moneypitmike Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: NNE winter. Pretty much. Payback's a b**ch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 Merry Christmas to all. Santa delivered a squall around 4-5am that whitened things up with a couple tenths...made for a slick drive up the road to work this morning. High winds with the CAA and tons of blowing snow from that little dusting. Had to stop once in the middle of the road and let the wind-blown whiteout pass. Model games continue...threading the needle and toeing the line it seems for the foreseeable future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 5 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Pretty much. Payback's a b**ch. lol save that for when some actual snowstorms start hitting. Its always gotta be NNE vs. SNE like its so cut and dry. This just strikes me as climo in general...folks just aren't used to climo after the past like 4 winters. As the seasonal baroclinic zone slides south in the means it'll start getting more wintry in the south...then as it slides back north later in winter, so does the snow. That's sort of how I look at climo winter around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: lol save that for when some actual snowstorms start hitting. Its always gotta be NNE vs. SNE like its so cut and dry. This just strikes me as climo in general...folks just aren't used to climo after the past like 4 winters. As the seasonal baroclinic zone slides south in the means it'll start getting more wintry in the south...then as it slides back north later in winter, so does the snow. That's sort of how I look at climo winter around here. Most stuff gets snow into SNE Thursday. Why are some upset? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 4 minutes ago, powderfreak said: lol save that for when some actual snowstorms start hitting. Its always gotta be NNE vs. SNE like its so cut and dry. This just strikes me as climo in general...folks just aren't used to climo after the past like 4 winters. As the seasonal baroclinic zone slides south in the means it'll start getting more wintry in the south...then as it slides back north later in winter, so does the snow. That's sort of how I look at climo winter around here. 100% agree. This area managed to get lucky in a series of over-performers. Hopefully we'll have some events that look great in the lead up and then out-peform for some nice piles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 just about everyone down here is aoa on snowfall so I don't see what the big deal is, things are a-ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Most stuff gets snow into SNE Thursday. Why are some upset? Better stock up on your bread and milk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 3 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Better stock up on your bread and milk. Better check the EPS , Euro and GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Better check the EPS , Euro and GEFS Weak sauce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 Euro and eps are more for GC and NNE, but the GFS is also stubborn for a fropa. Probably a compromise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro and eps are more for GC and NNE, but the GFS is also stubborn for a fropa. Probably a compromise. At this point in time, I'm figuring I'll do better here in GC than in Maine. In the end, I'm not anticipating this being much of note and in the end, I can be at either and not feel I'm missing much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 At this point looking at what Mike just posted and what wpc is showing, I figure we have about 3 to 6 inch snowfall up here on Thursday and Thursday night. That's just fine and consistent with what has been happening this season so far. Hopefully a shake up in the pattern will bring us chances for bigger storms every once in a while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 Flow still looks stubbornly zonal this AM looking at modeling. Signal around New Years is stil there but even that looks muted somewhat and more for interior when a couple days ago it looked more like a coastal storm impacting most. See what transpires over the next few days but to my eyes I'd still lean towards the interior doing better with the patten. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 To the extent that there is such a thing as a "" normal winter that is what this one feels like. Large snowstorms happening frequently is not normal but we've gotten a lot of them lately. What is probably normal is a north to south progression of small to moderate snowstorms and then two or three large ones affecting the region across the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 It'll snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 4 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: To the extent that there is such a thing as a "" normal winter that is what this one feels like. Large snowstorms happening frequently is not normal but we've gotten a lot of them lately. What is probably normal is a north to south progression of small to moderate snowstorms and then two or three large ones affecting the region across the winter. I A secsless winter. Time for a divorce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It'll snow. More than a 40% chance of an inch or more for you. Greater than an 80% chance for me That's a frightening graphic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 30 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: A secsless winter. Time for a divorce. Up here a secs is more than 8", if we have a lot of 4_6" storms that'll work. If you have 12 on the ground and you get 6, it still feels like a big storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 33 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: More than a 40% chance of an inch or more for you. Greater than an 80% chance for me That's a frightening graphic. That's 70% here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That's 70% here I didn't know you moved! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 0z geps and gefs. Bout all you can gleam from that is there is a decent chance of a storm on the east coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I didn't know you moved! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 35 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That's 70% here 70% chance for an inch. Righteous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 2 hours ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Perhaps a SNE winter towards the end of January and into February and March. I'd take that scenario and run to the bank, but what are the odds of that scenario playing out? For well over a year the pattern(s) has delivered above normal temps and below normal precip. to much of the eastern part of the US. We are going to need some major changes to take place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 2 hours ago, moneypitmike said: Weak sauce. I guess, If 975mb is considered weak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: I didn't know you moved! Look closer .N CT is 60-70% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Look closer .N CT is 60-70% I know where you are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 Hopefully St Euro ticks that storm a bit east at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 Would like to see the GFS start to show something similar to the Euro for the thurs system in some of these upcoming runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 8 minutes ago, dryslot said: Would like to see the GFS start to show something similar to the Euro for the thurs system in some of these upcoming runs. GEFS do. Op tossed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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