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NNE Summer 2016


MaineJayhawk

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Again the best part is if JSpin didn't live there no one would know about that 3-mile stretch on 89 through the mountains that gets a ton of precip.

Pretty much my dream scenario. Lower el in a mountain pass so you get the upslope but little wind to affect measuring. Plus a little sheltering for decent rad cooling too.
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Yeah, it was still rolling along this morning, although it’s pretty much shut off now.  This morning’s gauge reading puts the event at 0.71” thus far, which would definitely make for a decent shot of snow.  Even though it would likely be quite fluffy, it’s well past 0.50” of liquid and would likely mean that I’d have to get around to running the snow thrower through the driveway.

 

Amazing gradient with this event...  I had 0.24" total compared with your 3/4ths of an inch.  Since this precipitation was almost purely orographic with no real mid-level support, the total liquid follows the terrain beautifully for a decently blocked flow event.

 

Even though I only got a quarter inch, the river out back is quite high.  I was surprised at how high it was running given the light rainfall.  But it drains Mount Mansfield's entire eastern side.

 

This was a fairly sizeable orographic/upslope precip event for Mansfield, given none of this was convective or synoptic in nature.  This evening's 5pm report is showing 0.95" since 5pm yesterday...during that time I doubt I got a tenth of an inch.

 

The mountain's total liquid for the upslope event was 1.39" which explains the high river running by the backyard...would've been a great dump for the local hills in the winter, haha.

Daily Hydrometeorological Data
National Weather Service Burlington VT
528 PM EDT MON JUN 13 2016

Station            Precip   Temperature   Present         Snow
                   24 Hrs   Max Min Cur   Weather     New Total SWE
...Vermont...
Mount Mansfield     0.95    44  34  43
Daily Hydrometeorological Data
National Weather Service Burlington VT
515 PM EDT SUN JUN 12 2016

Station            Precip   Temperature   Present         Snow
                   24 Hrs   Max Min Cur   Weather     New Total SWE
...Vermont...
Mount Mansfield     0.44    56  33  35

And here's this morning's daily climate map from BTV...definitely a few more reports along the Spine in line with J.Spin.  Immediate west slope and spine axis spots had 0.4-0.7 in that 24 hour block.

 

post-352-0-02073900-1465863511_thumb.png

VERMONT 

    HANKSVILLE (911FT)                   0.64
    WATERBURY 3.0NW                      0.57
    MONTGOMERY (926FT)                   0.50
    LINCOLN (1672FT)                     0.46
    JEFFERSONVILLE COOP (1163 FT)        0.41
    SHEFFIELD 2.8NNW (1340FT)            0.38
    HUNTINGTON 0.7NNE                    0.35
    GREENSBORO 2.3NNE (1630FT)           0.35
    RICHMOND 3.4SSE                      0.33
    JOHNSON COOP (980FT)                 0.31

What's interesting is even up near Jay Peak, the Montgomery observer had 0.50" while Westfield a few miles east only had 0.14".  That doesn't happen very often up there from what I've seen...Westfield is one of the snowier and wetter spots in CoCoRAHS (usually up there with J.Spin) but the flow must've been really blocked to the west side.

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The wet NW flow continues though with another piece of energy dropping through.

 

Picked up a quick tenth of an inch of rain with the first short shower with more building in from the NW. 

 

Crazy cold season pattern for June. 

 

attachicon.gifJune_13b.gif

A blinkin boomer ended the softball game a bit early down here in Orwell.

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The wet NW flow continues though with another piece of energy dropping through.

 

Picked up a quick tenth of an inch of rain with the first short shower with more building in from the NW.

 

Crazy cold season pattern for June.

 

Rainfall was just 0.01” to 0.02” at our place from that round, and it looks like that will finish off the event. 

 

As we know, these deep, vertically stacked lows sitting in the Canadian Maritimes are really great stuff for the spine – let’s hope Mother Nature can get a bit better consistency with these in the cold season.  Not that we’ve been totally lacking of that snowfall mechanism, but as I look through my list of accumulating storms from this past season, only once (#32) do I mention the Maritimes, and a storm doesn’t need to pause there for long to get me to mention it in my storm description.  For our mid-May storm (#40), I do mention Northern Maine, which is also a decent spot for low pressure.

 

Man, what a simply horrendous number of storms “passing to our west”, “passing through Vermont”, “cutting through the Great Lakes”, “cutting to our northwest” or “tracking through the St. Lawrence Valley”.

 

1          10/17/2015        Cold front and mid/upper level trough - coldest air of season with hard freezes

2          11/12/2015        Low pressure moving north of the area

3          11/24/2015        Dying Clipper/shortwave trough

4          11/29/2015        Secondary cold front

5          12/18/2015        Lake effect from Huron plus strong shortwave in afternoon/evening on the 19th

6          12/26/2015        Elongated frontal zone/warm front

7          12/29/2015        Southwest flow event; Winter Storm Goliath

8          12/30/2015        Weak low pressure system passing just to our north

9          1/1/2016            Weak upper level disturbance coming down from Canada

10         1/3/2016            Arctic Cold Front

11         1/9/2016            Synoptic system cutting through Great Lakes

12         1/11/2016          Lake-effect snow

13         1/12/2016          Clipper-redeveloper

14         1/14/2016          Lake-enhanced moisture from the southwest interacting with a weak surface front dropping southward

15         1/16/2016          Dual low pressure - one out of Ontario and another along the coast

16         1/18/2016          Upper level low/inverted trough + Upslope

17         1/24/2016          Weak upper level disturbance

18         1/29/2016          Clipper-like system

19         2/3/2016            System cutting to our northwest

20         2/6/2016            Convective snow showers

21         2/8/2016            General upper level trough moving into Northeast plus moisture from Winter Storm Mars offshore

22         2/13/2016          Arctic Frontal Passage

23         2/13/2016          Arctic Lake-effect snow from Lake Champlain

24         2/16/2016          Sandwich storm passing just to the west/over Vermont; Winter Storm Olympia

25         2/19/2016          Clipper passing north of international border

26         2/23/2016          Sandwich storm passing to the west of Vermont; Winter Storm Petros

27         2/29/2016          Cold front

28         3/2/2016            Sandwich storm passing through Northern Vermont; Winter Storm Quo

29         3/7/2016            Shortwave energy in northwest flow

30         3/14/2016          Upper level low passing to west of area; moving northeastward from Ohio Valley/Great Lakes

31         3/24/2016          Stalled/Meandering frontal boundary + synoptic system passing to west - Winter Storm Selene

32         3/28/2016          Synoptic storm moving from Ohio Valley to Maritimes with wraparound snow - between Selene/Troy

33         4/3/2016            Some snow showers associated with cold front and clipper in SNE

34         4/4/2016            Clipper passing through SNE - Winter Storm Ursula.

35         4/6/2016            Low pressure tracking through St. Lawrence Valley

36         4/9/2016            Shortwave with possible Lake Champlain enhancement hitting western slopes

37         4/10/2016          Low pressure tracking north of area through Ontario/Quebec - front end snowfall

38         4/26/2016          Upper level disturbance from Michigan moving eastward south of our area

39         5/9/2016            Upper level low pressure well north of the border and strong cold front

40         5/15/2016          Cold front and closed mid/upper level low moving to northern Maine

 

Now it looks like we’ve got some beautiful Chamber of Commerce weather coming up – our point forecast shows day after day with lows around 50 F, highs in the 70s F, and sun.

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J.Spin, on 14 Jun 2016 - 09:04 AM, said:J.Spin, on 14 Jun 2016 - 09:04 AM, said:

Rainfall was just 0.01” to 0.02” at our place from that round, and it looks like that will finish off the event. 

 

As we know, these deep, vertically stacked lows sitting in the Canadian Maritimes are really great stuff for the spine – let’s hope Mother Nature can get a bit better consistency with these in the cold season.  Not that we’ve been totally lacking of that snowfall mechanism, but as I look through my list of accumulating storms from this past season, only once (#32) do I mention the Maritimes, and a storm doesn’t need to pause there for long to get me to mention it in my storm description.  For our mid-May storm (#40), I do mention Northern Maine, which is also a decent spot for low pressure.

 

Man, what a simply horrendous number of storms “passing to our west”, “passing through Vermont”, “cutting through the Great Lakes”, “cutting to our northwest” or “tracking through the St. Lawrence Valley”.

 

1          10/17/2015        Cold front and mid/upper level trough - coldest air of season with hard freezes

2          11/12/2015        Low pressure moving north of the area

3          11/24/2015        Dying Clipper/shortwave trough

4          11/29/2015        Secondary cold front

5          12/18/2015        Lake effect from Huron plus strong shortwave in afternoon/evening on the 19th

6          12/26/2015        Elongated frontal zone/warm front

7          12/29/2015        Southwest flow event; Winter Storm Goliath

8          12/30/2015        Weak low pressure system passing just to our north

9          1/1/2016            Weak upper level disturbance coming down from Canada

10         1/3/2016            Arctic Cold Front

11         1/9/2016            Synoptic system cutting through Great Lakes

12         1/11/2016          Lake-effect snow

13         1/12/2016          Clipper-redeveloper

14         1/14/2016          Lake-enhanced moisture from the southwest interacting with a weak surface front dropping southward

15         1/16/2016          Dual low pressure - one out of Ontario and another along the coast

16         1/18/2016          Upper level low/inverted trough + Upslope

17         1/24/2016          Weak upper level disturbance

18         1/29/2016          Clipper-like system

19         2/3/2016            System cutting to our northwest

20         2/6/2016            Convective snow showers

21         2/8/2016            General upper level trough moving into Northeast plus moisture from Winter Storm Mars offshore

22         2/13/2016          Arctic Frontal Passage

23         2/13/2016          Arctic Lake-effect snow from Lake Champlain

24         2/16/2016          Sandwich storm passing just to the west/over Vermont; Winter Storm Olympia

25         2/19/2016          Clipper passing north of international border

26         2/23/2016          Sandwich storm passing to the west of Vermont; Winter Storm Petros

27         2/29/2016          Cold front

28         3/2/2016            Sandwich storm passing through Northern Vermont; Winter Storm Quo

29         3/7/2016            Shortwave energy in northwest flow

30         3/14/2016          Upper level low passing to west of area; moving northeastward from Ohio Valley/Great Lakes

31         3/24/2016          Stalled/Meandering frontal boundary + synoptic system passing to west - Winter Storm Selene

32         3/28/2016          Synoptic storm moving from Ohio Valley to Maritimes with wraparound snow - between Selene/Troy

33         4/3/2016            Some snow showers associated with cold front and clipper in SNE

34         4/4/2016            Clipper passing through SNE - Winter Storm Ursula.

35         4/6/2016            Low pressure tracking through St. Lawrence Valley

36         4/9/2016            Shortwave with possible Lake Champlain enhancement hitting western slopes

37         4/10/2016          Low pressure tracking north of area through Ontario/Quebec - front end snowfall

38         4/26/2016          Upper level disturbance from Michigan moving eastward south of our area

39         5/9/2016            Upper level low pressure well north of the border and strong cold front

40         5/15/2016          Cold front and closed mid/upper level low moving to northern Maine

 

Now it looks like we’ve got some beautiful Chamber of Commerce weather coming up – our point forecast shows day after day with lows around 50 F, highs in the 70s F, and sun.

 

Now it looks like we’ve got some beautiful Chamber of Commerce weather coming up – our point forecast shows day after day with lows around 50 F, highs in the 70s F, and sun.

 

The Mount Tolland chamber of commerce would not approve.

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Now it looks like we’ve got some beautiful Chamber of Commerce weather coming up – our point forecast shows day after day with lows around 50 F, highs in the 70s F, and sun.  The Mount Tolland chamber of commerce would not approve.

 

Ahhh yes, right, the Chamber of Commerce that somehow wants obviously unpleasant, sweltering, sticky conditions to persist for months on end so that the officials can sit inside their air conditioned offices and make wise cracks about the people outside who are sweating so much that they somehow have toilet paper stuck to themselves all over the place.  At least the weather aspects might be semi-viable for a coastal beach town, but other than that it sounds like a recipe for a community’s financial ruin.

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Ahhh yes, right, the Chamber of Commerce that somehow wants obviously unpleasant, sweltering, sticky conditions to persist for months on end so that the officials can sit inside their air conditioned offices and make wise cracks about the people outside who are sweating so much that they somehow have toilet paper stuck to themselves all over the place.  At least the weather aspects might be semi-viable for a coastal beach town, but other than that it sounds like a recipe for a community’s financial ruin.

 

LOL

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Rainfall was just 0.01” to 0.02” at our place from that round, and it looks like that will finish off the event. 

 

As we know, these deep, vertically stacked lows sitting in the Canadian Maritimes are really great stuff for the spine – let’s hope Mother Nature can get a bit better consistency with these in the cold season.  Not that we’ve been totally lacking of that snowfall mechanism, but as I look through my list of accumulating storms from this past season, only once (#32) do I mention the Maritimes, and a storm doesn’t need to pause there for long to get me to mention it in my storm description.  For our mid-May storm (#40), I do mention Northern Maine, which is also a decent spot for low pressure.

 

Man, what a simply horrendous number of storms “passing to our west”, “passing through Vermont”, “cutting through the Great Lakes”, “cutting to our northwest” or “tracking through the St. Lawrence Valley”.

 

1          10/17/2015        Cold front and mid/upper level trough - coldest air of season with hard freezes

2          11/12/2015        Low pressure moving north of the area

3          11/24/2015        Dying Clipper/shortwave trough

4          11/29/2015        Secondary cold front

5          12/18/2015        Lake effect from Huron plus strong shortwave in afternoon/evening on the 19th

6          12/26/2015        Elongated frontal zone/warm front

7          12/29/2015        Southwest flow event; Winter Storm Goliath

8          12/30/2015        Weak low pressure system passing just to our north

9          1/1/2016            Weak upper level disturbance coming down from Canada

10         1/3/2016            Arctic Cold Front

11         1/9/2016            Synoptic system cutting through Great Lakes

12         1/11/2016          Lake-effect snow

13         1/12/2016          Clipper-redeveloper

14         1/14/2016          Lake-enhanced moisture from the southwest interacting with a weak surface front dropping southward

15         1/16/2016          Dual low pressure - one out of Ontario and another along the coast

16         1/18/2016          Upper level low/inverted trough + Upslope

17         1/24/2016          Weak upper level disturbance

18         1/29/2016          Clipper-like system

19         2/3/2016            System cutting to our northwest

20         2/6/2016            Convective snow showers

21         2/8/2016            General upper level trough moving into Northeast plus moisture from Winter Storm Mars offshore

22         2/13/2016          Arctic Frontal Passage

23         2/13/2016          Arctic Lake-effect snow from Lake Champlain

24         2/16/2016          Sandwich storm passing just to the west/over Vermont; Winter Storm Olympia

25         2/19/2016          Clipper passing north of international border

26         2/23/2016          Sandwich storm passing to the west of Vermont; Winter Storm Petros

27         2/29/2016          Cold front

28         3/2/2016            Sandwich storm passing through Northern Vermont; Winter Storm Quo

29         3/7/2016            Shortwave energy in northwest flow

30         3/14/2016          Upper level low passing to west of area; moving northeastward from Ohio Valley/Great Lakes

31         3/24/2016          Stalled/Meandering frontal boundary + synoptic system passing to west - Winter Storm Selene

32         3/28/2016          Synoptic storm moving from Ohio Valley to Maritimes with wraparound snow - between Selene/Troy

33         4/3/2016            Some snow showers associated with cold front and clipper in SNE

34         4/4/2016            Clipper passing through SNE - Winter Storm Ursula.

35         4/6/2016            Low pressure tracking through St. Lawrence Valley

36         4/9/2016            Shortwave with possible Lake Champlain enhancement hitting western slopes

37         4/10/2016          Low pressure tracking north of area through Ontario/Quebec - front end snowfall

38         4/26/2016          Upper level disturbance from Michigan moving eastward south of our area

39         5/9/2016            Upper level low pressure well north of the border and strong cold front

40         5/15/2016          Cold front and closed mid/upper level low moving to northern Maine

 

Now it looks like we’ve got some beautiful Chamber of Commerce weather coming up – our point forecast shows day after day with lows around 50 F, highs in the 70s F, and sun.

I just threw up in my mouth.  thanks.

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J. Spin,  I understand your pain.  Amazing how I have missed almost every substantial  storm this year.  6" or so biggest snowstorm.  Lots of nickels and dimes this spring.  Thankfully the 1 3/4" from the last storm. Since then just a few tenths from all the passing showers of the past days.  VT spine and the Whites did fine but downsloping drys everything up for me.  Nice heavy shower past just east last night.  Last year my pond for the first time totally dried up in August.  Looking to do it much earlier this summer.  Models have really no appreciable rain for next week or more.  Pretty amazing pattern that goes on and on.

 

I promised no whining about rain till the end of June after the last good rain.  I guess that resolution did not last long.  Congrads Dendrite and eek for at least getting that heavy shower with hail several days ago, missed that one too.

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Dude that second one down...that's print worthy.

 

 

Great stuff eyewall, thanks for putting up fairly high resolution images – I’m using that one for my desktop on my laptop.

I think I'm going to give up complimenting the photographers in the NNE forum every time they post great pics, it's just too often.  I'm just going to post one "Great pics everyone!" in January to cover the entire year.  Seriously though, all of you post some fantastic shots in all seasons.  Makes me embarrassed to post iPhone pics of an inch of snow in my back yard.  Anyway, all of you keep up the great work, it is appreciated! 

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I think I'm going to give up complimenting the photographers in the NNE forum every time they post great pics, it's just too often.  I'm just going to post one "Great pics everyone!" in January to cover the entire year.  Seriously though, all of you post some fantastic shots in all seasons.  Makes me embarrassed to post iPhone pics of an inch of snow in my back yard.  Anyway, all of you keep up the great work, it is appreciated! 

Absolutely agree.  Too bad there isn't a "like" option for posts. 

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I think I'm going to give up complimenting the photographers in the NNE forum every time they post great pics, it's just too often.  I'm just going to post one "Great pics everyone!" in January to cover the entire year.  Seriously though, all of you post some fantastic shots in all seasons.  Makes me embarrassed to post iPhone pics of an inch of snow in my back yard.  Anyway, all of you keep up the great work, it is appreciated! 

 

Yeah I'm the same... I like sharing photos, same with Gene, Eyewall, J.Spin, Borderwx, etc and there's some high quality stuff that comes out.  The NNE thread is slow enough moving that the photos are a nice addition and I've been digging the drone shots lately.

 

Speaking of photos, had a very nice couple days with wildlife on the mountain.  Every morning we hop in the truck and head up the Toll Road for morning checks to make sure no washouts or trees came down overnight (you can tell its been windy as this week we've had 3 mornings where chainsaws were needed to clear the road), but this is also when we see the most wildlife.  They come out on the road at night and use it to move around...so before the public starts driving up we usually find them out on the road at first light.  Caught a decent sized Bobcat last week wandering the road, but he peaced out before I could grab the camera.   When we come across wildlife we usually immediately shut the truck down not to spook them, and its amazing how unafraid they often are.  Earlier this spring a co-worker has a video of a young moose walking right up to the truck and almost sticking his head in.

 

Driving the work truck up the Toll Road at 7am in the fog the other morning we came across this mother and fawn...the fawn looked to have been born within the last 72 hours as it was still figuring out how to walk. 

 

13428545_10102554797232730_6431342847299

 

 

Yesterday I found this pair again (what I think is this pair) about a mile away on the Lower Nosedive ski trail near the Operations office.  Always nice to see as that first week is when the fawns are most venerable to getting eating by something.

 

post-352-0-56068200-1466004108_thumb.jpg

 

 

Also yesterday we were driving the trails truck up Crossover to drop off some brush for chipping, and I left the camera in the office...naturally we see a black bear with two of the smallest cubs you could imagine cross the trail.  They were smaller than my black lab puppy and they were about 50 feet away at best.  Would've gotten some nice National Geographic quality photos had my camera been in the truck.  As soon as the mom saw us though she started snorting and making some loud noises.  The cubs then fled straight up the nearest tree.  I wanted that photo so bad, haha.  Two small cubs about 30 feet up in a tree looking right down on us...while the mom circled the base of the tree making noises to distract us.

 

I hopped back in the truck, went drove down to the office and came back up with the camera, although by this point they had moved a little deeper into the woods and all I could get was one brief shot of the mom through the foliage.

 

post-352-0-92991400-1466004083_thumb.jpg

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Yeah I'm the same... I like sharing photos, same with Gene, Eyewall, J.Spin, Borderwx, etc and there's some high quality stuff that comes out.  The NNE thread is slow enough moving that the photos are a nice addition and I've been digging the drone shots lately.

 

Speaking of photos, had a very nice couple days with wildlife on the mountain.  Every morning we hop in the truck and head up the Toll Road for morning checks to make sure no washouts or trees came down overnight (you can tell its been windy as this week we've had 3 mornings where chainsaws were needed to clear the road), but this is also when we see the most wildlife.  They come out on the road at night and use it to move around...so before the public starts driving up we usually find them out on the road at first light.  Caught a decent sized Bobcat last week wandering the road, but he peaced out before I could grab the camera.   When we come across wildlife we usually immediately shut the truck down not to spook them, and its amazing how unafraid they often are.  Earlier this spring a co-worker has a video of a young moose walking right up to the truck and almost sticking his head in.

 

Driving the work truck up the Toll Road at 7am in the fog the other morning we came across this mother and fawn...the fawn looked to have been born within the last 72 hours as it was still figuring out how to walk. 

 

13428545_10102554797232730_6431342847299

 

 

 

I saw a fawn about that same size a week ago. i swear it was the size of a big cat/small dog. smallest i have ever seen by far.

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