OSUmetstud Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 3 minutes ago, Hazey said: Yeah you're doing ok out there. How is the latest storm playing out? Must have another 6"+ in the bank. White Christmas assured at least. 6-7" in the city, missed out in the deformation banding just 20 miles south, which got 10-12". But it was nice storm, and a pain from a forecasting perspective. Up to 36" or so on the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 6-7" in the city, missed out in the deformation banding just 20 miles south, which got 10-12". But it was nice storm, and a pain from a forecasting perspective. Up to 36" or so on the month. Models weren't aggressive enough. They were playing catchup as well as the forecasters. 3ft is not too shabby for the month. I think we are around 2ft here but we lost almost all off it do to this recent warm stretch. That's how it goes in the maritimes. Win some, loose a lot...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 4 minutes ago, Hazey said: Models weren't aggressive enough. They were playing catchup as well as the forecasters. 3ft is not too shabby for the month. I think we are around 2ft here but we lost almost all off it do to this recent warm stretch. That's how it goes in the maritimes. Win some, loose a lot...lol. Nope, we average about 26" for december, with 1 week left in the month, so that's impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 Nope, we average about 26" for december, with 1 week left in the month, so that's impressive. Well savour it. If this pattern sets up as depicted, you might be on the wrong end of the business. So might I. Too soon to know yet. Been a great run so far though overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 Just now, Hazey said: Well savour it. If this pattern sets up as depicted, you might be on the wrong end of the business. So might I. Too soon to know yet. Been a great run so far though overall. Yeah the gradient is set up north-south, I'm worried it tilts too much to NW/SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 Omg the Euro had a clipper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 Still looks like a large precipitation producer late week. Hopefully it trends better for all. wpc talks of mixed in n mA and snow in interior northeast, but there map doesn't show a secondary on the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 GYN X talking about ice here on Monday and then a period of rain at the end, although they are hinting that the cold air at the surface may last longer than what is being modeled. Doesn't seem like snow as they say that the upper-level temperatures will warm quickly but that the surface will stay cold due to good antecedent cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 The GEFS are still meager next week. I'm not buying a large QPF event yet, given seasonal trend for now. If we have a compromise..it may be a minor event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 Nickels Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 A larger event would perhaps herald a bit of a pattern shift. If we are seeing a regime change either in the Pacific or the North Atlantic which is been shown in some modeling, then wouldn't we expect a more significant precipitation event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 eps is more for a miller b then gefs but even then the two full blown op nne bombs remain an outliner at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The GEFS are still meager next week. I'm not buying a large QPF event yet, given seasonal trend for now. If we have a compromise..it may be a minor event. Euro held serve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 We never lost the Canadian cold and now all guidance reloads it with the epo. Good things can happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 1 hour ago, mahk_webstah said: GYN X talking about ice here on Monday and then a period of rain at the end, although they are hinting that the cold air at the surface may last longer than what is being modeled. Doesn't seem like snow as they say that the upper-level temperatures will warm quickly but that the surface will stay cold due to good antecedent cold The low level cold really starts backing in tomorrow. It's going to feel a lot colder than how it looked a week ago based on the H5 progs. Mon night into Tue morning may be quite messy...but it seems like we get 2-3 sh1tty commutes a week lately anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 That's a nice quick shot for Maine on Thursday. I might need to head on up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 C'mon up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 Nice blizzard for ND there. Big snow totals for that area but still a huge spread between gfs and nam where nam has been and is less robust, go figure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 12z GFS has a ridiculous sultan signal in parts of SNE in the day 7-10 range. Drought canceled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 What happened to the snowy pattern? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: What happened to the snowy pattern? It's an op run. They show you the good and bad of the pattern.....as we have said many times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: What happened to the cutter pattern? Still there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 You would think after the last 3 weeks of Op run flip flopping that some would know by now what we are up against Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It's an op run. They show you the good and bad of the pattern.....as we have said many times. I just saw that post. I'm of the thought the 29th is a weak wave with snow or rain turning to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 12z Euro is a big thump for most of the region on the 29th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 Euro is consistent with that. The s/w really explodes. Certainly good interior and esp NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro is consistent with that. The s/w really explodes. Certainly good interior and esp NNE. Do you include the Maine Mid-Coast in your NNE definition? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 We snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: Do you include the Maine Mid-Coast in your NNE definition? Might mix them over due to their longitude, but a good thump there too I think. Anyways, details are meaningless right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 20 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: When he posts, he isn't hearing any noise around him right now...it's like when the pitcher throwing the no-hitter blocks out all the fan noise after a certain point. Completely in the zone. Lmfao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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