JC-CT Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Possibly ... Brian mentioned a couple days ago in some post .. how usually an IVT in a middle range turns out to either be closer to where the low turns out to be, or... it just doesn't verify too well. This is similar... perhaps. I've noticed that about middle range guidance tendencies as well...they tend to develop IVT as an artifact for having the wrong track for the low in the first place; model has all this dynamic forcing west of the low so it develops (mechanically) an IVT there instead. ...it's that sort of ordeal. But then as it comes into nearer term focus the model sans the east track and just develops it where it should have in the first place. Boom - west correction in near terms. Could happen here...not sure.. .But, there are valid reasons to question some of those tracks that are way out at sea like that. I'll break my own rule and quote you...it did happen here. There was a major correction west. I don't expect another though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: New Bedford jack possible too Yeah, Carver or Lakeville might be a nice place to be also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 James equaling my decent early seasonal snow totals in one fell swoop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 36 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Please don't ever actually quote a tip post. It makes the thread unreadable. Just because you said that I am going to ask that when ever someone sees a tip post, please quote it. Make sure it is a long snoozer of a post so that we have to scroll through it 20 times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just because you said that I am going to ask that when ever someone sees a tip post, please quote it. Make sure it is a long snoozer of a post so that we have to scroll through it 20 times. It really goes for any long post. It wasn't a dig at tip... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 34 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Valid points John. I think this is a tilted system for sure..but these suckers coming out of the Gulf always throw Barry Zito curve balls. ha! we should call this the Zito if works out better enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Just because you said that I am going to ask that when ever someone sees a tip post, please quote it. Make sure it is a long snoozer of a post so that we have to scroll through it 20 times. Its better than when Blizz uses his phone to attach a 3KM NAM image Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 9 minutes ago, JC-CT said: It really goes for any long post. It wasn't a dig at tip... ...Mine was a dig at Tip...although I do learn much from him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Its better than when Blizz uses his phone to attach a 3KM NAM image lol. It's odd, but my phone does not have a feature to reduce the sizes of images. It is the first time ever that I have not had that option. Plus it makes the images super huge if I take a photo. Is weird, so I am forced to download an image reducing app. Never even knew such a thing existed until this phone. Why they can't just leave the reduction feature alone is beyond me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 hour ago, db306 said: You guys really think 2-3 Hartford south? That will probably be upped a bit, 3-5 would be a fair call IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 I think 18z NAM will tick west again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 I think it's more of a correction from the 12z burp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 18Z RPM coming in quite a bit NW, looking at trends.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I think it's more of a correction from the 12z burp. It should. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I think it's more of a correction from the 12z burp. Agreed. Def west of 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Have the NWS lost their minds? I've got a Point and Click of 4"-10" with an Official WSW of 4"-8" I click a few miles away and the P&C is 12"-20"!! With Official WSW of 10"-14". And their very cool maps of prediction which I usually love, have 7" for me and 17"+ for SE Mass? Can't be that crazy of a gradient and they Must wait for more trends. Clearly this is a Frozenly Fluid Situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 NAM gone wild for SE MA this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 RPM is going wild too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Yeah RPM took a bipolar jump to the NW this run for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: RPM is going wild too. 18z runs gone wild...we just need REGEM to join the party. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: NAM gone wild for SE MA this run. yeah I was just coming in to say that at 21 hours, this runs is a bit stronger and sharper with the trough axis and attending vorticity fields as it is going neutral in the TV region compared to the same interval from the 12z ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just now, ORH_wxman said: 18z runs gone wild...we just need REGEM to join the party. Friday started early. Just need Canadian Club to get the cocktail completely made. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo1000 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Looks like were going to get slammed here with 16 plus inches of snow. https://weather.gc.ca/city/pages/ns-1_metric_e.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 wow Will -- the entire slope of the tough is both steeper and every isopleth packed more toward the NW... i ... don't think this trend is done honestly - least i'm leaning .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 What a weenie signal over SNE after 00z too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just now, leo1000 said: Looks like were going to get slammed here with 16 plus inches of snow. https://weather.gc.ca/city/pages/ns-1_metric_e.html nope...it's actually going to correct so far west that it cut west of you and rains - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajisai Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 That 44 corridor is just crushed from PVD to PYM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: What a weenie signal over SNE after 00z too. full on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 If you look, you can make out a flaccid image over SNE. Tip over CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: nope...it's actually going to correct so far west that it cut west of you and rains - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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