DomNH Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Pete B with 2-4'' to "significant" ZR up to almost MHT. Jesus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Just now, DomNH said: Pete B with 2-4'' to "significant" ZR up to almost MHT. Jesus. are you kidding!! WTF 8-10, 4-8,3-5 now this? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Just now, DomNH said: Pete B with 2-4'' to "significant" ZR up to almost MHT. Jesus. Will just tossed his 55" LED TV into the Charles River. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, 512high said: are you kidding!! WTF 8-10, 4-8,3-5 now this? lol Not much has changed. I'd sell that. You may get a little ZR at the tail end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Just now, wx2fish said: Not much has changed. I'd sell that. You may get a little ZR at the tail end Just now, wx2fish said: Not much has changed. I'd sell that. You may get a little ZR at the tail end GYX thats a sharp cut off, lol subject to change soon I'm sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 1 minute ago, wx2fish said: Not much has changed. I'd sell that. You may get a little ZR at the tail end Every SWFE ends in snizzle but hard sell on any ice accretion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 1 minute ago, DomNH said: Every SWFE ends in snizzle but hard sell on any ice accretion. I have a feeling if it flips early than we think it'll be more sleet in SNH. Warm layer is 850 and below and that'll get chipped away with latitude. Further south maybe ZR becomes an issue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Btv wrf went nw and takes low thru ORH and gets me to 33 rain for brief period at 7pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 I see 6-12 in Dover with maybe some sleet late. Typical climo swfe. Portsmouth could seriously mix. But no few hours of moderate rain in Dover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 1 hour ago, jbenedet said: 4-8" on my map (extrapolated). Yep, so expected... But John do you still see several hours of moderate rain in Dover? That seems very unlikely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 4 minutes ago, wx2fish said: I have a feeling if it flips early than we think it'll be more sleet in SNH. Warm layer is 850 and below and that'll get chipped away with latitude. Further south maybe ZR becomes an issue I bet ash Flips by 6pm. I dont see more than 5" there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 GFS is a tick NW with the sfc front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Pickles is in usual all out panic mode I see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 5 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I bet ash Flips by 6pm. I dont see more than 5" there Wouldn't surprise me if it does. Qpf is pretty front loaded though. Euro is wrapping up not too much after 00z. Could be wrong but I just don't see ZR a big issue here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 17 minutes ago, 512high said: GYX thats a sharp cut off, lol subject to change soon I'm sure PSM 2". 30 miles north, SFM 9". I've seen/experienced qpf cutoffs that abrupt; p-type cutoffs less often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Pickles is in usual all out panic mode I see Im squating w the ladies Dont go all emotional as someone dampers Ur enjoyment on the lead up to a storm. So your not getting more than 3"? Weenies like the chase as much as the storm itself. Mid levels warm, i pelt. Maybe i see 5". Ill repost when im right while in your jammies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Won't Toss Location Snow Amount Potential Chance of Seeing More Snow Than Low End Snowfall Expected Snowfall High End Snowfall >=0.1" >=1" >=2" >=4" >=6" >=8" >=12" >=18" Norwich, VT 7 10 13 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 78% 19% 0% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 8 minutes ago, wx2fish said: Wouldn't surprise me if it does. Qpf is pretty front loaded though. Euro is wrapping up not too much after 00z. Could be wrong but I just don't see ZR a big issue here Yeah I definitely think we do some pinging after 4-8''. Hard to stay all snow in SNH with an amped SWFE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Still thinking 1-3 here. No need to change. Probably more like 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 7 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Im squating w the ladies Dont go all emotional as someone dampers Ur enjoyment on the lead up to a storm. So your not getting more than 3"? Weenies like the chase as much as the storm itself. Mid levels warm, i pelt. Maybe i see 5". Ill repost when im right while in your jammies I’ve been thinking 4” with ice here all along. Nothing has changed in 2 days unless you live and die with models and don’t know Climo and how these work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: It does? It looks just like last nights. Nothing has changed. 3-6” to 1/4 of ice From a few hours ago. This is pretty far north and west of 84....Actually west of 91. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 27 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: But John do you still see several hours of moderate rain in Dover? That seems very unlikely. I'm not John. And yes, I do... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 4 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: From a few hours ago. This is pretty far north and west of 84....Actually west of 91. That’s not their forecast on that map. I live north of 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 6 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I love how that high really races east into a lousy position at 0z. 12z it looks great. Now i see the kinks in the isobars at 12z and 18z , by the usual spots up in CAD central , that high sliding east does not provide less resistance for a low to track Inland across SNE? This is a difficult question to ask bc it threatens the joy of a impending winter storm but i have not seen a high slide east like this from such a solid position at 12z to crap at 0z. I dont really see my area being affected wrt snow totals bc i believe mid levels are cooked by 5, but more to the Salem NH to PSM area flipping to liquid by say 6-7 Look at the upper levels. No support to anchor it. It's really just an extension of the WAR imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 18 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Im squating w the ladies Dont go all emotional as someone dampers Ur enjoyment on the lead up to a storm. So your not getting more than 3"? Weenies like the chase as much as the storm itself. Mid levels warm, i pelt. Maybe i see 5". Ill repost when im right while in your jammies Pics? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That’s not their forecast Intersting. Ryan must have posted that image on social media by mistake, and even after a few hours still not removed it yet. You may want to let him know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Pics? Sent to your im fb That Would prolly ban me here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Sent to your im fb That Would prolly ban me here lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 1 minute ago, Cold Miser said: Intersting. Ryan must have posted that image on social media by mistake, and even after a few hours still not removed it yet. You may want to let him know. He was showing a model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 pretty easy call for mby - thinking 2"-4" before transitioning to sleet / freezing rain. Depending on how long precip stays sleet will determine whether its closer to 1/10" or 2/10" of ice . Id give it a 95% chance of staying sub freezing for the duration here. Can't wait for the posts tmrw afternoon where people are surprised at how cold the surface temps are in the interior (N/W of 95, NW RI, N CT) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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