This whole setup...well not necessairly the setup but looking over the data there is much much that stands out at being rather odd. Obviously, the NAM frontogenesis maps suggest we see some heavy/intense banding across a good portion of CT...but you look at NAM bufkit soundings across CT and outside of IJD these profiles don't seem very impressive too me. Omega within the SGZ at BDL and WTBY are crap...and the SGZ really just flops as we near noon. OTOH, GFS bufkit at IJD screams major subsidence across eastern CT and llvl subsidence further west with not much going on in the SGZ. This will disappoint many in CT (outside of who gets under the band).

Not to mention I still think this whole system away from the storm's center is nothing but banded precip 

Hey Wiz - are you sure you're looking at this coming storm? Just looking at the 18z GFS and NAM and both look very juicy across the state with deep DGZs and nice omega intersecting it. 

[jbenedet]

Getting light to mod OES right now. Experienced it on my ride from exeter up to  Dover.

With temps in mid 30’s nothing really accumulating at the moment.