Ginx snewx Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 Only 98" last year...was quite the bummer.Kevs nickle and dime winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 Stop speaking an absolutes. That is your opinion. Regression to the mean is not an outlandish concept. we are due Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 I had sidewalk chalk on my driveway for 4 weeks and it's finally washed off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 Only 384 hours away... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 Only 384 hours away... image.jpg It wouldn't be that shocking to get 850mb temps below 0C by then. Does anyone have the link that shows the record coldest/warmest 850mb temperatures at each RAOB location? I cannot seem to find it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 It wouldn't be that shocking to get 850mb temps below 0C by then. Does anyone have the link that shows the record coldest/warmest 850mb temperatures at each RAOB location? I cannot seem to find it. I'm sure Steve has it on his desktop. Wait one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 I'm sure Steve has it on his desktop. Wait one. I have it on my computer at home...but I was unable to find it using a quick search here. I know oceanstwx (Chris) has the link...or used to. I think he was the one who originally linked it. I'm sure ginx has it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 I had sidewalk chalk on my driveway for 4 weeks and it's finally washed off. Ditto Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 It wouldn't be that shocking to get 850mb temps below 0C by then. Does anyone have the link that shows the record coldest/warmest 850mb temperatures at each RAOB location? I cannot seem to find it. http://www.weather.gov/media/unr/soo/pw/top50-T850.pdf Also the SPC sounding climatology on their website is great to use now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 It wouldn't be that shocking to get 850mb temps below 0C by then. Does anyone have the link that shows the record coldest/warmest 850mb temperatures at each RAOB location? I cannot seem to find it. Here's the warmest and coldest in big PDFs... I think they used to have graphs for individual sites, but I don't seem to have the link anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 Did 4/1/11 miss you to the east? I recall that being a pretty good event up in Maine. Feb 22-23, 2009 was disappointing in ORH, we had the extremely rare boundary layer issue despite 850 temps of like -3C. Hardly ever happens in February. A lot of sloppy snow that actually mixed with rain for a time. We ended up with 4-5" of almost total slush. Really weird storm to get in February at elevation. But the LLJ in the boundary layer out of the due south was so incredibly strong, that it was able to intrude even into the ORH hills and not be fully offset by both dynamical cooling and orographic upslope cooling. The April Fools storm brought 15" and a short (2 hr) period of 2"/hr accum. That marked the first SN+ obs at my place since the Feb. 2009 dump - 09-10 never came close. The Maine foothills were definitely the sweet spot for that 2/09 event, with 20-28" reports common while the mts missed the death band and got about a foot. To the south, Jeff had about 15" of wetter stuff, the AUG area and similar "just-inland" places had a pasty 10-12" (with CMP recording up to 100,000 customers powerless at one point) and PWM a slushy mess that ended with a few inches of very pretty clinging snow. My 24.5" briefly brought snow depth over 50", though it was back to 49" at my 9 PM obs time, about 11 hr after the end of accum. 24 hr later the pack had dropped to 43". Cool Spruce noted that much of south and central Maine received similar LE (1.5-2.0") but that the ratio for his 12" was about 7:1 compared to my 13:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 Here's the warmest and coldest in big PDFs... I think they used to have graphs for individual sites, but I don't seem to have the link anymore. http://www.weather.gov/unr/uac Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 I'm sure Steve has it on his desktop. Wait one. Glad you made me look as I need to organize my winter stuff again, found this relic http://ecws.eas.cornell.edu/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 http://www.weather.gov/media/unr/soo/pw/top50-T850.pdf Also the SPC sounding climatology on their website is great to use now. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/soundingclimo/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 Awesome, thanks for the links guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 Only 384 hours away... image.jpg This period of modeling behavior is as inevitable as the seasons changing, and does so about this time every year. What they are doing is "imagining" the colder times more than actually assessing them, and then they imagine them more and more frequently until one or two of the models imagines the correct scenario, and the cold wave really happens. ha. In fact, the models started doing this, as they do almost every year, in the last 10 days of August... those model types that go out to those exotically long forecast intervals. I know most due - the Euro does, but that company doesn't apparently put out free charts beyond D10. Anyway, they started coiling up these southern Canadian sub-540 DM SPV's ...usually around D 12, then roll 'em back up into the Maritimes ...sweeping south the first of many relief sessions for the cold obsessing attics in their seemingly eternal summer withdraw syndromes... But said vortex never happens...and nor does the relief ...and the user's back to shakes and sweats. But one thing they have in their medicine kick is the knowledge that the computer enhanced hallucinations actually really are assembling those "possibilities" from the fragmented shards of failed fractals. I.e., in the infinite obscurity of chaos, some inevitability cannot totally hide. That inevitability is seasonal change. And that's where we are.. The fight is on, refereed by models as aging summer champ must eventually concede to the speed and agility of a younger rival. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 This period of modeling behavior is as inevitable as the seasons changing, and does so about this time every year. What they are doing is "imagining" the colder times more than actually assessing them, and then they imagine them more and more frequently until one or two of the models imagines the correct scenario, and the cold wave really happens. ha. In fact, the models started doing this, as they do almost every year, in the last 10 days of August... those model types that go out to those exotically long forecast intervals. I know most due - the Euro does, but that company doesn't apparently put out free charts beyond D10. Anyway, they started coiling up these southern Canadian sub-540 DM SPV's ...usually around D 12, then roll 'em back up into the Maritimes ...sweeping south the first of many relief sessions for the cold obsessing attics in their seemingly eternal summer withdraw syndromes... But said vortex never happens...and nor does the relief ...and the user's back to shakes and sweats. But one thing they have in their medicine kick is the knowledge that the computer enhanced hallucinations actually really are assembling those "possibilities" from the fragmented shards of failed fractals. I.e., in the infinite obscurity of chaos, some inevitability cannot totally hide. That inevitability is seasonal change. And that's where we are.. The fight is on, refereed by models as aging summer champ must eventually concede to the speed and agility of a younger rival. KO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 KO not sure what ko means but... hey, PF, ...how about this 12z GFS' hallucination ?! ...dynamic clipper with thunder snow as far S as Montreal - mark it on the calendar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 One more month and could be some legit threats for the mountains. Nice look Tippy haha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 14 yrs later man....still a day that should not be forgotten. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 14 yrs later man....still a day that should not be forgotten. I will never forget seeing the first plane hit while i was looking out the window at my school. I was in shock yelling to my teacher "a plane just hit the twin towers". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 I will never forget seeing the first plane hit while i was looking out the window at my school. I was in shock yelling to my teacher "a plane just hit the twin towers". Wow, that's heavy. Watching on TV was scary enough, can't imagine seeing it first-hand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 Wow, that's heavy. Watching on TV was scary enough, can't imagine seeing it first-hand. Yeah I just so happen to look out and saw it hit. An image that is forever imprinted in my mind. It was the perfect view from across the river unfortunately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 You guys see the pic of the rainbow falling across the WTC? Lovely to behold on this of all days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 Was in high school at the time. Security guards going from class to class telling students to call parents, teachers turning on there televisions to watch what was going on, with some students watching it as well. Matter of fact, one of my parents friend, worked at the WTC, she was running late that day, and she had worked on the 75th floor, glory be to God she was running late that morning, if she had gotten to work on time she would have most likely been dead. Man o man, God really does save people's lifes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 Just like when you pray a tornado away from your house and it kills a family down the street. God works in mysterious ways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 Does anyone know what these bumps are? It started off of one bump like Tuesday or Wednesday but got bigger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 Looks like mild poison ivy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 Looks like Poison Ivy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 Looks like a bacterial flesh eating disease common in unsanitary hot tubs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.