TalcottWx Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 Pretty substantial street flooding in Methuen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 Check out @RealJayKenney's Tweet: https://twitter.com/RealJayKenney/status/633734885765611520?s=09 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 Looks like the cell in CT sat of Herb for a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 Had a brief downpour here cooled off a bit now down to 81 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tolland Death Band Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 That cell that formed about 4 miles north of me has some super loud thunder with it..Completely sunny here..but black to the N Amazing, the ability of storms to miss us this year. All have been N or E Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 Thunder to my west again. Far NW hfd cnty doing well today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 Franklin area looked like it got hit pretty good earlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 19, 2015 Share Posted August 19, 2015 fyi didn't chase it lol... ran to nh between practices for errands.. sooooo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 21, 2015 Share Posted August 21, 2015 Torrential here for the past half hour. Practice cut short by lightning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 21, 2015 Share Posted August 21, 2015 All these strikes within a few miles of me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted August 21, 2015 Share Posted August 21, 2015 All these strikes within a few miles of me I'm just a bit Northeast of that...here thunder but no real hard rain. I am right where the NH border makes that point...just some light rain here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 21, 2015 Share Posted August 21, 2015 .90" RF on the day...favored spot today. 75.0/72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 21, 2015 Share Posted August 21, 2015 Any other rf totals from this immediate area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 22, 2015 Share Posted August 22, 2015 Looks like an opportunity for a few strong to severe t'storms either late Tuesday or Wednesday...maybe late Tuesday for western areas and Wednesday for eastern areas. FROPA timing a little uncertain right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 23, 2015 Share Posted August 23, 2015 Tuesday is intriguing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 Hopefully FROPA is not too early on Tuesday and we burn off the low clouds. With that amount of shear projected on some of the models , 40-45 knots, we could be in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 Tuesday is intriguing. Sneaky, sneaky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 I'm surprised from the AFD that they're pegging western areas for the highest chance of strong/severe. Based on timing and influx of dry air, I'd have anticipated the higher chances east. Of course, being in the 'favored areas' this year has been the kiss of death with respect to severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 I'm surprised from the AFD that they're pegging western areas for the highest chance of strong/severe. Based on timing and influx of dry air, I'd have anticipated the higher chances east. Of course, being in the 'favored areas' this year has been the kiss of death with respect to severe. I mean as of right now, the convection allowing models like things east a bit. Probably based on timing with respect to the front, might just be too early as it currently stands for western areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 Pretty much the classic New England set up of shear/lift offset from best instability. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 I mean as of right now, the convection allowing models like things east a bit. Probably based on timing with respect to the front, might just be too early as it currently stands for western areas. That was my take. The AFD suggests otherwise. Pretty much the classic New England set up of shear/lift offset from best instability. Hopefully, winter won't be as boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 That was my take. The AFD suggests otherwise. Hopefully, winter won't be as boring. What do you mean, the best dynamics are always offset from the best QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 I'm liking NH tomorrow (at least central/southern) and of course central and eastern New England. One thing that sucks further west is it looks like a pre-frontal trough pushes through between 15z and 18z and this is before we would be able to achieve maximum instability and shear is not really maximized yet either. As far as instability is concerned though with crappy lapse rates we can only go so high anyways. It's interesting to see though that the NAM isn't the only model showing a slightly backed llvl wind field...even the GFS has some elevated 0-3km helicity going on and shear does increase as the day goes on. Could see a few wet microbursts tomorrow and maybe even a few ~1'' hail reports, especially if the helicity pans out and a few discrete cells fire up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1141 AM CDT MON AUG 24 2015 VALID 251200Z - 261200Z ..THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS SRN NEW ENGLAND ..SUMMARY A FEW STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. ..SYNOPSIS AN UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE ROCKIES WITH AN UPPER LOW FILLING ACROSS ERN CANADA. CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT WILL EXTEND SWD INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND NEW ENGLAND STATES WITH A WEAK SFC TROUGH DEVELOPING INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND DURING THE DAY. A GENERALLY WARM/MOIST SLY FLOW REGIME IN THE LOW-LEVELS WILL AID IN DESTABILIZATION ACROSS NEW ENGLAND...AND RESULT IN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. ELSEWHERE...DAYTIME STORMS ARE ALSO LIKELY ACROSS THE COASTAL CAROLINAS SWD INTO FL ALONG THE SWD EXTENSION OF AFOREMENTIONED SFC TROUGH...BUT WITH RELATIVELY WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND WEAK SHEAR. ..SRN NEW ENGLAND SCATTERED STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM ALONG THE WEAK SFC TROUGH BY AFTERNOON AS HEATING HELPS DESTABILIZE THE WARM SECTOR. MID TO UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL BE ENHANCED BY THE PRESENCE OF THE UPPER TROUGH...ALTHOUGH HEIGHT TENDENCIES WILL BE NEUTRAL. AS SUCH...ONLY A FEW OF THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MARGINALLY SEVERE WITH BOTH HAIL AND WIND POSSIBLE. THE WEAK SFC PATTERN AND LOW-LEVEL SHEAR SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY TORNADO THREAT DESPITE THE POSSIBILITY OF SUPERCELL STORM MODE AT TIMES. ..JEWELL.. 08/24/2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 Still liking central/southern NH down into NE MA tomorrow for greatest potential. couple wet microbursts possible and maybe some hail close to 1'' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 Still liking central/southern NH down into NE MA tomorrow for greatest potential. couple wet microbursts possible and maybe some hail close to 1'' I think there's a tornado threat too. Small, but still there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 yay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 I think there's a tornado threat too. Small, not still there. yeah that aspect certainly can't be ignored. Helicity values being modeled are just at the threshold which usually begins to open some eyes. could be an interesting day in NH...I really like the modeled winds up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 Some mean storms on the SPC WRF tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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