NCSNOW Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Just read a good mets opinion. Thinks jackpot is 6 to 12 between Raleigh and I 95. Mixing I 95 east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 4 minutes ago, ajr said: 9z SREF just went up in a big way for RDU (won't post the individual view because some of the outliers are NSFW [not safe for weenies, like me]) Just looked...and I hate myself for looking. 8 of 13 ARW members are 4"+ and some are really big. 7 of 13 NMB members are solid for RDU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Just now, NCSNOW said: Just read a good mets opinion. Thinks jackpot is 6 to 12 between Raleigh and I 95. Mixing I 95 east. Not even the super amped NAM shows that...interesting call. Though, that's probably what the SREF mean is but we know how amped those are usually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 https://twitter.com/RaleighWx/status/947824825338298368 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Just need the UK/Euro to show us this today... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWC Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 4 minutes ago, NCSNOW said: Just read a good mets opinion. Thinks jackpot is 6 to 12 between Raleigh and I 95. Mixing I 95 east. Don't Threaten me with a good time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mclean02 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Wow not bad i can dream right !!!?! 1.5 inches lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWC Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Just now, IWC said: Don't Threaten me with a good time... 6 minutes ago, NCSNOW said: Just read a good mets opinion. Thinks jackpot is 6 to 12 between Raleigh and I 95. Mixing I 95 east. Powerstroke, You better think about loading your toys and coming east!!! Young man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldman75 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 If we get rates like the NAM is showing I really don’t think mixing will be a huge issue east of 95. It will mix with sleet and freezing rain at first but I think the cooling will change to snow for a good while if it’s coming down hard enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broken024 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 That's a dangerous assumption. From what I have learned being south of 85... Always believe nam precip types. 1 minute ago, goldman75 said: If we get rates like the NAM is showing I really don’t think mixing will be a huge issue east of 95. It will mis with sleet and freezing rain at first but I think the cooling will change to snow for a good while if it’s coming down hard enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zacharylane3 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 9 minutes ago, goldman75 said: If we get rates like the NAM is showing I really don’t think mixing will be a huge issue east of 95. It will mix with sleet and freezing rain at first but I think the cooling will change to snow for a good while if it’s coming down hard enough TOTALLY agree! It’s definitely gonna be more snow than ice. It’s cold folks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, zacharylane3 said: TOTALLY agree! It’s definitely gonna be more snow than ice. It’s cold folks! It is cold but when you live close to the ocean the air mass can change quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Through 24 hours on the NAM, the trailing wave appears slightly faster/SW compared to the 6Z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldman75 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, zacharylane3 said: TOTALLY agree! It’s definitely gonna be more snow than ice. It’s cold folks! Now if we get weaker rates, the warm nose will cause big time mixing issues. But if they’re heavy and there’s not much more westward trending, I think the dynamic cooling helps us get some snow. Just an assumption though until the next model runs lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunBlade Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 4 minutes ago, goldman75 said: Now if we get weaker rates, the warm nose will cause big time mixing issues. But if they’re heavy and there’s not much more westward trending, I think the dynamic cooling helps us get some snow. Just an assumption though until the next model runs lol Or it flip flops all day leading to little accumulations. Seen it a 1,000 Times here near Charlotte. Rates overcome for 15 minutes and as soon as it slows down a little it’s a mix or rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Pretty big differences NAM 27hr. This will probably be closer to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 12z NAM developing the low slightly closer to SE FL coast than 6z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 8 minutes ago, goldman75 said: Now if we get weaker rates, the warm nose will cause big time mixing issues. But if they’re heavy and there’s not much more westward trending, I think the dynamic cooling helps us get some snow. Just an assumption though until the next model runs lol Warm noses are often stronger than modeled. If the 3km NAM is showing one it’s a good idea to believe it AND shift the transition zone NW 20-40 miles. It’s great with them and dynamic cooling probably wouldn’t do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 This run of the NAM is trying to tap more of the Gulf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disco-lemonade Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 yep big ol namming incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Farther west, more precip on the NAM. Plenty of mix for N Fla on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajr Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 This is going to be good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 1 minute ago, Disco-lemonade said: yep big ol namming incoming OMG, that's an interesting trend! How far can it go?? And wish it wasn't long range NAM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disco-lemonade Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 1 minute ago, mackerel_sky said: OMG, that's an interesting trend! How far can it go?? And wish it wasn't long range NAM! never doubt the nw trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 I want the NW trend but I’m not sure I want it this early. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajr Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Precip shield isn’t moving further inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disco-lemonade Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 1 minute ago, ajr said: Precip shield isn’t moving further inland wouldnt expect it to until <48 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 At 57 it looks like the first low is SW of 6z and the secondary is developing closing to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Not often you can type the following words re: a winter storm: "Nice run for Tallahassee." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 It would be better, I imagine, if we could get rid of the multiple lows and have the one closest to the coast take over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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