rnaude241 Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 What?!?!?! I was expecting much lower totals down this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Through 21, seems to be getting its' act together a bit earlier than 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 The western/inland weenie bloodlust for more amped solutions is palpable, and James as their sacrificial lamb, but they are willing to sacrifice additional coastal folk if needed. So far through 18h, i dont see many big changes on the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 GYX fired up WS watches. Mentioned possible blizzard conditions along the coastline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, WxBlue said: GYX fired up WS watches. Mentioned possible blizzard conditions along the coastline. Seems very prudent. Should be a very fun event within a couple counties of the coast for the wind/snow combo. *That doesn't mean it won't be a fun event inland, before someone jumps on that. I envision some large cyclonic band paralleling the coastline from Maine through NH and into E.SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Not sure if this was posted: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: Seems very prudent. Should be a very fun event within a couple counties of the coast for the wind/snow combo. *That doesn't mean it won't be a fun event inland, before someone jumps on that. Right now, it doesn't sound like they'll pull blizzard warnings beyond the coastal zones. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 NAM southern doesn't look quite as good a little less ridging ahead of it... only plus I see is the 50/50 is weaker. Hard to tell through 21 for me... should be somewhat similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 BOX map looks very reasonable to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 5 minutes ago, WxBlue said: GYX fired up WS watches. Mentioned possible blizzard conditions along the coastline. Skimpy on the snow map. Let's work on that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, skierinvermont said: NAM southern doesn't look quite as good a little less ridging ahead of it... only plus I see is the 50/50 is weaker. Hard to tell through 21 for me... should be somewhat similar Looks like it might go a bit E this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Trough seems less sharp on the NAM down in the south... heights are lower up in New England too so less ridging in front of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, skierinvermont said: NAM southern doesn't look quite as good a little less ridging ahead of it... only plus I see is the 50/50 is weaker. Hard to tell through 21 for me... should be somewhat similar ? NAM looks pretty similar, deeper through 27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 At least the 18z Nam looks a lot more like a mid latitude cyclone than a TC through 27 hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, NorEastermass128 said: BOX map looks very reasonable to me. Agreed. That's a pretty reasonable forecast, IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, sbos_wx said: ? NAM looks pretty similar, deeper through 27 There is substantially less ridging ahead of it... maybe the phase will be better I don't know.. but not looking great so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 yup, agreed ... hard to get upper tier impact from storm moving at ludicrous speed - ... I am wondering .. could there be some poorly modeled QPF lagging back because that is an awful lot of cyclonic curvature and on-going height falls still pushing through after the coastal has transgressed and moved away... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, skierinvermont said: There is substantially less ridging ahead of it... maybe the phase will be better I don't know.. but not looking great so far 35 hours just off HSE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 The one thing with these runs lately, is that the early frames don't necessarily depict what will happen later. Some of these look like they should go one way, then it goes the other way when it reaches our latitude. Hard to say until its actually up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 976 beast a few miles off HSE 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, weathafella said: 976 beast a few miles off HSE 36 Looks like it will end up east of 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Closing off at 39 off VA Beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 The nam looks like a Mid latitude cyclone. The result, she comes west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 962mb at hr42. Impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 5 minutes ago, snow1 said: Looks like it will end up east of 12z. Its actually a little bit north and west of 12z and stronger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 H5 closed off at hr 42 off NC/VA border... this is gonna be a big hit, though might be bigger if did not close off so far south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 956mb hr 45. Wow what a beastttt!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, jbenedet said: The nam looks like a Mid latitude cyclone. The result, she comes west. I wouldn't say it came west. It has a better precipitation shield on the western flank, but the heavy banding is east as is the slp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 It will be east in the end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Going to be a more 12z euro type of solution I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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