ORH_wxman Posted March 12, 2018 Erin go braghless idea from a couple days ago is in trouble. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Damage In Tolland Posted March 12, 2018 8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Erin go braghless idea from a couple days ago is in trouble. Erin put on extra bras instead 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BRSno Posted March 13, 2018 I know it's the GFS, but that wasn't a bad looking run. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WinterWolf Posted March 13, 2018 Maybe this isn’t the last one??? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
JC-CT Posted March 13, 2018 Heh, Euro at 200 hours. This is a sickness. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Damage In Tolland Posted March 13, 2018 Euro with another crusher one week from today. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
NorEastermass128 Posted March 13, 2018 4 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Euro with another crusher one week from today. No kidding! It’s definitely overdone, but the Euro has snow depths pushing 40” for a lot of SNE by midweek next week! Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Typhoon Tip Posted March 13, 2018 2 hours ago, NorEastermass128 said: No kidding! It’s definitely overdone, but the Euro has snow depths pushing 40” for a lot of SNE by midweek next week! If it wasn't for the Equinox sun ...I'd be inclined to believe we could pull that off in this pattern... But, as it were...heh... And, MOS may be tinted by climo, sure, but even if we trim 5 for pattern recognition combined with the oft' overused and abused snow pack argument... we're still talking 40 F with sun chances... and there no way we sustain the pack we have. It's a matter of 'how much' losses. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Whineminster Posted March 13, 2018 57 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: If it wasn't for the Equinox sun ...I'd be inclined to believe we could pull that off in this pattern... But, as it were...heh... And, MOS may be tinted by climo, sure, but even if we trim 5 for pattern recognition combined with the oft' overused and abused snow pack argument... we're still talking 40 F with sun chances... and there no way we sustain the pack we have. It's a matter of 'how much' losses. don't be a Debbie downer It's funny how the sensible weather hasn't been that cold the past few weeks, but we've managed to pull off snowstorms. Storms so big they're making their own cold I guess. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Cold Miser Posted March 13, 2018 3 hours ago, NorEastermass128 said: No kidding! It’s definitely overdone, but the Euro has snow depths pushing 40” for a lot of SNE by midweek next week! That total includes the end result of "some" system from next week? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
NorEastermass128 Posted March 13, 2018 3 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: That total includes the end result of "some" system from next week? Yes...0z Euro was a doozy for all of NE next week. GFS is OTS. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Typhoon Tip Posted March 13, 2018 57 minutes ago, Whineminster said: don't be a Debbie downer It's funny how the sensible weather hasn't been that cold the past few weeks, but we've managed to pull off snowstorms. Storms so big they're making their own cold I guess. We did have a wild wet coastal though ...the first in the series. I mentioned this along the way days ago but it was easily unread along the din of dismay leading these probabilities ...that there have been three in this -NAO west-based (albeit high enough in latitude so as not to be a suppressive influence which is key ), where each storm got progressively colder... culminating in what has evolved here in the interior, today, to be a powder event. It's cold...27 here with chalks dust curling off of eaves while metallic gray daylight is cast beneath trees that whir their white noise of resentment ... Contrasting? That first gig back on March 1 was cat paw golf ball rain drops at 39 F and it never shat a flake until the storm was long gone and some after thought rad blip, representing a struggling virga shrouded CU amid at best tepid backside CAA had to be symbolic of a whole ordeal that wouldn't have snowed if you f'n paid it to. Summing what the collective users of this particular weather-related social media gave, probably added up to a total of six months of human life to that question regarding dynamics meets with marginal set up for folks E of the Berks. And once we were all settled and secure upon the notion of "your tellin' me there's a chance" ... the rest was history. I really think of all these three as part of the same "planetary event" ... this being the final chapter. That thing next week is borne of similarities, perhaps we could add it to this. The reason why I wonder? The NAO is here to stay ... March spring enthusiasts are not happy and probably won't be until further notice. The only way to countermand what is going on is to really jolt the Pacific, and I don't see much going on out there capable of doing what it would take to really reset the mass-field dial for what it has wended its way into - this. The MJO hit the boundary of Phase 3 and 4 and dies to the incoherent graveyard of undefined. That behavior is basically because the WPO and EPO are both modestly going negative probably until the end of the month. That in total is a destructive wave interference... and the MJO wave its self was not strong enough to usurp matters.. So what we are left with (probably) is enough of a AA phased N. Pacific to send oscillatory late season cooling into the Canadian shield... all the while, the vestigial NAO pulses negative about every 4 to 5 days ... evidence by operational runs sort of popping off new ridges in the lower D. Straight region along said time intervals.. That's the general theme... Should provide two realities ... one, continued cool or opportunities to at minimum retard spring's advance; two, make my original ideas of an early spring appear utterly asinine. As long as those two are achieved, God is happy. Ah..hell.. Can't say I'm not enjoying it. Truth be told... Though I am one of those March spring enthusiasts, I am however willing to take exception when big events are in play. Well.. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
NorEastermass128 Posted March 13, 2018 20 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: We did have a wild wet coastal though ...the first in the series. I mentioned this along the way days ago but it was easily unread along the din of dismay leading these probabilities ...that there have been three in this -NAO west-based (albeit high enough in latitude so as not to be a suppressive influence which is key ), where each storm got progressively colder... culminating in what has evolved here in the interior, today, to be a powder event. It's cold...27 here with chalks dust curling off of eaves while metallic gray daylight is cast beneath trees that whir in white noise ... Contrasting? That first gig back on March 1 was cat paw golf ball rain drops at 39 F and it never shat a flake until the storm was long gone and some after thought rad blip, representing a struggling virga shrouded CU amid at best tepid backside CAA had to be symbolic of a whole ordeal that wouldn't have snowed if you f'n paid it to. Summing what the collective users of this particular weather-related social media gave, probably added up to a total of six months of human life to that question regarding dynamics meets with marginal set up for folks E of the Berks. And once we were all settled and secure upon the notion of "your tellin' me there's a chance" ... the rest was history. I really think of all these three as part of the same "planetary event" ... this being the final chapter. That thing next week is borne of similarities, perhaps we could add it to this. The reason why I wonder? The NAO is here to stay ... March spring enthusiasts are not happy and probably won't be until further notice. The only way to countermand what is going on is to really jolt the Pacific, and I don't see much going on out there capable of doing what it would take to really reset the mass-field dial for what it has wended its way into - this. The MJO hit the boundary of Phase 3 and 4 and dies to the incoherent graveyard of undefined. That behavior is basically because the WPO and EPO are both modestly going negative probably until the end of the month. That in total is a destructive wave interference... and the MJO wave its self was not strong enough to usurp matters.. So what we are left with (probably) is enough of a AA phased N. Pacific to send oscillatory late season cooling into the Canadian shield... all the while, the vestigial NAO pulses negative about every 4 to 5 days ... evidence by operational runs sort of popping off new ridges in the lower D. Straight region along said time intervals.. That's the general theme... Should provide two realities ... one, continued cool or opportunities to at minimum retard spring's advance; two, make my original ideas of an early spring appear utterly asinine. As long as those two are achieved, God is happy. Ah..hell.. Can't say I'm not enjoying it. Truth be told... Though I am one of those March spring enthusiasts, I am however willing to take exception when big events are in play. Well.. You'll be playing ultimate Frisbee in the quad while tanning your nape very soon! Enjoying this one while it lasts...if this is it, so be it. I'm content. If more is delivered, gravy....... Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Damage In Tolland Posted March 13, 2018 What’s Euro got next week? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 13, 2018 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What’s Euro got next week? Number 4 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
NorEastermass128 Posted March 13, 2018 4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Number 4 I think that was 0z 12z out to 174 on US. Looks like it will go OTS. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
EastonSN+ Posted March 13, 2018 2 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: I think that was 0z 12z out to 174 on US. Looks like it will go OTS. Correct suppressed and OTS. With GEM changing to rain nice spread. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 13, 2018 19 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Correct suppressed and OTS. With GEM changing to rain nice spread. Yes. My bad on that. I didn’t look at the run stamp. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Damage In Tolland Posted March 13, 2018 Hopefully eps still has it. I know one thing. It won’t be suppressed in late Morch. It comes north. But will it be all snow is the question Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
SnowGoose69 Posted March 13, 2018 14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Hopefully eps still has it. I know one thing. It won’t be suppressed in late Morch. It comes north. But will it be all snow is the question With that 50/50 low where it is it definitely can be suppressed Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
NorEastermass128 Posted March 13, 2018 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Hopefully eps still has it. I know one thing. It won’t be suppressed in late Morch. It comes north. But will it be all snow is the question Suppression can happen in Morch. Confluence from the 50/50 could make this a DC deal. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
tamarack Posted March 13, 2018 Wasn't this one OTS 4 days ago? Lots of time before one should get serious. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Damage In Tolland Posted March 13, 2018 Looks like a real good chance she comes 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Damage In Tolland Posted March 13, 2018 This weekend went from 50’s and rain to 30-35 for highs lol Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
J Paul Gordon Posted March 14, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 1:21 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Morch 21-22 Maybe we should forego the "Morch" theme this year, Kevin. Can't think of a single syllable version for the month when its cold and snowy, though. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
78Blizzard Posted March 14, 2018 3 minutes ago, J Paul Gordon said: Maybe we should forego the "Morch" theme this year, Kevin. Can't think of a single syllable version for the month when its cold and snowy, though. The NAO is heading into deeper negativity on the 19th, so there's that. The NAM schooled the GFS on this one, even if it got carried away a bit in SE MA. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WinterWolf Posted March 14, 2018 6 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Looks like a real good chance she comes I guess if you call 20-30% chances real good....??? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Diggiebot Posted March 14, 2018 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I guess if you call 20-30% chances real good....??? wouldn’t you consider those a good signal at a week lead time? It will also be the third week in March so anything 3+ would be pretty good that late in the season. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
allgame830 Posted March 14, 2018 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I guess if you call 20-30% chances real good....??? For a “possible” event out 192 hours I would think so. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WinterWolf Posted March 14, 2018 Sure...I’d call it decent chance (not real good like what was stated), I wouldn’t be getting my hopes up..impressive pattern no doubt, but it’s fantasy land right now. Let’s see what things look like come Friday? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
