USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 The latest HRRR brings snow into the region from the SSW around 10z in the morning, or roughly 5am EST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 18-24? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah I think that's a decent guess right now...I'd prob guess 4" for ORH, 7" for BOS, and 12" for PYM. But I'll prob make a more comprehensive guess tonight. I'd go 8" ORH to TOL 5 Weha 8-12 Ginx east to Tan and 15 + SE Mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo1000 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 29 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Ukie for those that want it. That Ukie looks really nice. Seems to be a consensus now growing tight 30-40cm of snow for a large portion of Nova Scotia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: 18-24? Yes Scott Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think that is bullish. Yeah maybe a bit bullish but they are playing the ratio game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: 18-24? Yeah at first I thought he posted a max snow , what model gives them 1.5 qpf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 I wish they would add more nuance to emphasize OES zones. I've seen this a million times where the totals just increase from NW to SE and they jack the Cape..but it rarely ends of working out like that. They usually do well, but the south shore and a few other areas often eclipse their initial forecasts in these types of storms due to enhancement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 18-24? OES on steroids? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: I'd go 8" ORH to TOL 5 Weha 8-12 Ginx east to Tan and 15 + SE Mass Take um up before you go go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Yeah at first I thought he posted a max snow , what model gives them 1.5 qpf? JFS? I dunno...you needed everything to go right including no wind to get those ratios today. You'll have wind out there tomorrow. Unless a mega band parked overhead...the 24" number is quite....well bullish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 18-24? I mean.....12"+, sure....but that seems excessive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Maybe it was labeled incorrectly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 In these type of storms, bullish is the way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Euro a bit more amped through 30? Hard to tell because it's also faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Maybe it was labeled incorrectly. All their eggs are in the MesoNAM basket Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro a bit more amped through 30? Hard to tell because it's also faster. It is, Bumped qpf back NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 How is the EURO looking for the Cape and Islands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: How is the EURO looking for the Cape and Islands. Do you really need to ask? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, dryslot said: It is, Bumped qpf back NW Yeah def tightened up the trough a little and pushed the precip shield a smidge further west. Not a drastic change, but every bit helps in this setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just now, dryslot said: Do you really need to ask? Rainer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Rainer. I mean, He is a lock for like 12"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colonel Badger Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Rainer. You and Tip are just mean !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Looks like about 0.60-0.65" of QPF for BOS this run...about 0.35" for ORH...the 1 inch line runs from about PYM to just east of EWB and eastward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah def tightened up the trough a little and pushed the precip shield a smidge further west. Not a drastic change, but every bit helps in this setup. Yeah, 20-30 miles makes a difference of a few inches for some areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 ~ 0.45", could be 7-8" if ratios are 1:15, verbatim on EURO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Looks like about 0.60-0.65" of QPF for BOS this run...about 0.35" for ORH...the 1 inch line runs from about PYM to just east of EWB and eastward. Yet BOX throws out 6-8" for TAN. Seriously think they'll be adjusting up at the 4pm package in the Bristol/Norfolk Counties Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 If I might ask, what is the trend with the track of the mid level lows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 It might be helpful to look at ratios. Would expect them to be lower on CC and higher inland. Are we talking 1:10-1:12 on the Cape and 1:15 inland? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Yet BOX throws out 6-8" for TAN. Seriously think they'll be adjusting up at the 4pm package in the Bristol/Norfolk Counties The 12z models overall have been a little more bullish, so I'm sure they'll bring the higher amounts a bit west. Plus, the synoptics in general argue for good snows along the QPF gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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