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Snowathon Obs/ Nowcast 02/07-02/09


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BOX doesn't seem "confident" with their snowfall forecast...

".NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

OVERRUNNING LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH TODAY INTO

TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WITH A FEW LOCALIZED ENHANCED

AREAS...ESPECIALLY IN EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS WHERE ENHANCED MESOSCALE

PRECIPITATION IS ANTICIPATED FROM A COASTAL FRONT AND ASSOCIATED LOW

LEVEL WIND CONVERGENCE AS WELL AS LOW LEVEL FRONTOGENETIC LIFT.

THERE MAY BE SOME OCEAN ENHANCEMENT AS WELL ACROSS EASTERN PLYMOUTH

COUNTY...ALTHOUGH THE LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATE LOOKS MARGINAL TO SUPPORT

THAT. MODELS ALSO SUGGEST THAT MON 12Z TO 18Z MAY BE THE PERIOD OF

HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION FOR MOST LOCATIONS. DUE TO THE PREVALENCE OF

MESOSCALE FORCING...CONFIDENCE IN THE FINAL DISTRIBUTION OF TOTAL

SNOWFALL IS NOT ALL THAT HIGH BUT THINK IN THE END THE HIGHEST

TOTALS SHOULD BE IN EASTERN MA AND POSSIBLY VERY HIGHEST IN PLYMOUTH

COUNTY.

TEMPERATURES ARE A LITTLE TRICKY GIVEN THE STRONG GRADIENT ACROSS

THE COASTAL FRONT. ANTICIPATING TEMPERATURES TO RISE ABOVE FREEZING

ON MARTHAS VINEYARD AND BLOCK ISLAND LATER THIS MORNING BUT THEN

FALL BACK BELOW FREEZING BY THIS EVENING.

WINDS SHOULD BE STRONG ENOUGH WITH GUSTS 30 TO 35 MPH ALONG THE

EASTERN MA COASTAL PLAIN AND THE WATER CONTENT OF THE SNOW LIGHT

ENOUGH FOR SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/...

THE 00Z NAM AND TO A LESSER EXTENT THE 00Z GFS INDICATE THAT AT

LEAST LIGHT SNOW MAY PERSIST MOST OF TONIGHT ACROSS EAST COASTAL

MASSACHUSETTS...ALTHOUGH THINK ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS WOULD

GENERALLY BE NO MORE THAN AN INCH OR TWO. THE REST OF THE REGION

SHOULD HAVE SNOW TAPERING OFF TO A FEW FLURRIES DURING THIS

EVENING. SUNSHINE SHOULD BECOME PLENTIFUL DURING THE DAY

TUESDAY...ALTHOUGH PERHAPS NOT UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON OVER THE CAPE.

A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE WOULD PLACE HIGH TEMPERATURES TUE IN THE

UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S."

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 Didn't you have 14" last monday?  

 

I don't even care about totals anymore, plenty of snow otg, I really don't care that somebody E of me has more as there is a nice 12+ snowy hours ahead and as I look out the window the driveway spotlight says SN/SN+.

 

I'm heading out to play.  Enjoy everyone!

 

 

:snowing:

 

Yup....I forgot we got a storm.  lol

 

Don't know. Maybe 15? Gonna go to work soon.

 

 

That's awesome--great winter for you!

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BOS limping to totals on one leg. Probably 10-12 next reading at 7, 15 at 7pm, verification of 18-24 tonight, and a nearly 2 foot event having a 4-8 appeal outside of the south shore. Still fun and ridiculous snowpack now. Radar still looks like Swiss cheese but that stuff in western ct will be interesting if it hold up and makes it here.

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