LP08 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Just now, Bob Chill said: Really need the phase with the 2 pieces too. Disjointed won't work. That's what the euro has been doing. Seems like it’s staying disjointed but it’s close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 117 998mb SW of ILM just a lil bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, LP08 said: Seems like it’s staying disjointed but it’s close Certainly seems closer than 18z to my untrained eyes...it's very close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Man it's close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Really need the phase with the 2 pieces too. Disjointed won't work. That's what the euro has been doing. legit threat though. highs to the north. if it doesn't happen, we'll at least be going out swinging lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 123 996mb SLP just south of HSE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Central VA jack again...cleaner phase and it’s good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Snow has entered the metro by 120 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Similar to 12z run. Not terrible for sure. Glad it didn't go for a solution which barely clips VA like Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 So close to phasing. We need to see improvements from other models tonighy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Really need the phase with the 2 pieces too. Disjointed won't work. That's what the euro has been doing. So so close this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Heading out at 126. Another Central Virginia hit. *nudge* move north! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 A little more strung out at h5 than ideal but 5 day leads is still an eternity. Those pieces are far from done moving around run over run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Too early to say this is a step in the right direction? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Its slowly moving east 126-132... but not very much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Southern stream needs to slow 6 hours, or northern stream speed up by that amount, and we're good. But I'd take the GFS verbatim over what all the other ops show right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Ok....what gives. We are too far south for tomorrow...too far north for monday. We can't live in a worse location. And i just lost 9 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Ok....what gives. We are too far south for tomorrow...too far north for monday. We can't live in a worse location. And i just lost 9 inchesYou can't just add and subtract inches for every model run ever lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 EZF to CHO and south do well... Richmond gets a foot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 3 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: I like the run regardless of outcome at surface. Less confluence to the ne.. led to better hieghts out front Yea man. That's the key. The low can track from mobile Alabama if the departing low gets out of the way. If the gfs phased it would have punched north with relative ease too. Not an eye candy run but awful close and 5 days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Yea man. That's the key. The low can track from mobile Alabama if the departing low gets out of the way. If the gfs phased it would have punched north with relative ease too. Not an eye candy run but awful close and 5 days away. And just south at 5 days ain't a bad spot to be in general, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Cmc doesn't even see a storm? It's not even anywhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 What concerns me (and I am south and west of most of the forum) is that this presents like a move towards the euro's solution with the south shift. If they meet in the middle, it is not good for DC or me either. Tonight's euro run will help inform us of whether it is model convergence, or caving by the GFS. Of course, even more interesting at this range is what the ensembles do at 0Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Cmc doesn't even see a storm? It's not even anywhereIt comes with different energy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, Jandurin said: Cmc doesn't even see a storm? It's not even anywhere It appears a day later and is a odd miss to the south... then dances around in the Atlantic for a few days off by itself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 The run is good. The precip shield would most likely be larger than is modeled as well. Although if the storm went down as modeled by the Gfs it would really be the icing on the cake for a 2 year stretch of snowless hell. Richmond will have quadrupled my 2 year total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 It comes with different energy And later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: And just south at 5 days ain't a bad spot to be in general, right? Not a bad spot at all. There's a lot of little pieces congealing and those little details mean everything. No model will get it right at 5 days out. Not a chance. Being north of the action is far better than south too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Just now, Bob Chill said: Not a bad spot at all. There's a lot of little pieces congealing and those little details mean everything. No model will get it right at 5 days out. Not a chance. Being north of the action is far better than south too. Agree it’s good. I am one tick away from 6 inches in W PWC. That’s a lot more than I expect at 5 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 3 minutes ago, Jandurin said: Cmc doesn't even see a storm? It's not even anywhere It misses us to the south and then swings up and slams the ne It's actually an improvement over 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.