Damage In Tolland Posted July 9, 2015 Author Share Posted July 9, 2015 very normal it appears. 2 year 90 degree anniversary July 13th. The pattern changed the next week and we have not looked back. Honestly..Nothing shows a normal temp pattern the next 10 days. I honestly don't know where you are getting that from Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 Honestly..Nothing shows a normal temp pattern the next 10 days. I honestly don't know where you are getting that from oh I don't know just made it up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 9, 2015 Author Share Posted July 9, 2015 Oh ok..so the GEFS show it..Got it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 Oh ok..so the GEFS show it..Got it GEPS and Euro too, what you looking at Willis? normal daily is 74 now, its a normal pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 9, 2015 Author Share Posted July 9, 2015 I'll say next 10-14 days avg +1 to +2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 The 12z NAM has two QPF maxes, one over Western MA and the other from the Poconos to NYC. That fits pretty well with my thinking. These MCS events tend to move on a WNW to ESE trajectory. I'm not saying that SNE gets skunked but I wouldn't expect much away from the South shore of CT. That fits pretty well with SPC's latest outlook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 That diamond pond, nh station fell to 52 degrees at 10:30am and only recovered to 60. Glad We Don't Live There. Not all here would agree. The coop there only reported 12/97 thru mid-2011 (at least that's all the Climod site has), and their avg snowfall was 220" during that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 why? It's been wet as hell lately....mold and mushrooms showing up all over my yardHaven't had any in over a week. Maybe awhile for mor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 Flood watches to the pike. Safe to say it's going to rain to Maine And what do you know..thunder MAIN ACTION FOR THE NIGHT WILL BE SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AS LOW PRES PASSES ACROSS CT THEN HEADS SE OFF THE S COAST OVERNIGHT. PWATS CONTINUE TO INCREASE...UP TO 2 TO 2.2 INCHES...SO EXPECT TO SEE HEAVY DOWNPOURS. not sure how a WNW to ESE trajectory would bring rain to Maine, but OK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 Not all here would agree. The coop there only reported 12/97 thru mid-2011 (at least that's all the Climod site has), and their avg snowfall was 220" during that time.Diamond Pond gets crushed. I think the last time I was there in winter was 2005-2006, a real stinker. I attended the annual Snodeo at Coleman State park. Even though it was a crapfest in the lowlands, there was still snow up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 Looking at the radar no way it misses Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 Nobody said a miss, but I just don't see widespread +RA at all. It is possble a small mid level frontogenesis band gives areas in srn VT, Berks, and SNH some heavier rain, but I'm not impressed in the ORH-BDL-BOS area. Nor have I been. Maybe I will be wrong..but I would guess most in that triangle under half inch. Perhaps some with very little. S coast and then the other areas in a mid level deform area may get more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 9, 2015 Author Share Posted July 9, 2015 With the low tracking into W Mass and CT it seems it is going to get pretty far north..with elevated convection too.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 radar wants to argue the thing is different anyway...seems the overrunning shield is shifting N, and trailing convective lines are headed this way. meanwhile, lots of sky light opened up here in interior eastern Ma and some backyard 82's are popping up on the DDE product - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 72/63 chilly mid day for July 9th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 Yeah I don't know...some of the hi res models like a nice deformation band of rain...but widespread 1-2" in SNE? Not really buying it. Thunder looks well south too so most rain will be synoptic in nature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 It's been forever since I've had an overnight t-storm. It seemed they happened with regularity 20-30 years ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 It's been forever since I've had an overnight t-storm. It seemed they happened with regularity 20-30 years ago There were some nasty ones on the south coast two weeks ago. Just bad luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 Adios Flood Watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 There were some nasty ones on the south coast two weeks ago. Just bad luck. Oh for sure. Such is life I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 9, 2015 Author Share Posted July 9, 2015 Radar says most of the rain .50+ falls north of pike lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 Doesn't look like more than 2 or 3 hours before this thing is out of here ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 Doesn't look like more than 2 or 3 hours before this thing is out of here ... I have been and continue to be unimpressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 9, 2015 Author Share Posted July 9, 2015 I have been and continue to be unimpressed.Its funny.models pegged south of Pike and hvy rain is all well in VT and NH. Convection to south robbing south of pike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 10, 2015 Share Posted July 10, 2015 Not much in NH. Highest I see in Cheshire is 0.02". Only a trace here. This is more meh than last Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted July 10, 2015 Share Posted July 10, 2015 I have been and continue to be unimpressed. Good call Scooter...you had it pegged from the beginning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 10, 2015 Share Posted July 10, 2015 Its funny.models pegged south of Pike and hvy rain is all well in VT and NH. Convection to south robbing south of pike The convection is passing to the south which is a classic model bias and usually what happens. The deformation area isn't much right now, but will develop a bit. Overall..the whole thing seems rather benign. Best rain is always near low center and south with warm season lows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 10, 2015 Share Posted July 10, 2015 Good call Scooter...you had it pegged from the beginning. Well it still could develop and soak us like the HRRR wants to do. I could be wrong, but just don't feel widespread +RA. I'm sure a few areas could get a decent drink though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted July 10, 2015 Share Posted July 10, 2015 I have been and continue to be unimpressed. Spock? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted July 10, 2015 Share Posted July 10, 2015 Spock? LOL. .08" here at the Pit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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