Median to above confidence for moderate (major?) impact event, midweek

[dryslot]

Lines being drawn in the sand, I just saw a snow thief run across my keyboard........lol

[Go Kart Mozart]

19 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Pretty tame. Maybe 6-8" verbatim?

I am not worried. Strong banding always surprises to the west and north. Besides, euro hints at p-type issues along the Sound....so maybe we don't want any closer down here.

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, JBinStoughton said:

The east deserves it because we got shafted by the last one. 

The East? Everyone got the shaft except a few hollows above 1300' in the Berks.

[JBinStoughton]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

The East? Everyone got the shaft except a few hollows above 1300' in the Berks.

Well...two wrongs don’t make a right.  Benchmark FTW lol. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

The East? Everyone got the shaft except a few hollows above 1300' in the Berks.

Yea, I'd say lower spots of the berks and ORH hills got screwed the most relative to expectations. 

[dendrite]

No one here deserves snow. After the last 2 decades you all deserve 5 straight years of rain followed by windex events. 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

No one here deserves snow. After the last 2 decades you all deserve 5 straight years of rain followed by windex events. 

    

[Damage In Tolland]

Nice entire SNE pastejob there 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

No one here deserves snow. After the last 2 decades you all deserve 5 straight years of rain followed by windex events. 

Except for Steve, hey no such thing as regression in mooseup, more snow to come in new climate, love me some dogs

[Greg]

People getting touchy here with snow.  However, It would be nice to see Boston and the heart of our viewing area to get one more last good one before this weak la nina winter is done.

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Except for Steve, hey no such thing as regression in mooseup, more snow to come in new climate, love me some dogs

Spelling, sentence structure. Getting married has fried your synapses.

[Ginx snewx]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Nice entire SNE pastejob there 

Paste? Hmm looks pretty cold

[mahk_webstah]

After the B word overnight, the late morn WPC says 

ANOTHER NOR'EASTER WILL PARALLEL THE NEW ENGLAND COAST WED/THU AND
DELIVER A SWATH OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW ACROSS AT LEAST THE
INTERIOR OF THE NORTHEAST AND NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC.

Is 12-18 moderate?  The just issued qpf map from WPC gives 1.5+ for a good chunk of NE and 1.25+ for much of the rest.

What is Fracasso smokin?

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Paste? Hmm looks pretty cold

Blend the 2. We glue 

[dryslot]

That Euro run...........

[rnaude241]

Euro... Gimme, gimme, gimme. 

[Logan11]

14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

The East? Everyone got the shaft except a few hollows above 1300' in the Berks.

Just a terrible airmass going in.  That last one would have been quite good in a good chunk of interior SNE had it started out colder.

[Typhoon Tip]

good lord at the March 13 Euro version of that storm...

man...  seems like every third run is an apocalypse these day -

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, Logan11 said:

Just a terrible airmass going in.  That last one would have been quite good in a good chunk of interior SNE had it started out colder.

Yep, the storm on the 12th shows you what a decent antecedent airmass can do.

[Hoth]

Frustrating maybe, but certainly not boring the last few weeks.

[Logan11]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

good lord at the March 13 storm...

man...  seems like every third run is an apocalypse these day -

That's a good date in history.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

good lord at the March 13 Euro version of that storm...

man...  seems like every third run is an apocalypse these day -

NAO block isn't a panacea, but it creates a high ceiling.

[Hoth]

1 minute ago, Logan11 said:

That's a good date in history.

Especially in your area! Amazing storm that was.

[Typhoon Tip]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

NAO block isn't a panacea, but it creates a high ceiling.

yeah...not to derail the Wednesday focus here... but, even if the coherency of the -NAO west based ridge seems to have disappeared, ...the larger circulation more so behaves as though "some"thing is till controlling the exact velocities and orientation of the flow over the EC...  Probably just the general train-wreck that's a cornucopia of features in the way out there teaming up to continuing the back-log tendency ...which of course means slowing stuff down locally. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

26 minutes ago, Greg said:

Why does the west deserve it now?

 Because 100 mile long 40 mile wide swath of WNE has watched epic totals pile up in every direction over the past five years?

[Ginx snewx]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

NAO block isn't a panacea, but it creates a high ceiling.

He's not OT? Lol. I think you would have a permanent woodie if this worked out

[HoarfrostHubb]

If both events play out that way, my Wachusett pass will be put to good use

Nice Euro run for many

[Typhoon Tip]

14 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

After the B word overnight, the late morn WPC says 

ANOTHER NOR'EASTER WILL PARALLEL THE NEW ENGLAND COAST WED/THU AND
DELIVER A SWATH OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW ACROSS AT LEAST THE
INTERIOR OF THE NORTHEAST AND NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC.

Is 12-18 moderate?  The just issued qpf map from WPC gives 1.5+ for a good chunk of NE and 1.25+ for much of the rest.

What is Fracasso smokin?

mm...they're not basing that on 12z guidance, I don't believe.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

33 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Op>ens at this range.

I'm most worried about it blossoming a little later 

Still think ens have use. op is the right goalpost. Late blossom is real though, not denying that.

[Typhoon Tip]

I realize people probably don't care ...and I'm not sure they really should, but that JMA model is quintessentially perfect - really...

It takes a 999 mb low over the coastal Del Marva, and deepens it on a track that takes just NW of the BM and ends up 988 mb just off Cape Cod out there ... the whole way, shedding about 12 DAM of heights. 

For all the peregrinations along our travels through time and adventures with these models,. ... hell if it didn't just come down to a solution like that.  Open, closed...