dryslot Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Agreed. I used to get more excited for them when lived in the MA and then SNE. There's something about A's that are especially exciting - probably watching them move up the coast and impact all those population centers. Get ready for days of hype as the NYC/DC-based media machine latches onto this.... Those areas sit in great spot for these, By they time they get here if at all, The already blew there load and is an occluded POS moving off the the ENE, I just like watching the evolution of these systems as they are modeled, This 12z GFS run kind of reminds me of the blizzard of 2013, Just about 100 miles or so further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Man...that gradient would be incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Is it okay to start getting excited now? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Man...that gradient would be incredible. It would bring some to tears Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Actually, I might be on the right side of that cutoff.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2016 Author Share Posted January 19, 2016 They are not good for NNE, I have stated this more then once and PF and i have had the discussion where he was confused where he thought A's were better, Its B's that we do well on, Not these There's Miller As that work for NNE, but they are just fickle and too much goes wrong with them. Same in SNE. Hopefully for us down here, we'll get a solid "sloppy seconds" hit like Jan '96 or Feb '83...not get fringed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 There's Miller As that work for NNE, but they are just fickle and too much goes wrong with them. Same in SNE. Hopefully for us down here, we'll get a solid "sloppy seconds" hit like Jan '96 or Feb '83...not get fringed. I think you guys will do well on this one down there , It's been tough winter especially south of here so hopefully some can cash, There will be more chances going forward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Anyone have a map or link for snowfall totals in southern New England on the 96 storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 just look at the 12gfs its almost exact lol google blizzard of 96 and hit images there are a ton off topic can we do it again on the day 9 gfs looks like the weekend storm Anyone have a map or link for snowfall totals in southern New England on the 96 storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2016 Author Share Posted January 19, 2016 Anyone have a map or link for snowfall totals in southern New England on the 96 storm? Old school TWC map: http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/1996/SnowTotals-07Jan96.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Old school TWC map: http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/1996/SnowTotals-07Jan96.jpg Thanks. I Remember about 18-19 or so which seems to line up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I like where I sit now..but still wary of being 96-108 hours out. I'll start investing at 12z tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2016 Author Share Posted January 19, 2016 Thanks. I Remember about 18-19 or so which seems to line up. We had about 15" in ORH....solid storm, but nothing historic obviously. It was a nice storm though given expectations about 48 hours earlier of basically nada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 These 2 storms are getting thrown around in all sorts of circles as good analogs. Both of them were good SNE hits correct? 2/11-12 83, 2/17-18 03. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I'm not trying to wishcast here - but is it just me or does the the 12z run of the GFS looks "weird". Up the coast then turning SE? At least the Euro has been steady with it staying more south of us but having it move in a direction that makes more sense. Just an observation... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2016 Author Share Posted January 19, 2016 These 2 storms are getting thrown around in all sorts of circles as good analogs. Both of them were good SNE hits correct? 2/11-12 83, 2/17-18 03. Yes they were...I'd put Jan '96 above those though in terms of similarity to the evolution of this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Is there a good chance the qpf cutoff happens as modeled or is it overdone? What causes that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colonel Badger Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Is there a good chance the qpf cutoff happens as modeled or is it overdone? What causes that? Lets hope its over done. Really would like 6"+ where I am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 These 2 storms are getting thrown around in all sorts of circles as good analogs. Both of them were good SNE hits correct? 2/11-12 83, 2/17-18 03. The second one is PDII Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Yes they were...I'd put Jan '96 above those though in terms of similarity to the evolution of this storm. I know BDL had 21" in 83. I remember that storm vividly at 11 years old. 03 I believe gave BOS over 2 feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I know BDL had 21" in 83. I remember that storm vividly at 11 years old. 03 I believe gave BOS over 2 feet. BOS and S shore got Ray's CJ in 96 and 03...especially 03 in Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 BOS and S shore got Ray's CJ in 96 and 03...especially 03 in Boston. I just looked 27.5 inches in BOS in 03. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I like all the analogs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2016 Author Share Posted January 19, 2016 I know BDL had 21" in 83. I remember that storm vividly at 11 years old. 03 I believe gave BOS over 2 feet. PDII got further north than both Jan '96 and Feb '83. They were all good storms for southern New England though. I don't think I'd favor this one getting quite as far north as PDII right now...but can't rule it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 i bit... i'm excited for this now. there's no turning back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 waiting on the euro if its good im all in i bit... i'm excited for this now. there's no turning back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 mid atlantic buried alive omg...well hopefull dc measures more than 18 when everyone around them had like 25-30 during feb 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 that cut off is real and its a nail biter just get it 50-75 miles farther north please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 i bit... i'm excited for this now. there's no turning back Now it's a party. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jenkins Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I like all the analogs. Not sure if you saw this from WPC that was posted in NYC subforum but so does Kocin TO PUT THIS SYSTEM IN CONTEXT...THE POTENTIAL SNOWFALLDISTRIBUTION HAS SIMILARITIES TO SEVERAL MAJOR EAST COAST STORMSIN RECENT PAST INCLUDING THE 5-6 FEBRUARY 2010 SNOWSTORM/THE JANUARY 1996 BLIZZARD OF 1996 AND THE PRESIDENTS DAY OF FEBRUARY 2003. JANUARY 1996 IS LIKELY TO BE MORE WIDESPREAD/HEAVY BUT ONLY TIME WILL TELL. THE MECHANISMS COMING TOGETHER FOR A MAJOR SNOWFALL ARE TEXTBOOK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.