Quincy Posted July 30, 2015 Share Posted July 30, 2015 Another meh day tomorrow, but could see some sporadic damaging winds. Cons against severe hail/tornado threat: Weak wind fields up to 300mb, poor mid-level lapse rates. Shear is marginal, but hodographs are relatively short and messy. Could see a few marginal/brief supercell structures in upstate New York/Vermont/New Hampshire, otherwise storm mode looks pulse-y. 00z NAM for BAF at 21z is probably the least unimpressive NAM-based sounding for tomorrow: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillHarding Posted July 31, 2015 Share Posted July 31, 2015 Yep, today sucked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted July 31, 2015 Share Posted July 31, 2015 Nice video from Portland News of the storm that hit our area at Flying Pond on Wednesday. http://ms-7.sbgnet.com/mediacache/_definst_/smil:mcache/wgme/2015/07/clips/MTYxZjI2Yjc1ZGJj.smil/playlist.m3u8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 31, 2015 Share Posted July 31, 2015 Monday could be interesting if the Euro speeds up the fropa. Steep mid level lapse rates, good shear, nice low level moisture return too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted July 31, 2015 Share Posted July 31, 2015 Nice video from Portland News of the storm that hit our area at Flying Pond on Wednesday. http://ms-7.sbgnet.com/mediacache/_definst_/smil:mcache/wgme/2015/07/clips/MTYxZjI2Yjc1ZGJj.smil/playlist.m3u8 Could not download, but I saw the one from Ch13 yesterday. They said "late afternoon" but unless that poor area got hammered twice in 5 hr, it had to be the one about which you posted. Very impressive - camps in 90-ft pines are not good at dodging when the wind cries "TIMBERRRR!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 31, 2015 Share Posted July 31, 2015 Looks like storms around Stowe tomorrow and a good chance at severe on Monday as we arrive at Winni. Maybe a spinner over the lake for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted August 1, 2015 Share Posted August 1, 2015 Could not download, but I saw the one from Ch13 yesterday. They said "late afternoon" but unless that poor area got hammered twice in 5 hr, it had to be the one about which you posted. Very impressive - camps in 90-ft pines are not good at dodging when the wind cries "TIMBERRRR!" I still keep replaying the event in my head before bed at night. I asked my mother in law at dinner today how close she was to getting hit by the massive pine coming down and she said about 30 seconds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 1, 2015 Share Posted August 1, 2015 I still keep replaying the event in my head before bed at night. I asked my mother in law at dinner today how close she was to getting hit by the massive pine coming down and she said about 30 seconds.pics? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted August 1, 2015 Share Posted August 1, 2015 pics? I'll try again later today. I could not get any to upload previously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted August 1, 2015 Share Posted August 1, 2015 Looks like storms around Stowe tomorrow and a good chance at severe on Monday as we arrive at Winni. Maybe a spinner over the lake for us We look forward to your fakenado reports. Seriously though, you'll probably end up seeing a waterspout. That lake is a magnet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 1, 2015 Share Posted August 1, 2015 We look forward to your fakenado reports. Seriously though, you'll probably end up seeing a waterspout. That lake is a magnet. Monday PM does have an interesting look to it. Hopefully something tears thru the area.Can't wait to get up there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 1, 2015 Share Posted August 1, 2015 We look forward to your fakenado reports. Seriously though, you'll probably end up seeing a waterspout. That lake is a magnet. As long as he doesn't hit the Zuma's or the only thing he'll see spinning is the room Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted August 1, 2015 Share Posted August 1, 2015 Sounds like a smidge of damage today and a lot on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 1, 2015 Share Posted August 1, 2015 Monday looks interesting but this year... I dunno Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted August 1, 2015 Share Posted August 1, 2015 Monday PM does have an interesting look to it. Hopefully something tears thru the area.Can't wait to get up there Pretty broad area nearby for a nice combination of ingredients. Though the SREF has been slowing this down and dragging it west with time. Lapse rates do look good, but might like to see better wind fields. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 1, 2015 Share Posted August 1, 2015 SREF_prob_combined_sigtor__f063.gif Pretty broad area nearby for a nice combination of ingredients. Though the SREF has been slowing this down and dragging it west with time. Lapse rates do look good, but might like to see better wind fields. Looks like the trough sharpens a bit as it moves east which would slow down the front quite a bit. Wind fields aren't too bad but better mid level wind fields exist over NY. What I do find interesting is some of the models having a more backed wind field. 6z GFS had some decent looking hodos...at least across NY. LCL's may have been a tad high though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted August 1, 2015 Share Posted August 1, 2015 I like eastern ny on momday. Upstream mcs activity could muddle the threat obviously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 1, 2015 Share Posted August 1, 2015 Just using the NAM ... Monday's "threat" appears better west as others have recently alluded... The timing for forcing and so forth is more nocturnal later that night, for us in SNE. It also appears to be more linear shear in nature, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 1, 2015 Share Posted August 1, 2015 Nrn ME getting lit up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted August 1, 2015 Share Posted August 1, 2015 Nrn ME getting lit up. Looks like a nice little storm by Jackson, NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 1, 2015 Share Posted August 1, 2015 storms to the west should be here in an hour or so so much for going to the lake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 1, 2015 Share Posted August 1, 2015 What's up with ENX? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted August 1, 2015 Share Posted August 1, 2015 It always has to be Somerset County... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted August 1, 2015 Share Posted August 1, 2015 Looks like about 200 people live in that warning I just issued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted August 1, 2015 Share Posted August 1, 2015 Nobody wants a purple #2 pixel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 1, 2015 Share Posted August 1, 2015 One of the better storms of the season Gusty Boomy Gardner getting rocked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 1, 2015 Share Posted August 1, 2015 Marshfield getting clocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 1, 2015 Share Posted August 1, 2015 surprisingly gusty with these downpours coming threw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 1, 2015 Share Posted August 1, 2015 nice temp drop as they come threw feels refreshing outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 1, 2015 Share Posted August 1, 2015 Yeah. Temps went from 82 to 65 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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