Logan11 Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Dec. agree....absurd elevaion gradient all the time. The GFS tries to be so pretty now showing all the meso stuff like downsloping..over does it in ENY. But so does the NAM. It's nice that they have built that into the models, but they do go overboard sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Yes it would as well as many others, Not quite sure what some on here are even talking about or even looking at, First of all, Maine is still part of the US, And the weds system tracks right thru the GOM in the bay of fundy which is a classic heavy snow track for most of SNE/CNE and NNE, I don't see where this went ENE missing most of NNE. Yeah, Euro snows here from Wednesday night until early Saturday morning. Thats a days and days of snow storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 Pros can correct me if I am wrong, but EPS looks good as well with overall track this afternoon, looking at images of 96 and 120, albeit not as strong as some of the other models, regarding depiction of low pressure. Tracks northeast from the Delmarva to east of the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 Geezus not this again LOL I will never learn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: Yeah, Euro snows here from Wednesday night until early Saturday morning. Thats a days and days of snow storm. You also get the caveat of the upslope factor to boot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: You also get the caveat of the upslope factor to boot. A good forum wide threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: A good forum wide threat. Always a plus when you get them to track past the 45th parallel.................. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Dec. agree....absurd elevaion gradient all the time. Just wanted to comment on this too. The GFS makes me nuts with the qpf. Always much higher just to my west with the north to south 2000 foot ridgeline and the 3100 foot Mt Cardigan. Then the Whites to my NE always seem to put me in a sink hole as it did yesterday. I understand shadowing on a NE wind but its SO overdone. Have to squint my eyes and smooth it out to take a guess as to what it really means for my backyard. Crazy gradients. Like the NAM much better in this regard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 1 hour ago, jbenedet said: I’ve been wanting a GOM bomb since I moved here; never experienced one. I bring this up also bc I think this one has a really good shot. First one worth getting excited about in this regard... ive been waiting for inside BM track since Oct 11, my last 16+ . I get it Mar 17 but no blocking and the goods lifted nw. Yesterday, perfect evolution and get blocking, but miss by +1-2C. 7 years is a long time for a SNE weenie nowadays esp when the misses havebeen so close.Eventually, it will come though.....same for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 Ha, BTV pushed all the chips into the middle of the table. Wednesday until Saturday morning they have POPS of 60% or higher every period. Wednesday Snow likely, mainly after 8am. Cloudy, with a high near 30. Southeast wind 9 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Wednesday Night Snow. Low around 24. North wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Thursday Snow. High near 28. Northwest wind around 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Thursday Night Snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 22. West wind around 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Friday Snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 29. West wind 10 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Friday Night Snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 19. West wind around 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 3, 2018 Author Share Posted March 3, 2018 4 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Euro EPS individuals are certainly interesting... there are a fair amount of members that clobber upstate NY again with less in New England. Definitely more of those than whiffs on the 12z run... with the spread more west than east. Enough of them with jacks from the Catskills to Adirondacks to really affect the mean with heavy snows way west of where you would think given the operational runs. You knew there is a thread started already? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 5 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: You knew there is a thread started already? Nope, haha. So many threads. I'll move the post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 2 hours ago, powderfreak said: Ha, BTV pushed all the chips into the middle of the table. Wednesday until Saturday morning they have POPS of 60% or higher every period. Wednesday Snow likely, mainly after 8am. Cloudy, with a high near 30. Southeast wind 9 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Wednesday Night Snow. Low around 24. North wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Thursday Snow. High near 28. Northwest wind around 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Thursday Night Snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 22. West wind around 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Friday Snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 29. West wind 10 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Friday Night Snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 19. West wind around 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Does stowe send the forecasters lift pases Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 1 hour ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Does stowe send the forecasters lift pases lol, the guy that wrote that AFD is a Smuggs rider. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 Looks like Morch on the EPS mid month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Looks like Morch on the EPS mid month. Bamwx has had that for weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 Looks like Morch on the EPS mid month.We like. We take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 4 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Looks like Morch on the EPS mid month. Can’t come soon enough. We done with winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 Cumbria UK 25 feet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 We have 2 more storms. Then it’s over . Tip prances.. dances... romances Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We have 2 more storms. Then it’s over . Tip prances.. dances... romances The teleconnectors certainly support me dancing and prancing and romancing around ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 Current grade D+. The next 2 events can bring it up 2 grades but we need luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 Hey where's @HIPPYVALLEY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 18 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: The teleconnectors certainly support me dancing and prancing and romancing around ... March 12th is the Archambault event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 We end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 35 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: March 12th is the Archambault event It is... pretty potently at that... But I was commiserating with Kevina for more like after the ides of the month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 54 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: It is... pretty potently at that... But I was commiserating with Kevina for more like after the ides of the month I knew that, just adding to your teleconnections point. I am skiing on vacation in Maine 17th to 26th, bluebird skies and 40s after a couple of dumpers oh baby there's my dancing and prancing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siker Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 Euro with 978mb over the Cape on the 12th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, Siker said: Euro with 978mb over the Cape on the 12th. Yeah-ha...just amusing darkly in that other thread how it seems like every third run is an apocalypse these days... Course, as Steve and I were discussing a bit ago, this thing has more of a large mass-field correction appeal to it - .... look up H. Archembault... I wonder if her work is still even published to the web. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 7 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Yeah-ha...just amusing darkly in that other thread how it seems like every third run is an apocalypse these days... Course, as Steve and I were discussing a bit ago, this thing has more of a large mass-field correction appeal to it - .... look up H. Archembault... I wonder if her work is still even published to the web. She has her own website Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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