RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 Great look for east zones with a hse to ns trajectory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 NAM is so close to being epic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 Just a bit outside, but holy beast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 The interaction with the nrn stream s/w should blossoms snows though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 That's a good start to 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 What' a thousand miles between friends: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 That's a good hit for ern areas, hell SNE too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 10 hours ago, Hazey said: Hey who couldn't use a day off. Besides not spring here anyway with 7" of paste that fell today. Hmm thought that was Leo's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 Another close call. Seen a lot of that. You can see the potential but the tight window doesn't give much room for error. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 12 Z runs of our lives,literally for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 Plenty of room and time . She coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Another close call. Seen a lot of that. You can see the potential but the tight window doesn't give much room for error. I feel like we say that for almost every storm in the Day 3 / 3.5 range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 NAM hits some of us pretty nicely. Let’s hope the real models follow suit. This is also a cold event particularly for this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 Looks like powder instead of paste Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 Feeling this is the coast’s turn for jackpotting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 5 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Feeling this is the coast’s turn for jackpotting. It would be about time this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Looks like powder instead of paste Please , trees like this next door all over. Going to cost me 2800 to remove 7 massive damaged Oaks and Maples Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 20 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Another close call. Seen a lot of that. You can see the potential but the tight window doesn't give much room for error. it's starting to look like the January southern stream bomb ... where the N/stream more than less dictates the track of the deep layer entity more so than actually phases. Regardless of degree of phasing and that junk ... this does do a similar antic of deepening madly at unusual southern latitudes. Folks may or may not recall a lot of consternation over the actual pressure depth being reached at those early latitudes, as to the modeling back prior to that January blizzard, and well ... it certainly verified deeply. This is similar ... perhaps even synoptically to that. fascinating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 2 minutes ago, JBinStoughton said: It would be about time this winter More like the Cape. The EMA coast did fine and is AN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 Hmm thought that was Leo's A cats whisker in track made the difference. Hard to predict that unless you're god. Still missed the meat. He did alright. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 should we start a separate thread for this one? maybe Kev or Tip or hazey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 8 minutes ago, Hazey said: A cats whisker in track made the difference. Hard to predict that unless you're god. Still missed the meat. He did alright. Looked like you would get some yesterday when we talked, nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 Okay ...so there's enough difference here to be more on the poor side of a total analog ... for one, the surrounding medium back in January was still being plagued by very fast flow and effectively 'too much of a good thing' with deep cold heights so deep that the surrounding balanced flow was utterly screaming in rage ... It's really more the behavior in this run of early and fast development rate alone, if perhaps coming to pass by coincidence. One thing I am noticing here over all, regardless of model actually ... the issue is that there is a wave-frequency problem between the N/stream and S/streams. The S/stream is moving too fast ...out -pacing the N/stream, which can't thusly phase. It's like ... a comet orbiting the sun: a pure phase is the comet crashing into the sun (pure N/stream subsume); a near miss phase or failures altogether are accelerating close passes, where in this case (completing the metaphor) the object (S/stream impulse) is sling shot around the N/stream gravity well... interesting. This is just observationally what appears to be happening for me. I don't know if this correctable ... or whatever, but.. the southern stream impulse is definitely outpacing the N/stream even in this more prodigious impact 12z NAM idea ... There is in fact only partial phasing in the sense that the N/stream is helping to dictate the track of the S/stream system, but it's really not capturing it at all. (Edit - the correction may come from correctly anticipating the western N/A ridge ironically) A more robust complexion with that would transitively influence the flow between 100 and 70 W longitudes over mid latitudes...effectively slowing it and everything in it, down..thus, allowing the diving N/stream to do it's magic... ). The reason I am laboring the point is because ...that I suspect in this situation is really key to this event being sort of like what this solution has ... more or less, versus something much more serious. I have a funny feeling ... don't shoot me, but I suspect this Euro run is going to be more substantial here. Just a hunch - Other than these points, the only real difference between the 06z and the 12z NAM runs is that the southern stream impulse is somewhere between 200 and 300 miles farther alone in longitude comparative. That's a big deal? because the prior run being back west means that it is more so in destructive wave interference with the N/stream, which come hell or high water is coming down - that much is lock-step keyed into the +PNA spike well advertised to date. We ain't gettin' outta dat much-a dis. The repositioning of that little amount goes from destructive to modest constructive interference there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 16 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Please , trees like this next door all over. Going to cost me 2800 to remove 7 massive damaged Oaks and Maples Looks like just a low growing white pine branch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 Looks like a classic sne/Cape, NS snowstorm track instead of the looping into the gom like they have been. Airmass sucks but that's not unusual for this time of year. Smoke em if you got em. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 34 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Feeling this is the coast’s turn for jackpotting. Please don't start stealing people's snow already lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Other than these points, the only real difference between the 06z and the 12z NAM runs is that the southern stream impulse is somewhere between 200 and 300 miles farther alone in longitude comparative. That's a big deal? because the prior run being back west means that it is more so in destructive wave interference with the N/stream, which come hell or high water is coming down - that much is lock-step keyed into the +PNA spike well advertised to date. We ain't gettin' outta dat much-a dis. The repositioning of that little amount goes from destructive to modest constructive interference there. Yeah, it was really close to getting out ahead of the northern stream so the northern stream can dig behind it and allow it to turn up the coast. Not much more needed from that depiction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 It's hard to take much interest in this one for WNE folks. I'll give it until 0z before I stick the fork in it. Still hoping to squeeze in one more event to get me to average for the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 gfs is tastey early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 Oh boy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.