March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland

[ariof]

2 minutes ago, BRSno said:

Think the airport should be all right for Wed morning?

I would assume the early slate of flights will all be canceled. I don't see anything coming in to BOS tomorrow, and they airlines are canceling anything coming in to BOS this evening (i.e. nothing in from Chicago after 5). So Wednesday the rwys might be clear with vfr, but there won't be any equipment until later in the morning at earliest.

[BRSno]

3 minutes ago, ariof said:

I would assume the early slate of flights will all be canceled. I don't see anything coming in to BOS tomorrow, and they airlines are canceling anything coming in to BOS this evening (i.e. nothing in from Chicago after 5). So Wednesday the rwys might be clear with vfr, but there won't be any equipment until later in the morning at earliest.

I have to catch a connection to Beijing in Detroit at 1pm Wed. Hope I can catch a flight out or my aircraft at least comes in on Wed morning. 

[Spanks45]

On would think looking at this loop, that the entire northeast was getting reading for a massive storm....

[Damage In Tolland]

6 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Tolland needs to be worried about that. 

Wouldn’t be an official storm until you made this troll post and then it never happens. Glad we don’t live in the valley 

[CT Rain]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Wouldn’t be an official storm until you made this troll post and then it never happens. Glad we don’t live in the valley 

Eh, I'll be fine. 

[TalcottWx]

27 minutes ago, WintersComing said:

SOunds like someone needs to find a safe space

If I'm in a space it ain't safe, ya dig 

[TalcottWx]

17 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Imagine if this stalled? It would rival 78/05..maybe 15?

Imagine if my ex had ballz

[WintersComing]

1 minute ago, sbos_wx said:

If I'm in a space it ain't safe, ya dig 

Are you hitting on me? lol

[SouthCoastMA]

1 minute ago, sbos_wx said:

Imagine if my ex had ballz

Then you'd still be together?

This was painfully close to phasing..which was why I even brought it up as a thought

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, SouthCoastMA said:

Then you'd still be together?

This was painfully close to phasing..which was why I even brought it up as a thought

[Typhoon Tip]

Heh... buddy of mine just said "Kuchera" was 30" over SE zones... 18 out to Worceter

[The 4 Seasons]

After seeing the 12Z suite, feel solid about my map. The snowfall distribution may not end up west to east, but ill leave it how it is for now. 

What are the local stations going around here?

[Ginx snewx]

this is what FGEN does for those learning

https://twitter.com/jhomenuk/status/973267052013277186

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said:

After seeing the 12Z suite, feel solid about my map. The snowfall distribution may not end up west to east, but ill leave it how it is for now. 

What are the local stations going around here?

I don't see much reason to deviate from first call of 10-20" east.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

this is what FGEN does for those learning

https://twitter.com/jhomenuk/status/973267052013277186

Congrats on 20.

[Cyclone-68]

1 hour ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Full fledged blizzard w 70mph Winds and feet Inner cape. Just a footnote

Ok I’ll ask. Any thundersnow possibilities with this?

[The 4 Seasons]

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

this is what FGEN does for those learning

https://twitter.com/jhomenuk/status/973267052013277186

Nice. Western & Central CT don't sleep on this one. 

[Typhoon Tip]

I'm actually wondering (a little) about this doing an about face and coming all the way in and whacking New NJ to NYC too with ... 

Fact of the matter is, this run is a whopper correction toward more phasing, even if it only upped the QPF some and brought things more confidently to the I-95 corridor of eastern sections ... it is the 2nd trip in that regard for a trend that started last night and may yet end up on the 00z being the fuller phase this whole verkokte set up really should be heading for when based upon conventional wisdom..  

But "as is" aside... the trend in its self shows that even at 24 to 30 hours out this thing is not stable - so it's not impossible.  And should the N/stream really subsume, than all these models showing that 30+ hour escape east would be correcting pretty dramatically to a slower capture... 

[JC-CT]

Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

I'm actually wondering (a little) about this doing an about face and coming all the way in and whacking New NJ to NYC too with ... 

Fact of the matter is, this run is a whopper correction toward more phasing, even if it only upped the QPF some and brought things more confidently to the I-95 corridor of eastern sections ... it is the 2nd trip in that regard for a trend that started last night and may yet end up on the 00z being the fuller phase this whole verkokte set up really should be heading for when based upon conventional wisdom..  

But "as is" aside... the trend in its self shows that even at 24 to 30 hours out this thing is not stable - 

That, combined with water vapor imagery that sure as heck seems to show that northern s/w digging hard, yeah I won't be surprised with adjustments continuing, albeit in smaller form.

[Chrisrotary12]

The northern stream vort has essentially caught the southern stream one......feel like I need one of Tip's head spinning posts about what this means.

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

The northern stream vort has essentially caught the southern stream one......feel like I need one of Tip's head spinning posts about what this means.

we need to see if they make love or make war

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

That, combined with water vapor imagery that sure as heck seems to show that northern s/w digging hard, yeah I won't be surprised with adjustments continuing, albeit in smaller form.

Would be a massive model failure.

[Ginx snewx]

24 minutes ago, WintersComing said:

Thoughts on Middletown/Portland area?

6-12?

[WintersComing]

1 minute ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

The northern stream vort has essentially caught the southern stream one......feel like I need one of Tip's head spinning posts about what this means.

Spin away!! 

 

[Buddy1987]

@RUNNAWAYICEBERG I wouldn't give up on this one yet bro. Could easily see you guys getting 6-8''. That'd be a win in my book. Radar looks sweet southwest of you. We picked up 5'' in VA just from a dying ULL that was the original primary.

[dryslot]

I think this ones holds a few more surprises then some think, That was close to trying to go full phase that run, If that actually happens, Watch out.

[40/70 Benchmark]

I wouldn't sleep on this...even in W CT.

[Ginx snewx]

yea last time I saw this in EMA was Jan 05, geezuz

[wxeyeNH]

11 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Heh... buddy of mine just said "Kuchera" was 30" over SE zones... 18 out to Worceter

Here you go...  Euro 12Z Kuchera

[Hoth]

4 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

The northern stream vort has essentially caught the southern stream one......feel like I need one of Tip's head spinning posts about what this means.

Does it not look like it's just pouring in the backside of the southern stream? Doesn't look like a kicker to me.