WxUSAF Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Tracking our last best hope on the 11th-12th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 @Thanatos_I_Am Yes, much further NW than the 12z op and the 00z eps. Nice to have the eps not take a step back...feel like i'm conditioned to expect failure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 EPS chances of >3" of snow during the next 10 days for DC/northern MD increased from 22/50% at 00 UT to 36/66% at 12 UT. EPS chances of >6" of snow during the next 10 days for DC/northern MD increased from 6/24% at 00UT to 20/34% at 12 UT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 5, 2018 Author Share Posted March 5, 2018 H5 progression for all 3 major ensemble systems are clearly better than their 0z counterparts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 That is by far the best EPS run for my area since the 2016 blizzard. And it might rank up there with the best ever at such a long lead time. Game on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: Tracking our last best hope on the 11th-12th. why dont you just name this the 11-12th thread. What else are we tracking in March after this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 3 minutes ago, Ji said: why dont you just name this the 11-12th thread. What else are we tracking in March after this? How long it takes the water in OC to reach 65 degrees. That is my low limit on swimming temps man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 8 minutes ago, Ji said: why dont you just name this the 11-12th thread. What else are we tracking in March after this? Agree with that. If this fails who cares. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Climate175 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Good to see that the EPS had an increase in snowy solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, Climate175 said: Good to see that the EPS had an increase in snowy solutions. Let’s hope happy hour is bueno Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 feliz hora? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 13 minutes ago, Climate175 said: Good to see that the EPS had an increase in snowy solutions. eps mean had a sizeable increase in snowcoverage....not sure if it increased but now its alot more south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 If our vort comes in around western or central MT, then game on happy hour, if it’s in ND it will be sad hour, we should know shortly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 15 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Last call for winter? Tropical just can't get here quick enough for you can it? Might have to shovel your way through some mounds of snow first though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Looks like the energy in W Canada is further west at 96 hours then compared to 12z at 102 hours... That's the energy we are watching, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 minute ago, yoda said: Looks like the energy in W Canada is further west at 96 hours then compared to 12z at 102 hours... That's the energy we are watching, no? I believe so. Shot in the dark that it being further west spells better for us down the line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, yoda said: Looks like the energy in W Canada is further west at 96 hours then compared to 12z at 102 hours... That's the energy we are watching, no? Pretty significant shift west... Should be a good run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 3 minutes ago, yoda said: Looks like the energy in W Canada is further west at 96 hours then compared to 12z at 102 hours... That's the energy we are watching, no? I think the big thing to watch for is the ridging in the west. That starts building stronger we are probably going to end up with a progressive solution such as the GFS and Euro spit out at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 50/50 low is further south this run, much colder over us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 50/50 low is further south this run, much colder over us.The suppressive 5050 low? Might be our downfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 H5 is more N to S in the Dakotas at 120 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 I don't like how weak and flat that NS energy is diving in compared to 6z and even 12z. It's been weaker each run. Flow is too flat in front if we don't get something to dig the trough and amplify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I don't like how weak and flat that NS energy is diving in compared to 6z and even 12z. It's been weaker each run. Flow is too flat in front if we don't get something to dig the trough and amplify. 132 looks better I think on this run compared to h5 a few frames ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 4 minutes ago, Ji said: 5 minutes ago, Amped said: 50/50 low is further south this run, much colder over us. The suppressive 5050 low? Might be our downfall Remember we were worried about a strong primary going too far north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Climate175 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Low is much stronger over Tennessee Valley than on the 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Just now, Climate175 said: Low is much stronger over Tennessee Valley than on the 12z. Looks a little bit more like 6z in that department. Whether that correlates to a big hit im not sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Just now, yoda said: 132 looks better I think I like that high showing up over Central Ontario... Weak but still better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 2PVU has a better - tilt this run. Going to bomb more than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 No bueno 18z 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I don't like how weak and flat that NS energy is diving in compared to 6z and even 12z. It's been weaker each run. Flow is too flat in front if we don't get something to dig the trough and amplify. Still hasn't closed off at 141. Maybe we trend to more of an overrunning event than a spun-up coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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