dryslot Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Euro ens have you in a great spot, more importantly SR SB Definitly want to see the 12z Euro, We may mix here but inland (foothills) could see a nice event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 That retreating PV lobe to our NE has been trending a tick more stubborn to leave each run. If we can keep those small ticks going hopefully we can squeeze a little more confluence out of it. Its not going to take much to make this a pasting for the fence sitters, Lets see if we can keep that trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Its not going to take much to make this a pasting for the fence sitters, Lets see if we can keep that trend Euro ens mean for LEW LCI HIE CON is 3-5, thats a good sign IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 If the RDPS is showing a more west solution, I wouldn't toss that scenario. As has been said numerous times, it's a solid model and shouldn't be discounted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Euro ens mean for LEW LCI HIE CON is 3-5, thats a good sign IMO I agree, This may be heading back into a more favorable event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 I'm not gonna do it... not gonna do it... Not getting sucked in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Nice ULL snows too Monday, sweet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 If the RDPS is showing a more west solution, I wouldn't toss that scenario. As has been said numerous times, it's a solid model and shouldn't be discounted. It looked like it was heading towards the GFS track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Nice ULL snows too Monday, sweet Yup, Just posted that in the other thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Maybe Siprell was not as far off with his disco yesterday as Kevin thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Yup, Just posted that in the other thread what is RDPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 what is RDPS Regional Deterministic Prediction System (RDPS) aka RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 what is RDPS RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Only thing that sucks, that we can't see to really get to trend favourably, is the mid level warmth. Still could end up more liquid than solid, even with a great track. We need some improvement there somehow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 RGEM Canadians!!! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 What's a 100 mile shift in QPF? LOL. I would wait on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Rgem is the old name. We canucks use the current name. Sorry I'll try to use the old name from now on. Not to confuse people...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 What's a 100 mile shift in QPF? LOL. I would wait on that. Yeah, Who knows, It went that far the other way a day or so ago as well, The Euro will be telling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Rgem is the old name. We canucks use the current name. Sorry I'll try to use the old name from now on. Not to confuse people...lol lol, I knew what you were talking about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Only thing that sucks, that we can't see to really get to trend favourably, is the mid level warmth. Still could end up more liquid than solid, even with a great track. We need some improvement there somehow. It's more of an H9 issue here...too much SE flow above that shallow "cold" wedge in the low levels. Once that secondary really gets cranking the flow starts backing more NE. I'd like to see it deepen faster to get that isallobaric component increase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Verbatim it probably would be a narrow paste job just NW of that little CSTL front boundary or whatever it is. I don't care what the GFS shows, especially in higher elevations. That's driving the narrow QPF axis. So not only do you have to figure out where the narrow max is, you may also have snow only relegated to a smaller area within that. It's possible...but talk about thread the needle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 lol, I knew what you were talking about Some didn't. Apparently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Rgem is the old name. We canucks use the current name. Sorry I'll try to use the old name from now on. Not to confuse people...lol MRF still much warmer than the ETA here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 It's more of an H9 issue here...too much SE flow above that shallow "cold" wedge in the low levels. Once that secondary really gets cranking the flow starts backing more NE. I'd like to see it deepen faster to get that isallobaric component increase. Yes that's what I meant. Got some work to do on that. I guess one could say it's serviceable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 What's a 100 mile shift in QPF? LOL. I would wait on that. EPS has been strangely bullish the past 2 runs...that's the only thing that makes me give any credence to this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 It's more of an H9 issue here...too much SE flow above that shallow "cold" wedge in the low levels. Once that secondary really gets cranking the flow starts backing more NE. I'd like to see it deepen faster to get that isallobaric component increase. The primary getting to far north before the secondary development kind of screws us on the flow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 MRF still much warmer than the ETA here We're in AVN range now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 The primary getting to far north before the secondary development kind of screws us on the flow This^I guess that's the price we pay for not having arctic air around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Verbatim it probably would be a narrow paste job just NW of that little CSTL front boundary or whatever it is. I don't care what the GFS shows, especially in higher elevations. That's driving the narrow QPF axis. So not only do you have to figure out where the narrow max is, you may also have snow only relegated to a smaller area within that. It's possible...but talk about thread the needle. Partly sunny? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Model mayhem at its finest. Yup, at least the gfs. Yesterday's 12z clown map had my area at 10-12" total for Sat/Mon. 00z showed "slightly" less, down to 0-1". At least 06z was back to 4-5". Who knows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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