dryslot Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 The worrying has commenced Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 It isn't just the HRRR putting NE MA in the game, the RAP was hinting at it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 The BTV WRF, HRRR, and even RPM to an extent have some nice ending snows over the nrn 495 corridor. Might be something to watch as their latitude might help get into the CCB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 3 minutes ago, DomNH said: I've been out of the forecasting game for a while, but the more I look at this the more I wouldn't be surprised if the ASH-MHT area is in for a serious blue bomb. I don't think we'll know if we can overcome that marginal layer from like 900-sfc until it happens. Glad I don't have to make an actual forecast for this area. greetings fellow Nashuan, so I should be good for at least 5", before mix? is this done on major precip. by 10 pm or so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: The BTV WRF, HRRR, and even RPM to an extent have some nice ending snows over the nrn 495 corridor. Might be something to watch as their latitude might help get into the CCB. 6z Nam had that too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 NE MA gets in the game if the low tracks outside of BOS and really deepens. The latest guidance is doing that rather than strengthening it right over BOS or even slightly west on some previous runs. So some of these runs where the low goes to town about the time is reaches east of BOS or the north shore is where a burst of heavier snow could happen there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: The BTV WRF, HRRR, and even RPM to an extent have some nice ending snows over the nrn 495 corridor. Might be something to watch as their latitude might help get into the CCB. Is that more in line with the RGEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 Well, at least I know what my area (plymouth to CC)will get...I do not have to be the tortured soul. In MA, and CT, I think those with 800 to 1000 feet of elevation but south of the pike will see some snow, but if you have no latitude or elevation this is a no-go. North of Rt 2 special, ski country gem! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Is that more in line with the RGEM? Yeah somewhat. But those areas have latitude which helps, despite low elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 7 minutes ago, dryslot said: The worrying has commenced I thought the worrying was the past couple days? Plenty of worry yesterday for sure haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 Gah....what a 6 hr sh*t show for Dendrite, Gene, and Scott in the lakes region. Hopefully a lightning bolt takes out Brian's soil temp sensor again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: I thought the worrying was the past couple days? Plenty of worry yesterday for sure haha. The convo is the qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 1 minute ago, dryslot said: The convo is the qpf Haha if it's not one thing it's the other. Always tons of worries for a winter weather weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 Look at the instability wrap right in adjacent to the CCB. That's a good potential for TSSN I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 Maybe a +CG over OceanStWx's apartment again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: The convo is the qpf Hey now he has 2 properties to Eyeore over. Enjoy your dumping in the favored MPM, Dendrite,JEFFFAFA super band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 I'm not ruling it out here, Most modeling has it bombing over or just east along the coastline up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The BTV WRF, HRRR, and even RPM to an extent have some nice ending snows over the nrn 495 corridor. Might be something to watch as their latitude might help get into the CCB. I just looked at those new runs and it certainly raises an eyebrow. Likely a hair too late for here. Could mean a lot more for areas just north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Hey now he has 2 properties to Eyeore over. Enjoy your dumping in the favored MPM, Dendrite,JEFFFAFA super band lol, I think he wrote off his maine one yesterday, Going to be a nowcast for here seeing where this low center actually tracks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 9 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: Well, at least I know what my area (plymouth to CC)will get...I do not have to be the tortured soul. In MA, and CT, I think those with 800 to 1000 feet of elevation but south of the pike will see some snow, but if you have no latitude or elevation this is a no-go. North of Rt 2 special, ski country gem! Sadly, I am about 4 miles S of Rte 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 If it deepens when the mesos say: maybe thunder and rain to heavy snow for a short period of time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Maybe a +CG over OceanStWx's apartment again. Did you see that experimental lightning model thing last night? It was lighting up eek over to Dryslut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 Been some fairly impressive obs in NE PA now moving into NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Did you see that experimental lightning model thing last night? It was lighting up eek over to Dryslut I looked at lightning threat and didn't see anything. Something else? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Been some fairly impressive obs in NE PA now moving into NJ You may start as snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 15 minutes ago, 512high said: greetings fellow Nashuan, so I should be good for at least 5", before mix? is this done on major precip. by 10 pm or so? Like I said I'm glad I'm not actually forecasting this lol I could see 3'' of snow to slush or 8-10'' of paste. And I think that's about right...maybe a touch later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Is that more in line with the RGEM? I busted your balls yesterday, in all honesty I think you'll see a couple inches there. Maybe you'll have time to play in it before it rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 maybe even some orange pixels? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 Just now, CoastalWx said: You may start as snow. It seemed that could happen since NAM last night., Question will be what happens during the middle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 12z HRRR is gonna look even better than the 11z. Impressive run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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