Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Weenie out on the hires NAMs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Precip shield looks like it shifted west. Outer cape does real well on this run. Congrats James. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just out of curiosity. Why the pressure difference between the 12km Nam and the 4km. I know the resolution is better on 4km but the 12km has a central pressure of 1001mb/s just outside the BM while the 4km has 985mb/s at the same timeframe and position. That's quite the discrepancy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 14" spot over Raynham/Bridgewater/Taunton thru 00z Sunday. This includes some of today as well. And more to fall as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 I would have liked to see the srn s/w a bit more consolidated this run. There was an overall tick east to the precip shield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 NAM is at least 15" for Cape Cod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 That is just using 10:1 ratios, I expect more so ratios near 15:1, so that could be as much as 23" of snow on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 This is a classic CJ event. Go light, relatively speaking, off of the immediate n shore. Boston points south get the goods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 This is going to be fantastic to watch unfold. MLs are in the perfect position to nail Plymouth/Bristol Counties and to some extent Barnstable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 South central Mass will probably due better than my area because I'll smoke exhaust......tricky because off hand one would expect my area to do well being east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: This is going to be fantastic to watch unfold. MLs are in the perfect position to nail Plymouth/Bristol Counties and to some extent Barnstable. Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Why are you not expecting much in the way of snowfall for the event tomorrow Ray? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Blizzard conditions likely if the NAM and its brothers are right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 I would not be stunned if Hunchie or event Hippy do better than I do bc on sneaky mid levels and oes exhaust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Why are you not expecting much in the way of snowfall for the event tomorrow Ray? Mesoscale nuances....don't worry about if where you are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I would not be stunned if Hunchie or event Hippy do better than I do bc on sneaky mid levels and oes exhaust. We magic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: This is going to be fantastic to watch unfold. MLs are in the perfect position to nail Plymouth/Bristol Counties and to some extent Barnstable. The two storm / two day totals by Sunday will be prolific in some of these areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 3-5" without taking ratios into account is my thinking for mby, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 12z 4KM NAM bringing in a prolonged period of 30-40mph gusts and a period of 40-50mph gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 I beat I will end up with between 20-24" between both storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just now, Bostonseminole said: 3-5" without taking ratios into account is my thinking for mby, This will be fun to forecast...love the mesoscale stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I beat I will end up with between 20-24" between both storms. No. The best will be the south shore....near Norwell, Hingham....perhaps a secondary zone near Sharon area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: This will be fun to forecast...love the mesoscale stuff. if I can stay out of the exhaust should be OK, if not might be <3".. I've had bad luck on those lately, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 3 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I beat I will end up with between 20-24" between both storms. If things break right, maybe But I would say that's the high end range. I'd still have my expectations a bit lower than that. like 12-18" range (2 storm total) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: No. The best will be the south shore....near Norwell, Hingham....perhaps a secondary zone near Sharon area. Agreed..or parts of the upper cape like Sandwich. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just now, Bostonseminole said: if I can stay out of the exhaust should be OK, if not might be <3".. I've had bad luck on those lately, I mean...you are slightly better off inside 128 than I, but you may struggle, too. I think Jay K hit the nail on the head. This has a the feel of a protracted 3-4" of aggregate snowfall to me, while the oes coke lines smother zone from KBOS to Attlehole points se. Possibly immediate n shore, as well....but favored assist south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Each passing model run (model ala carte) I'd put my money on a Scoot to Bobo jack. A moderate snowstorm, NICE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Still IMO a good banding signal in ern areas aside from any CJ. The deep DGZ raises eyebrows too despite weaker omega. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 after catching up this morning I think I am sitting pretty for this one. I will make sure to take lots of pics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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