ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 There's almost a nice inverted trough signature in Maine on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 12z Euro another Maine special it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Another Maine clobbering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 It's no more east than 00z. Right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Interested to see how this plays out on guidance tonight. Euro vortmax overshooting far East... at surface depicts a double-barrel low. Sometimes that depiction is a model transition to a farther ots solution. There were a few ensemble members hanging out at 38N/65W to support that too. In this relatively progressive regime, I wouldn't be surprised. Good example of this and played out as I anticipated yesterday (ie. big East shift at 0z last night was not a blip)... sometimes when Euro is transitioning towards a more eastern solution, it depicts a double-barrel low which is what it did 12z yesterday as a consequence of the vortmax overshooting much farther ots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Euro going wide right kind of like GFS...it does look cold marginally enough for ORH hills and Berks for some wet snow. But QPF is only around 3 or 4 tenths.How about hills south of 90? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 How about hills south of 90? Prob not much. Maybe NW CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Thats just what I want to see from the 12z euro. Hopefully enough cold air around. We snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Thats just what I want to see from the 12z euro. Hopefully enough cold air around. We snow The "County" and you are on a roll Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 The "County" and you are on a roll You take em' when you can get em'. It can easily go into the crapper real quick around my neck of the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Euro going wide right kind of like GFS...it does look cold marginally enough for ORH hills and Berks for some wet snow. But QPF is only around 3 or 4 tenths. 3 or 4 tenths wet snow at elevation would make for a good day at the Beast. I'm not turning my nose up at it. Leave the blizzard fetish to others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 3 or 4 tenths wet snow at elevation would make for a good day at the Beast. I'm not turning my nose up at it. Leave the blizzard fetish to others. I'm just hoping to avoid a soaker... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 3 or 4 tenths wet snow at elevation would make for a good day at the Beast. I'm not turning my nose up at it. Leave the blizzard fetish to others. I would completely embrace a nice advisory event...though it will be harder to overcome the marginal temps when we're getting lighter QPF, but certainly somewhere like Beast in the Berks would be able to do it in that scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Jefffafa another 10 spot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Jefffafa another 10 spot?Can you guys have your congrats posts in a PM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Can you guys have your congrats posts in a PM? Last I knew this was a discussion forum about New England weather not Mt Tolland? whats up bro, Jeffs a very good friend, he is gonna steal your snow Deal with it, Cosgrove Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Can you guys have your congrats posts in a PM? Damage In Tolland Posted 46 minutes ago Rev Kev 59,326 posts Joined November 12, 2010 Location:Tolland, CT 23 °F W @ 27 MPH After the Euro.. This winter is definitely getting to some folks on the board. #Nino Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Jefffafa another 10 spot? Its possible Steve, The 12z Euro run was a little colder which helps the coastal areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Its possible Steve, The 12z Euro run was a little colder which helps the coastal areas I see over 1.2 qpf near you on the Euro, nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 I see over 1.2 qpf near you on the Euro, nice Yeah, It look like i was .90" qpf, So it would be close at 10:1, Probably similar to last nights Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Yeah, It look like i was .90" qpf, So it would be close at 10:1, Probably similar to last nights That is a nice week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 That is a nice week! Thanks, Yes, It would be, Looks like i can get out and go do some riding up in the foothills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Euro ensembles are a pretty decent look for CNE...and even down perhaps into N ORH hills and Berkshires. We'll have to keep an eye on this. Prob wouldn't take much of an earlier development of the coastal CCB to get a few more into the potential in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Did you guys see any of those individual GEFs members... man - P009 has like a ... 938 mb low due S of NS and it's circumvella of influence is so ginormous that there is a blizzard raging over the Berks. not sure i've ever seen that modeled like that. anyway, about 9 of the 12 members were uber amped compared to the Euro ... kind of a little modeling war here - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Last I knew this was a discussion forum about New England weather not Mt Tolland? whats up bro, Jeffs a very good friend, he is gonna steal your snow Deal with it, Cosgrove Kevin be mad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Yeah, It look like i was .90" qpf, So it would be close at 10:1, Probably similar to last nights Bring it on in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 couple of kielbasa observations re the 18z NAM ... ... the 60-ish hours look tucked more west re the weekend fun, and the followup is descending harder down the Rockies playground slide... just sayin' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 couple of kielbasa observations re the 18z NAM ... ... the 60-ish hours look tucked more west re the weekend fun, and the followup is descending harder down the Rockies playground slide... just sayin' The weekend storm has light sprinkles for some of you on the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 know what would be funny? is if the weekend one reduxed 2005 with a compact vorticity core zipping passed. how awesome would a Pats game be at Gillette with a 100 kt sting jet wind gusts... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 And then there was Sipprell who had a different take lol SYNOPTICALLY: ENSEMBLE MEAN PREFERENCE. SURFACE TO H85 NOR`EASTER TRACK OUT OF THE N-GULF ALONG THE SE-COAST OFF THE CAROLINAS AROUNDMIDNIGHT SATURDAY MOVING NE IN PROXIMITY TO THE 40N/70W BENCHMARKSATURDAY MORNING BEFORE BOMBING OUT S OF NOVA SCOTIA AFTERNOON INTOEVENING. LEANING TOWARDS AN OPEN-WAVE SETUP AT AND ABOVE H7 NEGATINGCYCLONIC TROWALING. FOCUS THEREFORE WITHIN THE N/NE-QUADRANT OF THEH85 LOW AS THE ANTICYCLONIC BRANCH OF THE WARM-MOIST CONVEYER BELTTAKES PRECEDENT ... BUT THERMAL PACKING / DEFORMATION LIKELY NW OFTHE H85 LOW RESULTING IN FAVORABLE LIFT THROUGH SNOW-GROWTH REGIONSWHERE ICE WILL BE PRESENT. COULD BE DEALING WITH AROUND 20 MICROBARSPER SECOND OF OMEGA DEPENDING ON THE PROXIMITY OF THE H85 LOW ASDEEP-LAYER FORCING PREVAILS BENEATH DECENT DIVERGENCE ALOFT.THERMAL PROFILES: FOCUS ON H85 FREEZING LINE / 1000-850 THICKNESS.DESPITE THE DOUBLE-BARREL LOW SETUP AND ABSENCE OF ARCTIC / CANADIANHIGH TO THE N WITH WARM AIR FUNNELING REARWARD OF THE NOR`EASTER ...TAKING THE ENSEMBLES AND STRONG VERTICAL FORCING INTO CONSIDERATIONBELIEVE THAT DURING THE MORNING PASSAGE AREAS FROM N-CENTRAL CT NETHROUGH WORCESTER INTO N/W ESSEX COUNTY MA WILL SEE A RAIN/SNOW MIXDEPENDENT ON THE INTENSITY OF PRECIPITATION WHEREAS MORE N/W OF THEAFOREMENTION LINE WILL SEE SNOW ... MAINLY WET SNOW WITH LOW SNOWTO LIQUID RATIOS. RAIN ELSEWHERE. TRANSITION LINE WILL LIKELY BACKN/W THROUGH THE DAYTIME PASSAGE OF THE STORM AND AS MILDER AIR OFFTHE OCEAN WORKS IN BEFORE RACING E LATE AS WINDS BACK W USHERINGARCTIC AIR ACROSS THE REGION AS THE STORM EXITS E. WILL CONSIDERSNOW OCCURRING AS WARM AS 36-DEGREES.SNOW ACCUMULATIONS: THINKING A LIGHT SLUSH FOR LOCATIONS ALONG THELINE MENTIONED ABOVE WITH ROADS REMAINING FAIRLY WET AS TEMPERATURESHOVER AROUND 32 TO 36 DEGREES. THEN AGAIN IF IT SNOWS HARD ENOUGHLIKELY DROPPING THE TEMPERATURE A DEGREE OR TWO WE WOULD LIKELY SEEACCUMULATION ON ALL SURFACES. N/W OF THE LINE EXPECT ACCUMULATIONESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGH TERRAIN OF AROUND 1 TO 2 INCHES ASTEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COLDER. LOW CHANCE OF ADVISORY-LEVEL SNOWS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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