Allsnow Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 Knyc with a -1 departure today lol Sunday morning low of 39 was the lowest of the month so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 Knyc with a -1 departure today lol Sunday morning low of 39 was the lowest of the month so far That was the first 30s since when for NYC? Must be May, or maybe April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rittenhouse Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 18z GFS has what looks like a coastal just east of LI on Sunday. Tries to anyway, but the secondary area of low pressure stays too weak and the two systems never phase. Early next week will be interesting to watch and might bring some flakes to the area. The last three runs of the GFS have hinted at a coastal storm -- albeit weak and OTS -- in that time period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 That was the first 30s since when for NYC? Must be May, or maybe April. I think that mid Oct cold blast might have had something in the 30's in NYC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 I think that mid Oct cold blast might have had something in the 30's in NYC? Definitely could be a possibility, I know the other boroughs hit the 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 That was the first 30s since when for NYC? Must be May, or maybe April.NYC had a lower minimum in October, 38 on the 18th and 35 on the 19th.....Both days where -12 departure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 Definitely could be a possibility, I know the other boroughs hit the 30s.NYC hit 35 in October, they actually were in the 30's twice in October.Edit; I was Ninja'd by Allsnow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 I follow that station closely as i also find it cool As others have said its fake cold. They sky rocket on slightest hint of onshore flow. They also do not radiate particularly well with light offshore flow Yes fake, not fake. They're below freezing for 5 hours already. At 26 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 NYC hit 35 in October, they actually were in the 30's twice in October. Edit; I was Ninja'd by Allsnow An unusual anomaly in an otherwise mild to very mild pattern. They might see lower temps this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 NYC had a lower minimum in October, 38 on the 18th and 35 on the 19th..... Both days where -12 departure. NYC hit 35 in October, they actually were in the 30's twice in October. Edit; I was Ninja'd by Allsnow Sounds good to me. Didn't realize it got that cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 Yes fake, not fake. They're below freezing for 5 hours already. At 26 now. Seven hours and running. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 Definitely looks like a cooler pattern upcoming, but wondering if the pattern may be too amplified//cutterish to get a significant early snow. That can be a problem in El Ninos. We could get some decent snow this winter, but in just a few storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 Seven hours and running. And the not so fake freeze is still ongoing. Real freeze places like KMSV are above freezing already for a while now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 Monday morning looks like a good shot for NYC to get to 32... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 NYC is on track for a top 3 warmest fall finish. The actual November departures will determine the final spot. NYC is currently +6.3 in November. #1.....61.8 in 1931 #2.....61.2 in 1961 #3.....60.7 in 1946 November departures and fall finish: +3.................................................................................61.1 +4.................................................................................61.4 +5.................................................................................61.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 And the not so fake freeze is still ongoing. Real freeze places like KMSV are above freezing already for a while now. The real cold Monticello is still at 37. Westhampton is up 22 degrees to 47. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 Monday morning looks like a good shot for NYC to get to 32... How likely is that looking now? Most forecasts have mid 30s or so but its been trending colder every day. I had peppers and stuff growing and a few are still alive, I don't need them but I'm curious how long they can last. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 How likely is that looking now? Most forecasts have mid 30s or so but its been trending colder every day. I had peppers and stuff growing and a few are still alive, I don't need them but I'm curious how long they can last. I don't think Central Park will be able to do it. Probably 34-35 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 EPO is plummeting while the PNA is rising. NAO is still forecasted to be positive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 EPO is plummeting while the PNA is rising. NAO is still forecasted to be positive. Gets even worse on the CFS for week three and four (fwiw) Sent from my SM-G925V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 Gets even worse on the CFS for week three and four (fwiw) Sent from my SM-G925V CFS is cold to start December then warms up in the middle of December and then back to cold for the end of December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 And the not so fake freeze is still ongoing. Real freeze places like KMSV are above freezing already for a while now. Please please stop comparing Westhampton to places like Monticello. lol Everyone here knows the "cold" out there on the beach is extremely shallow and once disturbed it skyrockets. Besides its never cold there when it counts. Btw... 26 for a low here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 Please please stop comparing Westhampton to places like Monticello. lol Everyone here knows the "cold" out there on the beach is extremely shallow and once disturbed it skyrockets. Besides its never cold there when it counts. Btw... 26 for a low here Yeah, you'll never get snow out of it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 The 12z RGEM and GFS are a good soaking for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 The 12z RGEM and GFS are a good soaking for the area. How much? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 How much? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 I don't see a negative ao/nao for December...Until I see it coming I will expect a mild December...that doesn't mean it can't snow like in Dec 1957, 79 and 82...all three were mild but had a 3" or greater snowfall before the 21st of the month when the ao was negative for a few days in 1979 and 1982...Todays ao forecast doesn't give me much hope that December will see a negative ao/nao on average... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 FWIW the Euro seasonal has been going with a +NAO December for several months now. We'll see if it's correct about the introduction of some negative intervals after January 15th and especially February to go along with the main ridge pulling back west of Hudson Bay. The Euro has the classic back-loaded El Nino winter look to it. the back loaded el nino winters good or bad... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 Please please stop comparing Westhampton to places like Monticello. lol Everyone here knows the "cold" out there on the beach is extremely shallow and once disturbed it skyrockets. Besides its never cold there when it counts. Btw... 26 for a low here It's like a sandbox out there. I'm sure If you go up say 25 meters on a calm wind night at the surface out there when they are radiating like crazy and its 10-20 degrees warmer then at the sensor.People get excited during winter "it's 9 at westhampton maybe we will get more then expected on the coast" 3 hours later a light southeast flow developes and its up to 36 there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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