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Disco-lemonade

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About Disco-lemonade

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KSOP
  • Location:
    Southern Pines

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333 profile views
  1. Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    agreed its impossible to say what we will be seeing at 144 hrs a week from now... last couple of weeks haven't been great but we've made it through plenty worse in the last 7 years if we could just get a little nudge into phase 8 (still very possible) I'd bet someone within the climo favored regions of the SE will see a nice little closer to winter the nao really is killing us but ensembles are hinting maybe we will see it go neutral as we get into mid feb, as we saw in early jan neutral is leaps and bounds better than raging positive this would be supported by the mjo nearing phase 8 of course the modeling looks horrid right now, but when looking beyond 144 hrs remember verification scores
  2. Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    get ready for the pollen storms! I expect multiple "yellow outs" this year, perhaps even 200m:1 ratios
  3. 2018 Banter Thread

  4. 2018 Banter Thread

    models can hardly get 144 hr leads right! climo climo climo... march will save us!
  5. Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    for nc, need to see the gfs continue to loose the gl influence the more high pressure we can get up there the better
  6. Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    this actually looks very promising. for rdu vast majority of gefs members track a low in a much more favorable position, more like the canadian
  7. Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    gotta wait till we get into nam range, then the globals will all start playing catch up
  8. Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    total precip out into fantasy and it looks good, max in the south (active) min in the northern midwest (arctic highs), I'd say at this juncture it looks like weve got a nice shot at some snow in the south before winter is over however, that max west of the apps indicates plenty of runners in there so everybody cant always win
  9. Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    in short range news look at how the ensembles have increased totals on this weekends rain storm... some what of a theme this winter... most winters actually
  10. Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    lets check the gfs block-o-scope 3000 well the pna and ao sure look great but dang that nao! though we didnt have the nao on our side earlier in the month either see the ensembles shortly
  11. Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    man I just cant get over how great that looks I mean you really couldn't draw it up much better in my mind
  12. Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    definitely active through 348 lots of precip in the south, interested to see if the gefs has a precip max in the south... with some fat cold highs dropping out of canada I have no doubt we will time something up real nice
  13. Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    fab feb incoming! just nobody look beyond 240 hrs
  14. Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    yep was just about to mention that day 7 looks positively primed interesting what happens beyond that, reminds me of the look the gfs gave one of our earlier in the month storms at about that range
  15. 1/16-1/17 Event OBS

    went through a brief light precip lull, picking back up now and temps have finally dropped below 32
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