40/70 Benchmark Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Is more of this falling tomorrow or tomorrow nite? Makes a big difference this time of yr. The "heaviest" on the GFS occurs between 10am-1pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 I could see widespread 3-5" amounts. A lot of it falls tomorrow evening and night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 I could see widespread 3-5" amounts. A lot of it falls tomorrow evening and night The brunt is centered around midday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Is more of this falling tomorrow or tomorrow nite? Makes a big difference this time of yr. The RGEM NAM had heaviest from 5pm to 11pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 The brunt is centered around midday. Yeah I was off by 6 hours. RGEM is between 1pm and 7pm mainly. But it keeps snowing a bit after that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 The "heaviest" on the GFS occurs between 10am-1pm.If that verifies then this is a non-event. Warm ground in late March. Meh. Gimme some shorts wx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Yeah I was off by 6 hours. RGEM is between 1pm and 7pm mainly. But it keeps snowing a bit after that Heaviest fall rates are between 7am and 1pm on the RGEM, and 10am and 1pm on the GFS. Take the under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Yeah I was off by 6 hours. RGEM is between 1pm and 7pm mainly. But it keeps snowing a bit after that It lingers until 1am Sunday morning, yes...lighter, though after 1pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 nice little band over the ct valley i dont think that will happen but nice to see Why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Why? He's probably just been traumatized by climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 I'll take the under in a light event during the day nearing April. 1-3". Like I mentioned earlier.... This is more likely to be a flop then 6".Meh. Going to be hard to do much of anything with this centered around lunchtime.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 He's probably just been traumatized by climo. Well there's certainly no shortage of lift and moisture in the CT river valley. He probably is thinking it won't fall heavy enough to get 4"+ snow totals the mesos have. Hopefully he isn't talking from a QPF perspective because that band is probably going to set up in that area at some point tomorrow. GFS has 0.5" qpf now and all the models have increased the QPF output. I think we can only go up with this one in terms of QPF. Don't see a reason why that aspect should bust on the low side for this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Well there's certainly no shortage of lift and moisture in the CT river valley. He probably is thinking it won't fall heavy enough to get 4"+ snow totals the mesos have. Hopefully he isn't talking from a QPF perspective because that band is probably going to set up in that area at some point tomorrow. GFS has 0.5" qpf now and all the models have increased the QPF output. I think we can only go up with this one in terms of QPF. Don't see a reason why that aspect should bust on the low side for this event. The problem is that it takes forever to fall, and the "heaviest" portion is during the day. Good luck, dude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 The problem is that it takes forever to fall, and the "heaviest" portion is during the day. Good luck, dude. Yea, well Norluns are hard to figure out. Might be only .1" liquid in a 6 hour period, which is what most models have, or it could be .3"+ liquid in a 6 hour period thanks to the lift and better snow growth that usually accompanies these types of events. Right now I'd say it's a 50/50 at which one happens, but its a fickle setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 I expect areas where the heaviest bands set up to reach 3-5"..regardless of time of day. I'm assuming it will be falling heavy enough to overcome that in those areas. In most other areas, maybe 1-2" or less. It's anyone's guess as to where those bands set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 pretty much He's probably just been traumatized by climo. its late march it needs to snow at a good rate and this just wont have that in my opinion hope im wrong Well there's certainly no shortage of lift and moisture in the CT river valley. He probably is thinking it won't fall heavy enough to get 4"+ snow totals the mesos have. Hopefully he isn't talking from a QPF perspective because that band is probably going to set up in that area at some point tomorrow. GFS has 0.5" qpf now and all the models have increased the QPF output. I think we can only go up with this one in terms of QPF. Don't see a reason why that aspect should bust on the low side for this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 I expect areas where the heaviest bands set up to reach 3-5"..regardless of time of day. I'm assuming it will be falling heavy enough to overcome that in those areas. In most other areas, maybe 1-2" or less. It's anyone's guess as to where those bands set up. I wouldn't assume a damn thing. This has underachiever written all over it. But I've said my peace.....knock yourself out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 this has not been Euro's winter 0z (old Euro) made a big jump northwest vs. 12z, now 2-4" most of SNE east of I91, highest amounts southeast MA excellent consensus for a widespread 2-4" event, only concern is how does that actually add up with non-heavy rates mid-day and low-mid 30s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Very good set of 00z runs. If the public is going by that latest BOX map, they are going to be very surprised when many see 2-6 inches depending on location and elevation. it is going to thump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJBASHB Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 35 degrees and light snow in Fitchburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 I expect areas where the heaviest bands set up to reach 3-5"..regardless of time of day. I'm assuming it will be falling heavy enough to overcome that in those areas. In most other areas, maybe 1-2" or less. It's anyone's guess as to where those bands set up. I'll take the under. I doubt anyone exceeds 3". You're going to need some pretty good rates with wet snow and post-equinox sun to get anything higher. And lest anyone brings up the October storm of a few years ago, remember the sun strength then was 5-6 weeks weaker than today's. I've had about 5 flakes so far, though. 30.9/27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Had some -SHSN overnight. 30.7F now. It's been a rough winter for the euro. Now you're just the model that I used to know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Snow started on me about mile 4-5..Light snow now 31.4 Get the advisories up BOX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Light snow /very granular/ 35. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 I'll take the under. I doubt anyone exceeds 3". You're going to need some pretty good rates with wet snow and post-equinox sun to get anything higher. I am usually on the conservative train but some of the model runs were impressive last night. Especially eastern Mass/RI area if they are cold enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 33/27. Flakes in the air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Albany office a lot more bullish for W MA than Box. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Very light coating on grassy surfaces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Snow/graupel mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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