Damage In Tolland

Well aren’t you central CT?

What models besides the NAM and HREF which is NAM based ?

I’ll make a deal. If your forecast ends up correct and I get 4” or more, I will not make one mention of Stein the rest of this summer

I still think .50-.75 is the best forecast around here . An inch of things break right

I think that is possible as but more likely is Philly to NNJ /NYC corridor . N CT has been bone dry since June 1.. so even if a few inches managed to fall there shouldn’t be any issues . S CT has been much wetter so they could have a few issues if they ended up training

He only posts the high models . You know how it works . Not likely

All I know is the 4 CT northern counties especially northern halves, are dry to very dry . There’s been less than 3” of rain since June 1 in most places . With wagons mainly south on guidance today , I still think coastal CT down to Philly are going to be where any issues might be with coastal CT being less at risk than NYC to Philly/ SE PA.

You get big damage last night?

You’re good at sniffing these types of events out. Now that you’ve sobered up and they pulled from the bottom of Winni in time.. what do you think ? Widespread , narrow zone , most likely areas etc

Very true. Point being this could be anywhere from a boring, mundane 1” or less to as much as a couple inches in CT. Pretty sure there will not be flooding lol

Just ignore the dry guidance and go with the 2-9” guidance lol. If CT gets an inch or two that does nada for the drought

I’d be very worried , but I’d pretend that I wasn’t on here

RRFS and HRRR both say ease way back on widespread massive totals , flood watches etc. . Not saying either are correct , but the convection to the south concerns are real .

Now post the HRRR

The RRFS? Found it quickly . Might not be right but wagons def south for heaviest